Related papers: Additive stacking for disaggregate electricity dem…
Probabilistic forecasting in power systems often involves multi-entity datasets like households, feeders, and wind turbines, where generating reliable entity-specific forecasts presents significant challenges. Traditional approaches require…
Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) is a technique that uses a single sensor to measure the total power consumption of a building. Using an energy disaggregation method, the consumption of individual appliances can be estimated from the…
Energy disaggregation is the process of estimating the energy consumed by individual electrical appliances given only a time series of the whole-home power demand. Energy disaggregation researchers require datasets of the power demand from…
In a crowd forecasting system, aggregation is an algorithm that returns aggregated probabilities for each question based on the probabilities provided per question by each individual in the crowd. Various aggregation methods have been…
The integration of renewables into electrical grids calls for the development of tailored control schemes which in turn require reliable grid models. In many cases, the grid topology is known but the actual parameters are not exactly known.…
A fast distributed approach is developed for the market clearing with large-scale demand response in electric power networks. In addition to conventional supply bids, demand offers from aggregators serving large numbers of residential smart…
Bidding flexibility in day-ahead and intraday auctions would enable decentralized flexible resources, such as electric vehicles and heat pumps, to efficiently align their consumption with the intermittent generation of renewable energy.…
Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…
In modern computer experiment applications, one often encounters the situation where various models of a physical system are considered, each implemented as a simulator on a computer. An important question in such a setting is determining…
Predicting a driver's cognitive state, or more specifically, modeling a driver's reaction time (RT) in response to the appearance of a potential hazard warrants urgent research. In the last two decades, the electric field that is generated…
Integration of smart grid technologies in distribution systems, particularly behind-the-meter initiatives, has a direct impact on transmission network planning. This paper develops a coordinated expansion planning of transmission and active…
Proliferation of grid resources on the distribution network along with the inability to forecast them accurately will render the existing methodology of grid operation and control untenable in the future. Instead, a more distributed yet…
Many residential energy consumers have installed photovoltaic (PV) panels and energy storage systems. These residential users can aggregate and participate in the energy markets. A stochastic decision making model for an aggregation of…
Aggregation is crucial to the effective use of flexibility, especially in the case of electric vehicles (EVs) because of their limited individual battery sizes and large aggregate impact. This research proposes a novel method to quantify…
Ensemble techniques have demonstrated remarkable success in improving predictive performance across various domains by aggregating predictions from multiple models [1]. In the realm of recommender systems, this research explores the…
We present a winning method of the IEEE DataPort Competition on Day-Ahead Electricity Demand Forecasting: Post-COVID Paradigm. The day-ahead load forecasting approach is based on online forecast combination of multiple point prediction…
Power systems operate under uncertainty originating from multiple factors that are impossible to account for deterministically. Distributional forecasting is used to control and mitigate risks associated with this uncertainty. Recent…
Ensemble weather forecasts enable a measure of uncertainty to be attached to each forecast, by computing the ensemble's spread. However, generating an ensemble with a good spread-error relationship is far from trivial, and a wide range of…
Aggregating distributed energy resources (DERs) is of great significance to improve the overall operational efficiency of smart grid. The aggregation model needs to consider various factors such as network constraints, operational…
This research presents a novel approach to solving the economic load dispatch (ELD) problem in smart grid systems by leveraging a multi-agent distributed consensus strategy. The core idea revolves around achieving agreement among generators…