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A method for conducting leeway field experiments to establish the drift properties of small objects (0.1-25 m) is described. The objective is to define a standardized and unambiguous procedure for condensing the drift properties down to a…

Accurately predicting the drift (displacement) of leeway objects in maritime environments remains a critical challenge, particularly in time-sensitive scenarios such as search and rescue operations. In this study, we propose a multi-modal…

The leeway of 20-foot containers in typical distress conditions is established through field experiments in a Norwegian fjord and in open-ocean conditions off the coast of France with wind speed ranging from calm to 14 m/s. The experimental…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Øyvind Breivik , Arthur A. Allen , Christophe Maisondieu , Jens-Christian Roth , Bertrand Forest

The aim of this study is to address the effects of wind-induced drift on a floating sea objects using high--resolution ocean forecast data and atmospheric data. Two applications of stochastic Leeway model for prediction of trajectories…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-19 E. Y. Shchekinova , Y. Kumkar

Commonplace in oceanography is the collection of ocean drifter positions. Ocean drifters are devices that sit on the surface of the ocean and move with the flow, transmitting their position via GPS to stations on land. Using drifter data,…

Computation · Statistics 2014-08-28 Damon McDougall , Chris K. R. T. Jones

The notion of concept drift refers to the phenomenon that the distribution, which is underlying the observed data, changes over time; as a consequence machine learning models may become inaccurate and need adjustment. Many unsupervised…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Fabian Hinder , Valerie Vaquet , Barbara Hammer

Ocean hazardous spills and search and rescue incidents are more prevalent as maritime activities increase across all sectors of society. However, emergency response time remains a factor due to a lack of information to accurately forecast…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-03-24 Javier Gonzalez-Rocha , Alejandro J. Sosa , Regina Hanlon , Arthur A. Allen , Irina Rypina , David G. Schmale , Shane D. Ross

Climate models are often affected by long-term drift that is revealed by the evolution of global variables such as the ocean temperature or the surface air temperature. This spurious trend reduces the fidelity to initial conditions and has…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2017-09-20 Maura Brunetti , Christian Vérard

We present results from an experiment designed to better understand the mechanism by which ocean currents and winds control flotsam drift. The experiment consisted in deploying in the Florida Current and subsequently satellite tracking…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-26 M. J. Olascoaga , F. J. Beron-Vera , P. Miron , J. Triñanes , N. F. Putman , R. Lumpkin , G. J. Goni

In this paper, we propose a new method to forecast the drift of objects in near coastal ocean on a period of several weeks. The proposed approach consists in estimating the probability of events linked to the drift using Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Pierre Ailliot , Emmanuel Frenod , Valerie Monbet

Ocean buoy data in the form of high frequency multivariate time series are routinely recorded at many locations in the world's oceans. Such data can be used to characterise the ocean wavefield, which is important for numerous socio-economic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-25 Jake P. Grainger , Adam M. Sykulski , Kevin Ewans , Hans F. Hansen , Philip Jonathan

A new operational, ensemble-based search and rescue model for the Norwegian Sea and the North Sea is presented. The stochastic trajectory model computes the net motion of a range of search and rescue objects. A new, robust formulation for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-11-07 Øyvind Breivik , Arthur A Allen

Lagrangian ocean drifters provide highly accurate approximations of ocean surface currents but are sparsely located across the globe. As drifters passively follow ocean currents, there is minimal control on where they will be making…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-01 Nikolas O. Aksamit , Themistoklis P. Sapsis , George Haller

The task of determining the origin of a drifting object after it has been located is highly complex due to the uncertainties in drift properties and environmental forcing (wind, waves and surface currents). Usually the origin is inferred by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-04-16 Øyvind Breivik , Tor Christian Bekkvik , Atle Ommundsen , Cecilie Wettre

We provide a novel methodology for computing the most likely path taken by drifters between arbitrary fixed locations in the ocean. We also provide an estimate of the travel time associated with this path. Lagrangian pathways and travel…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-16 Michael O'Malley , Adam M. Sykulski , Romuald Laso-Jadart , Mohammed-Amin Madoui

Using a probabilistic neural network and Lagrangian observations from the Global Drifter Program, we model the single particle transition probability density function (pdf) of ocean surface drifters. The transition pdf is represented by a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 Martin T. Brolly

This paper proposes stochastic models for the analysis of ocean surface trajectories obtained from freely-drifting satellite-tracked instruments. The proposed time series models are used to summarise large multivariate datasets and infer…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-16 Adam M. Sykulski , Sofia C. Olhede , Jonathan M. Lilly , Eric Danioux

The predictability of the atmosphere at short and long time scales, associated with the coupling to the ocean, is explored in a new version of the Modular Arbitrary-Order Ocean-Atmosphere Model (MAOOAM), based on a 2-layer quasi-geostrophic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-02 Stéphane Vannitsem , Roman Solé-Pomies , Lesley De Cruz

The underactuated vehicles are apposite for the long-term deployment and data collection in spatiotemporally varying marine environments. However, these vehicles need to estimate their positions (states) with intrinsic sensing in their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-16 Tauhidul Alam , Gregory Murad Reis , Leonardo Bobadilla , Ryan N. Smith

The performance of inertial navigation systems is largely dependent on the stable flow of external measurements and information to guarantee continuous filter updates and bind the inertial solution drift. Platforms in different operational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Daniel Engelsman , Itzik Klein
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