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Models characterized by autoregressive structure and random coefficients are powerful tools for the analysis of high-frequency, high-dimensional and volatile time series. The available literature on such models is broad, but also sectorial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Marta Regis , Paulo Serra , Edwin R. van den Heuvel

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

In this paper, we consider the problem of constructing confidence interval for the correlation coefficient in a bivariate normal distribution. For this problem, we found fifteen approaches in literatures. Also, we have proposed a…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-31 Mohammad Reza Kazemi , Ali Akbar Jafari

We present new estimators for the statistical analysis of the dependence of the mean gap time length between consecutive recurrent events, on a set of explanatory random variables and in the presence of right censoring. The dependence is…

Applications · Statistics 2021-09-10 Ioana Schiopu-Kratina , Hai Yan Liu , Mayer Alvo , Pierre-Jerome Bergeron

This paper considers the problem of variable selection in regression models in the case of functional variables that may be mixed with other type of variables (scalar, multivariate, directional, etc.). Our proposal begins with a simple null…

Linear transformation model provides a general framework for analyzing censored survival data with covariates. The proportional hazards and proportional odds models are special cases of the linear transformation model. In biomedical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-11 Sudheesh K. K. , Deemat C. Mathew , Litty Mathew , Min Xie

This paper proposes an extension to conventional regression Neural Networks (NNs) for replacing the point predictions they produce with prediction intervals that satisfy a required level of confidence. Our approach follows a novel machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Harris Papadopoulos , Haris Haralambous

Confidence intervals are a fundamental tool for quantifying the uncertainty of parameters of interest. With the increase of data privacy awareness, developing a private version of confidence intervals has gained growing attention from both…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-12 Shurong Lin , Mark Bun , Marco Gaboardi , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Adam Smith

Conformal Prediction is a framework that produces prediction intervals based on the output from a machine learning algorithm. In this paper we explore the case when training data is made up of multiple parts available in different sources…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-16 Ola Spjuth , Robin Carrión Brännström , Lars Carlsson , Niharika Gauraha

Since survival data occur over time, often important covariates that we wish to consider also change over time. Such covariates are referred as time-dependent covariates. Quantile regression offers flexible modeling of survival data by…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-01 Malka Gorfine , Yair Goldberg , Yaacov Ritov

This paper develops computationally feasible methods for estimating random effects models in the context of regression modelling of multiple independent time series of discrete valued counts in which there is serial dependence. Given…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-10 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , C. McKendry , R. T. Dean

In modern experimental science, there is a common problem of estimating the coefficients of a linear regression in a context where the variables of interest cannot be observed simultaneously. When there is a categorical variable that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-10 Polina Arsenteva , Mohamed Amine Benadjaoud , Hervé Cardot

Adaptive experiments use preliminary analyses of the data to inform further course of action and are commonly used in many disciplines including medical and social sciences. Because the null hypothesis and experimental design are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Tobias Freidling , Qingyuan Zhao , Zijun Gao

We develop tools for selective inference in the setting of group sparsity, including the construction of confidence intervals and p-values for testing selected groups of variables. Our main technical result gives the precise distribution of…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Fan Yang , Rina Foygel Barber , Prateek Jain , John Lafferty

In this article, we derive an explicit formula for computing confidence interval for the mean of a bounded random variable. Moreover, we have developed multistage point estimation methods for estimating the mean value with prescribed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-29 Xinjia Chen

The purpose of this paper is to construct confidence intervals for the regression coefficients in the Fine-Gray model for competing risks data with random censoring, where the number of covariates can be larger than the sample size. Despite…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-10 Jue Hou , Jelena Bradic , Ronghui Xu

This paper proposes a decorrelation-based approach to test hypotheses and construct confidence intervals for the low dimensional component of high dimensional proportional hazards models. Motivated by the geometric projection principle, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-12-17 Ethan X. Fang , Yang Ning , Han Liu

Point estimation of class prevalences in the presence of data set shift has been a popular research topic for more than two decades. Less attention has been paid to the construction of confidence and prediction intervals for estimates of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Dirk Tasche

Predictive inference under a general regression setting is gaining more interest in the big-data era. In terms of going beyond point prediction to develop prediction intervals, two main threads of development are conformal prediction and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yiren Wang , Dimitris N. Politis

We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Jason D. Lee , Dennis L. Sun , Yuekai Sun , Jonathan E. Taylor