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We consider a continuous time Markov process on $\mathbb{N}_0$ which can be interpreted as generalized alternating birth-death process in a non-autonomous random environment. Depending on the status of the environment the process either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Hans Daduna

1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

We study the extremes of branching random walks under the assumption that the underlying Galton-Watson tree has infinite progeny mean. It is assumed that the displacements are either regularly varying or they have lighter tails. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-05 Souvik Ray , Rajat Subhra Hazra , Parthanil Roy , Philippe Soulier

We consider a supercritical branching process and define a contact tracing mechanism on its genealogical tree. We calculate the growth rate of the post tracing process, and give conditions under which the tracing is strong enough to drive…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 M. T. Barlow

Motivated by the study of a parasite infection in a cell line, we introduce a general class of Markov processes for the modelling of population dynamics. The population process evolves as a diffusion with positive jumps whose rate is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Aline Marguet , Charline Smadi

In this paper, a special sequence of controlled branching processes is considered. We provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of such processes to a weak solution to a kind of continuous branching processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Jiawei Liu

We study the asymptotic behaviour of a critical decomposable 3-type Galton-Watson process with immigration when its offspring mean matrix is triangular with diagonal entries 1. It is proved that, under second or fourth order moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Matyas Barczy , Dániel Bezdány

We present two iterative methods for computing the global and partial extinction probability vectors for Galton-Watson processes with countably infinitely many types. The probabilistic interpretation of these methods involves truncated…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Sophie Hautphenne , Guy Latouche , Giang Nguyen

Continuous-state branching processes (CSBPs) with immigration (CBIs), stopped on hitting zero, are generalized by allowing the process governing immigration to be any L\'evy process without negative jumps. Unlike the CBIs, these newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Matija Vidmar

We investigate the quasi-limiting behaviour of bisexual subcritical Galton-Watson branching processes. While classical subcritical Galton-Watson processes have been extensively analyzed, bisexual Galton-Watson branching processes present…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-06 Coralie Fritsch , Denis Villemonais , Nicolás Zalduendo

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

We study a universal object for the genealogy of a sample in populations with mutations: the critical birth-death process with Poissonian mutations, conditioned on its population size at a fixed time horizon. We show how this process arises…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-30 G. Achaz , C. Delaporte , A. Lambert

We consider a subcritical Galton--Watson tree conditioned on having $n$ vertices with outdegree in a fixed set $\Omega$. Under mild regularity assumptions we prove various limits related to the maximal offspring of a vertex as $n$ tends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Benedikt Stufler

We introduce and study the class of branching-stable point measures, which can be seen as an analog of stable random variables when the branching mechanism for point measures replaces the usual addition. In contrast with the classical…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-21 Jean Bertoin , Aser Cortines , Bastien Mallein

Scaling limits for continuous-time branching processes with discrete state space are provided as the initial state tends to infinity. Depending on the finiteness or non-finiteness of the mean and/or the variance of the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Martin Möhle , Benedict Vetter

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

We consider a discrete-time host-parasite model for a population of cells which are colonized by proliferating parasites. The cell population grows like an ordinary Galton-Watson process, but in reflection of real biological settings the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-18 Gerold Alsmeyer , Sören Gröttrup

Stem cells, through their ability to produce daughter stem cells and differentiate into specialized cells, are essential in the growth, maintenance, and repair of biological tissues. Understanding the dynamics of cell populations in the…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-02 Huyen Nguyen , Haim Bar , Zhiyi Chi , Vladimir Pozdnyakov

We study a general setting of neutral evolution in which the population is of finite, constant size and can have spatial structure. Mutation leads to different genetic types ("traits"), which can be discrete or continuous. Under minimal…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-11-02 Alex McAvoy , Ben Adlam , Benjamin Allen , Martin A. Nowak

We consider a nonlinear structured population model with a distributed recruitment term. The question of the existence of non-trivial steady states can be treated (at least!) in three different ways. One approach is to study spectral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-06 Azmy S. Ackleh , Jozsef Z. Farkas
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