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We consider inference on a scalar regression coefficient under a constraint on the magnitude of the control coefficients. A class of estimators based on a regularized propensity score regression is shown to exactly solve a tradeoff between…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-08-11 Timothy B. Armstrong , Michal Kolesár , Soonwoo Kwon

In this work we consider the task of constructing prediction intervals in an inductive batch setting. We present a discriminative learning framework which optimizes the expected error rate under a budget constraint on the interval sizes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-02-28 Nir Rosenfeld , Yishay Mansour , Elad Yom-Tov

We propose a method for constructing confidence intervals that account for many forms of spatial correlation. The interval has the familiar `estimator plus and minus a standard error times a critical value' form, but we propose new methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-19 Ulrich K. Müller , Mark W. Watson

This paper introduces new methods for constructing prediction intervals using quantile-based techniques. The procedures are developed for both classical (homoscedastic) autoregressive models and modern quantile autoregressive models. They…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-29 Silvia Novo , César Sánchez-Sellero

Beta regression models provide an adequate approach for modeling continuous outcomes limited to the interval (0,1). This paper deals with an extension of beta regression models that allow for explanatory variables to be measured with error.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-04-11 Jalmar M. F. Carrasco , Silvia L. P. Ferrari , Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle

The problem of Voodoo correlations is recognized in neuroimaging as the problem of estimating quantities of interest from the same data that was used to select them as interesting. In statistical terminology, the problem of inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-11 Yoav Benjamini , Amit Meir

High-dimensional linear models with endogenous variables play an increasingly important role in recent econometric literature. In this work we allow for models with many endogenous variables and many instrument variables to achieve…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-30 Alexandre Belloni , Christian Hansen , Whitney Newey

Construction of valid statistical inference for estimators based on data-driven selection has received a lot of attention in the recent times. Berk et al. (2013) is possibly the first work to provide valid inference for Gaussian…

This work proposes new inference methods for a regression coefficient of interest in a (heterogeneous) quantile regression model. We consider a high-dimensional model where the number of regressors potentially exceeds the sample size but a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Kengo Kato

Meta-analysis is an important statistical technique for synthesizing the results of multiple studies regarding the same or closely related research question. So-called meta-regression extends meta-analysis models by accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-22 Thilo Welz , Eric S. Knop , Tim Friede , Markus Pauly

Whereas confidence intervals are used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured individuals, confounding intervals can be used to assess uncertainty due to unmeasured attributes. Previously, we have introduced a methodology for computing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Brian Knaeble , R Mitchell Hughes

Practical or scientific considerations often lead to selecting a subset of parameters as ``important.'' Inferences about those parameters often are based on the same data used to select them in the first place. That can make the reported…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-04 Yoav Benjamini , Yotam Hechtlinger , Philip B. Stark

Regression modeling is the workhorse of statistics and there is a vast literature on estimation of the regression function. It is realized in recent years that in regression analysis the ultimate aim may be the estimation of a level set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Fang Wan , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

Fitting high-dimensional statistical models often requires the use of non-linear parameter estimation procedures. As a consequence, it is generally impossible to obtain an exact characterization of the probability distribution of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-03 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

Machine learning models are increasingly used to produce predictions that serve as input data in subsequent statistical analyses. For example, computer vision predictions of economic and environmental indicators based on satellite imagery…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Dan M. Kluger , Kerri Lu , Tijana Zrnic , Sherrie Wang , Stephen Bates

We consider a linear regression model with regression parameter beta =(beta_1, ..., beta_p) and independent and identically N(0, sigma^2)distributed errors. Suppose that the parameter of interest is theta = a^T beta where a is a specified…

Computation · Statistics 2009-04-17 Paul Kabaila , Khageswor Giri

A reasonable confidence interval should have a confidence coefficient no less than the given nominal level and a small expected length to reliably and accurately estimate the parameter of interest, and the bootstrap interval is considered…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-15 Weizhen Wang , Chongxiu Yu , Zhongzhan Zhang

We consider clinical trials in which an experimental treatment is compared with a control in pre-specified patient subpopulations. In such settings, adaptive enrichment designs allow the enrolled population to be modified at an interim…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-17 Enyu Li , Nigel Stallard , Ekkehard Glimm , Dominic Magirr , Peter K. Kimani

Corrected confidence intervals are developed for the mean of the second component of a bivariate normal process when the first component is being monitored sequentially. This is accomplished by constructing a first approximation to a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 R. C. Weng , D. S. Coad

We consider the problem of model building for rare events prediction in longitudinal follow-up studies. In this paper, we compare several resampling methods to improve standard regression models on a real life example. We evaluate the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Pierre Druilhet , Mathieu Berthe , Stéphanie Léger