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We apply the theory of linear recurrence sequences to find an expression for the ultimate ruin probability in a discrete-time risk process. We assume the claims follow an arbitrary distribution with support $\{0,1,\ldots,m\}$, for some…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-14 David J. Santana , Luis Rincón

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

In this short note, we derive explicit formulas for the joint densities of the time to ruin and the number of claims until ruin in perturbed classical risk models, by constructing several auxiliary random processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-22 Peng Liu , Chunsheng Zhang , Lanpeng Ji

In this paper we propose and solve an optimal dividend problem with capital injections over a finite time horizon. The surplus dynamics obeys a linearly controlled drifted Brownian motion that is reflected at the origin, dividends give rise…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-22 Giorgio Ferrari , Patrick Schuhmann

In this paper, we consider the mixed ratcheting-periodic dividend strategies for spectrally negative L\'{e}vy risk model, in which dividend payments can both be made continuously without falling and discretely at the jump times of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Fuyun Sun , Zhanjie Song

We derive formulas for the moments of the ruin time in a L\'evy risk model and use these to determine the asymptotic behavior of the moments of the ruin time as the initial capital tends to infinity. In the special case of the perturbed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Philipp Lukas Strietzel , Anita Behme

We consider the dividend maximization problem including a ruin penalty in a diffusion environment. The additional penalty term is motivated by a constraint on dividend strategies. Intentionally, we use different discount rates for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Josef Anton Strini , Stefan Thonhauser

The aim of this paper is to compare two asset allocation methods for a pension scheme during the decumulation phase in the simplified portfolio selection between a risky asset following a geometric Brownian motion and a riskless asset. The…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-13 Frédéric Planchet , Pierre-Emanuel Thérond

We consider a two-dimensional ruin problem where the surplus process of business lines is modelled by a two-dimensional correlated Brownian motion with drift. We study the ruin function $P(u)$ for the component-wise ruin (that is both…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-07 Krzysztof Debicki , Lanpeng Ji , Tomasz Rolski

This paper considers an optimal dividend distribution problem for an insurance company where the dividends are paid in a foreign currency. In the absence of dividend payments, our risk process follows a spectrally negative L\'evy process.…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-14 Julia Eisenberg , Zbigniew Palmowski

We study an optimal investment problem with multiple entries and forced exits. A closed form solution of the optimisation problem is presented for general underlying diffusion dynamics and a general running payoff function in the case when…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Jukka Lempa

We study risk processes with level dependent premium rate. Assuming that the premium rate converges, as the risk reserve increases, to the critical value in the net-profit condition, we obtain upper and lower bounds for the ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-07 Denis Denisov , Niklas Gotthardt , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

This paper extends the classical dividend problem by incorporating a novel, path-dependent mechanism of firm default. In the traditional framework, ruin occurs when the surplus process first reaches zero. In contrast, default in our model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Andi Bodnariu , Nils Engler , Neofytos Rodosthenous

For the sum process $X=X^1+X^2$ of a bivariate L\'evy process $(X^1,X^2)$ with possibly dependent components, we derive a quintuple law describing the first upwards passage event of $X$ over a fixed barrier, caused by a jump, by the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-12-11 Irmingard Eder , Claudia Klüppelberg

Contemporary insurance theory is concentrated on models with different types of polices and shock events may influence the payments on some of them. Jordanova (2018) considered a model where a shock event contributes to the total claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-28 Pavlina Jordanova , Evelina Veleva , Kosto Mitov

Drawdowns measuring the decline in value from the historical running maxima over a given period of time, are considered as extremal events from the standpoint of risk management. To date, research on the topic has mainly focus on the side…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 David Landriault , Bin Li , Hongzhong Zhang

We explicitly find the rate of exponential long-term convergence for the ruin probability in a level-dependent L\'evy-driven risk model, as time goes to infinity. Siegmund duality allows to reduce the pro blem to long-term convergence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-02 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Andrey Sarantsev

In this paper we investigate continuity properties for ruin probability in the classical risk model. Properties of contractive integral operators are used to derive continuity estimates for the deficit at ruin. These results are also…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-18 Lazaros Kanellopoulos

In this paper we consider a compound Poisson risk model with regularly varying claim sizes. For this model in [1] an asymptotic formula for the finite time ruin probability is provided when the time is scaled by the mean excess function. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-13 Søren Asmussen , Dominik Kortschak

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky