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Tropical cyclones present a serious threat to many coastal communities around the world. Many numerical weather prediction models provide deterministic forecasts with limited measures of their forecast uncertainty. Standard postprocessing…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-01 Stephen A. Walsh , Marco A. R. Ferreira , Dave Higdon , Stephanie Zick

The tropical cyclone formation process is one of the most complex natural phenomena which is governed by various atmospheric, oceanographic, and geographic factors that varies with time and space. Despite several years of research,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Sandeep Kumar , Koushik Biswas , Ashish Kumar Pandey

Accurate tropical cyclones (TCs) tracking represents a critical challenge in the context of weather and climate science. Traditional tracking schemes mainly rely on subjective thresholds, which may introduce biases in their skills on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Davide Donno , Donatello Elia , Gabriele Accarino , Marco De Carlo , Enrico Scoccimarro , Silvio Gualdi

Validation of flood models, used to support risk mitigation strategies, remains challenging due to limited observations during extreme events. High-frequency, high-resolution optical imagery (~3 m), such as PlanetScope, offers new…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Azizbek Nuriddinov , Ebrahim Ahmadisharaf , Mohammad Reza Alizadeh

Estimating the location and intensity of tropical cyclones holds crucial significance for predicting catastrophic weather events. In this study, we approach this task as a detection and regression challenge, specifically over the North…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-14 Akash Agrawal , Mayesh Mohapatra , Abhinav Raja , Paritosh Tiwari , Vishwajeet Pattanaik , Neeru Jaiswal , Arpit Agarwal , Punit Rathore

In this paper, we propose a deep learning-based model to detect extratropical cyclones (ETCs) of northern hemisphere, while developing a novel workflow of processing images and generating labels for ETCs. We first label the cyclone center…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Minjing Shi , Pengfei He , Yuli Shi

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal

Tropical Cyclones (TCs) are counted among the most destructive phenomena that can be found in nature. Every year, globally an average of 90 TCs occur over tropical waters, and global warming is making them stronger, larger and more…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Gabriele Accarino , Davide Donno , Francesco Immorlano , Donatello Elia , Giovanni Aloisio

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have been successfully applied to earth observation (EO) data and opened new research avenues. Despite the theoretical and practical advances of these techniques, DNNs are still considered black box tools and by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-15 Nils Lehmann , Nina Maria Gottschling , Stefan Depeweg , Eric Nalisnick

Anthropogenic influences have been linked to tropical cyclone (TC) poleward migration, TC extreme precipitation, and an increased proportion of major hurricanes [1, 2, 3, 4]. Understanding past TC trends and variability is critical for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Buo-Fu Chen , Boyo Chen , Chun-Min Hsiao , Hsu-Feng Teng , Cheng-Shang Lee , Hung-Chi Kuo

Landfall of a tropical cyclone is the event when it moves over the land after crossing the coast of the ocean. It is important to know the characteristics of the landfall in terms of location and time, well advance in time to take…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Sandeep Kumar , Koushik Biswas , Ashish Kumar Pandey

The task of typhoon center location plays an important role in typhoon intensity analysis and typhoon path prediction. Conventional typhoon center location algorithms mostly rely on digital image processing and mathematical morphology…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Chao Tan

A storm is a type of extreme weather. Therefore, forecasting the path of a storm is extremely important for protecting human life and property. However, storm forecasting is very challenging because storm trajectories frequently change. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Nguyen Van Thanh , Nguyen Dang Huynh , Nguyen Ngoc Tan , Nguyen Thai Minh , Nguyen Nam Hoang

The quantification of storm updrafts remains unavailable for operational forecasting despite their inherent importance to convection and its associated severe weather hazards. Updraft proxies, like overshooting top area from satellite…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-19 Randy J. Chase , Amy McGovern , Cameron Homeyer , Peter Marinescu , Corey Potvin

Tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasts are issued by human forecasters who evaluate spatio-temporal observations (e.g., satellite imagery) and model output (e.g., numerical weather prediction, statistical models) to produce forecasts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-01 Trey McNeely , Galen Vincent , Rafael Izbicki , Kimberly M. Wood , Ann B. Lee

Accurate cyclone forecasting is essential for minimizing loss of life, infrastructure damage, and economic disruption. Traditional numerical weather prediction models, though effective, are computationally intensive and prone to error due…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ethan Zachary Lo , Dan Chie-Tien Lo

Building on recent research for prediction of hurricane trajectories using recurrent neural networks (RNNs), we have developed improved methods and generalized the approach to predict Bayesian intervals in addition to simple point…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-12 Max Chiswick , Sam Ganzfried

In this study, we have explored an application of deep learning architecture of the U-Net model, originally designed for biomedical image segmentation, in a regression analysis aimed at predicting fluid flows through textured microchannels.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-06 Ganesh Sahadeo Meshram , Partha Pratim Chakrabarti , Suman Chakraborty

Tropical cyclones (TCs) rank among the most costly natural disasters in the United States, and accurate forecasts of track and intensity are critical for emergency response. Intensity guidance has improved steadily but slowly, as processes…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-08 Trey McNeely , Ann B. Lee , Kimberly M. Wood , Dorit Hammerling

Deep Learning is becoming an increasingly important way to produce accurate hydrological predictions across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. Uncertainty estimations are critical for actionable hydrological forecasting, and while…