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Probabilistic Regression refers to predicting a full probability density function for the target conditional on the features. We present a nonparametric approach to this problem which combines base classifiers (typically gradient boosted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Brian Lucena

The density function of the limiting spectral distribution of general sample covariance matrices is usually unknown. We propose to use kernel estimators which are proved to be consistent. A simulation study is also conducted to show the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-15 Bing-Yi Jing , Guangming Pan , Qi-Man Shao , Wang Zhou

The traditional kernel density estimator of an unknown density is by construction completely nonparametric, in the sense that it has no preferences and will work reasonably well for all shapes. The present paper develops a class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Nils Lid Hjort , Ingrid Kristine Glad

In the context of nonparametric regression, we study conditions under which the consistency (and rates of convergence) of estimators built from discretely sampled curves can be derived from the consistency of estimators based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-29 Forzani Liliana , Fraiman Ricardo , Llop Pamela

Kernel density estimation is a widely used nonparametric approach to estimate an unknown distribution. Recent work in Bayesian predictive inference has considered stochastic processes formed by specifying the predictive distribution for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Torey Hilbert

We investigate the nonparametric estimation for regression in a fixed-design setting when the errors are given by a field of dependent random variables. Sufficient conditions for kernel estimators to converge uniformly are obtained. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Mohamed El Machkouri

Conditional density estimation is a general framework for solving various problems in machine learning. Among existing methods, non-parametric and/or kernel-based methods are often difficult to use on large datasets, while methods based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-06 Hiroaki Sasaki , Aapo Hyvärinen

The density estimation is one of the core problems in statistics. Despite this, existing techniques like maximum likelihood estimation are computationally inefficient due to the intractability of the normalizing constant. For this reason an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Tsimboy Olga , Yermek Kapushev , Evgeny Burnaev , Ivan Oseledets

Kernel Estimation provides an unbinned and non-parametric estimate of the probability density function from which a set of data is drawn. In the first section, after a brief discussion on parametric and non-parametric methods, the theory of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2009-10-31 Kyle S. Cranmer

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

The main purpose is to estimate the regression function of a real random variable with functional explanatory variable by using a recursive nonparametric kernel approach. The mean square error and the almost sure convergence of a family of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-07 Aboubacar Amiri , Christophe Crambes , Baba Thiam

We introduce the Kernel Calibration Conditional Stein Discrepancy test (KCCSD test), a non-parametric, kernel-based test for assessing the calibration of probabilistic models with well-defined scores. In contrast to previous methods, our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-17 Pierre Glaser , David Widmann , Fredrik Lindsten , Arthur Gretton

In this abstract paper, we introduce a new kernel learning method by a nonparametric density estimator. The estimator consists of a group of k-centroids clusterings. Each clustering randomly selects data points with randomly selected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-02 Xiao-Lei Zhang

In this work we are interested in the problems of supervised learning and variable selection when the input-output dependence is described by a nonlinear function depending on a few variables. Our goal is to consider a sparse nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-14 Lorenzo Rosasco , Silvia Villa , Sofia Mosci , Matteo Santoro , Alessandro verri

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

Several interesting generative learning algorithms involve a complex probability distribution over many random variables, involving intractable normalization constants or latent variable normalization. Some of them may even not have an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-13 Yoshua Bengio , Li Yao , Kyunghyun Cho

Implicit models, which allow for the generation of samples but not for point-wise evaluation of probabilities, are omnipresent in real-world problems tackled by machine learning and a hot topic of current research. Some examples include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner

New local linear estimators are proposed for a wide class of nonparametric regression models. The estimators are uniformly consistent regardless of satisfying traditional conditions of depen\-dence of design elements. The estimators are the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Yuliana Linke , Igor Borisov , Pavel Ruzankin , Vladimir Kutsenko , Elena Yarovaya , Svetlana Shalnova

Regression tasks, notably in safety-critical domains, require proper uncertainty quantification, yet the literature remains largely classification-focused. In this light, we introduce a family of measures for total, aleatoric, and epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Christopher Bülte , Yusuf Sale , Gitta Kutyniok , Eyke Hüllermeier

We derive estimators of the density of the event times of current status data. The estimators are derived for the situations where the distribution of the observation times is known and where this distribution is unknown. The density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Bert van Es , Catharina Elisabeth Graafland
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