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Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) was designed to combine the learning capabilities of neural network with the reasoning transparency of fuzzy logic. However, conventional ANFIS architectures suffer from structural complexity,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Binbin Yong , Haoran Pei , Jun Shen , Haoran Li , Qingguo Zhou , Zhao Su

The prediction of solar flares, eruptions, and high energy particle storms is of great societal importance. The data mining approach to forecasting has been shown to be very promising. Benchmark datasets are a key element in the further…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-22 Petrus C. Martens , Rafal A. Angryk

Solar energetic particles (SEPs) are an essential source of space radiation, which are hazards for humans in space, spacecraft, and technology in general. In this paper we propose a deep learning method, specifically a bidirectional long…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-18 Yasser Abduallah , Vania K. Jordanova , Hao Liu , Qin Li , Jason T. L. Wang , Haimin Wang

Human living environment is influenced by intense solar activity. The solar activity exhibits periodicity and regularity. Although many deep-learning models are currently used for solar cycle prediction, most of them are based on a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-04 Cui Zhao , Kun Liu , Shangbin Yang , Jinchao Xia , Jingxia Chen , Jie Ren , Shiyuan Liu , Fangyuan He

Solar flare prediction plays an important role in understanding and forecasting space weather. The main goal of the Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), one of the instruments on NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory, is to study the origin…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-08 Yasser Abduallah , Jason T. L. Wang , Yang Nie , Chang Liu , Haimin Wang

Prediction of the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) events garner increasing interest as space missions extend beyond Earth's protective magnetosphere. These events, which are, in most cases, products of magnetic reconnection-driven processes…

Machine learning is nowadays the methodology of choice for flare forecasting and supervised techniques, in both their traditional and deep versions, are becoming the most frequently used ones for prediction in this area of space weather.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 Federico Benvenuto , Cristina Campi , Anna Maria Massone , Michele Piana

A phenomenological model is presented for the quantitative description of individual solar cycles' features, such as onset, intensity, evolution, in terms of the number of M and X-class solar flares. The main elements of the model are the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-08-14 Eleni Petrakou

In this paper, we consider incorporating data associated with the sun's north and south polar field strengths to improve solar flare prediction performance using machine learning models. When used to supplement local data from active…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-06 Mehmet Aktukmak , Zeyu Sun , Monica Bobra , Tamas Gombosi , Ward B. Manchester , Yang Chen , Alfred Hero

The increasing uncertainty in modern power systems, driven by the integration of intermittent energy sources and variable loads, underscores the need for probabilistic transient stability assessment. However, existing assessment methods…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-08 Jingyu Liu , Xiaoting Wang , Xiaozhe Wang

The occlusion of the sun by clouds is one of the primary sources of uncertainties in solar power generation, and is a factor that affects the wide-spread use of solar power as a primary energy source. Real-time forecasting of cloud movement…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Leron Julian , Haejoon Lee , Soummya Kar , Aswin C. Sankaranarayanan

Smooth power generation from solar stations demand accurate, reliable and efficient forecast of solar energy for optimal integration to cater market demand; however, the implicit instability of solar energy production may cause serious…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-02 Farah Shahid , Aneela Zameer , Mudasser Afzal , Muhammad Hassan

Reliable prediction of the solar cycle is a formidable challenge, yet it is increasingly vital in our technology-dependent society as solar activity drives space weather. Various methods, including precursors, nonlinear curve fitting and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-20 Bidya Binay Karak

This paper proposes a new architecture of incremen-tal fuzzy inference system (also called Evolving Fuzzy System-EFS). In the context of classifying data stream in non stationary environment, concept drifts problems must be addressed.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-07-23 Clement Leroy , Eric Anquetil , Nathalie Girard

A hybrid two-stage machine learning architecture that addresses the problem of excessive false positives (false alarms) in solar flare prediction systems is investigated. The first stage is a convolutional neural network (CNN) model based…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-09 Varad Deshmukh , Natasha Flyer , Kiera Van Der Sande , Thomas Berger

Intermittent magnetohydrodynamical turbulence is most likely at work in the magnetized solar atmosphere. As a result, an array of scaling and multi-scaling image-processing techniques can be used to measure the expected self-organization of…

Astrophysics · Physics 2007-05-23 Manolis K. Georgoulis

Accurate prediction of mercury content emitted from fossil fueled power stations is of utmost important for environmental pollution assessment and hazard mitigation. In this paper, mercury content in the output gas of power stations boilers…

Space weather events may cause damage to several fields, including aviation, satellites, oil and gas industries, and electrical systems, leading to economic and commercial losses. Solar flares are one of the most significant events, and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-06-25 T. Cinto , A. L. S. Gradvohl , G. P. Coelho , A. E. A. da Silva

Accurate and reliable solar flare predictions are essential to mitigate potential impacts on critical infrastructure. However, the current performance of solar flare forecasting is insufficient. In this study, we address the task of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Yusuke Takagi , Shunya Nagashima , Komei Sugiura

A fundamental issue about installation of photovoltaic solar power stations is the optimization of the energy generation and the fault detection, for which different techniques and methodologies have already been developed considering…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-07 Roberto G. Aragón , M. Eugenia Cornejo , Jesús Medina , Juan Moreno-García , Eloísa Ramírez-Poussa