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This paper establishes minimax rates for online regression with arbitrary classes of functions and general losses. We show that below a certain threshold for the complexity of the function class, the minimax rates depend on both the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-01-28 Alexander Rakhlin , Karthik Sridharan

Class imbalance in real-world data poses a common bottleneck for machine learning tasks, since achieving good generalization on under-represented examples is often challenging. Mitigation strategies, such as under or oversampling the data…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-02-03 Emanuele Loffredo , Mauro Pastore , Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson

A continuing mystery in understanding the empirical success of deep neural networks is their ability to achieve zero training error and generalize well, even when the training data is noisy and there are more parameters than data points. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-10 Vidya Muthukumar , Kailas Vodrahalli , Vignesh Subramanian , Anant Sahai

Previous work has proposed many new loss functions and regularizers that improve test accuracy on image classification tasks. However, it is not clear whether these loss functions learn better representations for downstream tasks. This…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-11-05 Simon Kornblith , Ting Chen , Honglak Lee , Mohammad Norouzi

Using methods of Statistical Physics, we investigate the generalization performance of support vector machines (SVMs), which have been recently introduced as a general alternative to neural networks. For nonlinear classification rules, the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Rainer Dietrich , Manfred Opper , Haim Sompolinsky

Regression models that ignore measurement error in predictors may produce highly biased estimates leading to erroneous inferences. It is well known that it is extremely difficult to take measurement error into account in Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-03 Mohammad W. Hattab , David Ruppert

We explore some mathematical features of the loss landscape of overparameterized neural networks. A priori one might imagine that the loss function looks like a typical function from $\mathbb{R}^n$ to $\mathbb{R}$ - in particular,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Y Cooper

Measuring the accuracy of cross-sectional predictions is a subjective problem. Generally, this problem is avoided. In contrast, this paper confronts subjectivity up front by eliciting an impartial decision-maker's preferences. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-30 Charles D. Coleman

Despite their simplicity, linear models perform well at time series forecasting, even when pitted against deeper and more expensive models. A number of variations to the linear model have been proposed, often including some form of feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-26 William Toner , Luke Darlow

Overparametrized models can exhibit an excellent generalization performance, although they should be prone to overfitting according to classical statistical theory. The discovery of the "double descent", indicating that the generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Tino Werner

An evolving line of machine learning works observe empirical evidence that suggests interpolating estimators -- the ones that achieve zero training error -- may not necessarily be harmful. This paper pursues theoretical understanding for an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-19 Yue Li , Yuting Wei

There has been substantial recent work on methods for estimating the slope function in linear regression for functional data analysis. However, as in the case of more conventional finite-dimensional regression, much of the practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 T. Tony Cai , Peter Hall

In this article, a large dimensional performance analysis of kernel least squares support vector machines (LS-SVMs) is provided under the assumption of a two-class Gaussian mixture model for the input data. Building upon recent advances in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-18 Zhenyu Liao , Romain Couillet

Classical regression has a simple geometric description in terms of a projection of the training labels onto the column space of the design matrix. However, for over-parameterized models -- where the number of fit parameters is large enough…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-28 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

Support vector machine (SVM) has attracted great attentions for the last two decades due to its extensive applications, and thus numerous optimization models have been proposed. To distinguish all of them, in this paper, we introduce a new…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Huajun Wang , Yuanhai Shao , Shenglong Zhou , Ce Zhang , Naihua Xiu

Understanding how overparameterized neural networks generalize despite perfect interpolation of noisy training data is a fundamental question. Mallinar et. al. 2022 noted that neural networks seem to often exhibit ``tempered overfitting'',…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Nirmit Joshi , Gal Vardi , Nathan Srebro

At the heart of machine learning lies the question of generalizability of learned rules over previously unseen data. While over-parameterized models based on neural networks are now ubiquitous in machine learning applications, our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-04 Melikasadat Emami , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Parthe Pandit , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

We propose a new prediction method for multivariate linear regression problems where the number of features is less than the sample size but the number of outcomes is extremely large. Many popular procedures, such as penalized regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Yihe Wang , Sihai Dave Zhao

Feature subsampling is a core component of random forests and other ensemble methods. While recent theory suggests that this randomization acts solely as a variance reduction mechanism analogous to ridge regularization, these results…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Xin Chen , Jason M. Klusowski , Yan Shuo Tan , Chang Yu

Recent theoretical results show that gradient descent on deep neural networks under exponential loss functions locally maximizes classification margin, which is equivalent to minimizing the norm of the weight matrices under margin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Andrzej Banburski , Fernanda De La Torre , Nishka Pant , Ishana Shastri , Tomaso Poggio
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