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COVID-19 is an emerging respiratory infectious disease caused by the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. It was first reported on in early December 2019 in Wuhan, China and within three month spread as a pandemic around the whole globe. Here, we study…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-23 Bernd Blasius

Background: The ongoing COVID-19 epidemic dilated rapidly throughout India. To end the global COVID-19 pandemic major behavioral, social distancing, contact tracing, and state interventions has been undertaken to reduce the outbreak and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-15 Kankan Sarkar , Subhas Khajanchi

To curb the spread of COVID-19, many governments around the world have implemented tiered lockdowns with varying degrees of stringency. Lockdown levels are typically increased when the disease spreads and reduced when the disease abates. A…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-16 Laurentz E. Olivier , Stefan Botha , Ian K. Craig

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti

To control the current outbreak of the Coronavirus Disease 2019, constant monitoring of the epidemic is required since, as of today, no vaccines or antiviral drugs against it are known. We provide daily updated estimates of the reproduction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-21 Thomas Hotz , Matthias Glock , Stefan Heyder , Sebastian Semper , Anne Böhle , Alexander Krämer

In March of this year, COVID-19 was declared a pandemic and it continues to threaten public health. This global health crisis imposes limitations on daily movements, which have deteriorated every sector in our society. Understanding public…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-27 Minha Lee , Jun Zhao , Qianqian Sun , Yixuan Pan , Weiyi Zhou , Chenfeng Xiong , Lei Zhang

This work is inspired by the outbreak of COVID-19, and some of the challenges we have observed with gathering data about the disease. To this end, we aim to help collect data about citizens and the disease without risking the privacy of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Katrine Tjell , Jaron Skovsted Gundersen , Rafael Wisniewski

Ever since the outbreak of the COVID-19 epidemic, various public health control strategies have been proposed and tested against the coronavirus SARS-CoV-2. We study three specific COVID-19 epidemic control models: the susceptible, exposed,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-09 Zhe Xu , Bo Wu , Ufuk Topcu

One of the defining moments of the year 2020 is the outbreak of Coronavirus Disease (Covid-19), a deadly virus affecting the body's respiratory system to the point of needing a breathing aid via ventilators. As of June 21, 2020 there are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Isa Inuwa-Dutse , Ioannis Korkontzelos

There were 27 novel coronavirus pneumonia cases found in Wuhan, China in December 2019, named as 2019-nCoV temporarily and COVID-19 formally by WHO on 11 February, 2020. In December 2019 and January 2020, COVID-19 has spread in large scale…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Yimin Zhou , Zuguo Chen , Xiangdong Wu , Zengwu Tian , Liang Cheng , Lingjian Ye

I employ a simple mathematical model of an epidemic process to evaluate how four basic quantities: the reproduction number (R), the numbers of sensitive (S) and infectious individuals(I), and total community size (N) affect strategies to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-08 Michael E. Hochberg

The effective control of the COVID-19 pandemic is one the most challenging issues of nowadays. The design of optimal control policies is perplexed from a variety of social, political, economical and epidemiological factors. Here, based on…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-03-16 Antonis Armaou , Bryce Katch , Lucia Russo , Constantinos Siettos

As of December 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic has infected over 75 million people, making it the deadliest pandemic in modern history. This study develops a novel compartmental epidemiological model specific to the SARS-CoV-2 virus and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-19 Caden Lin

Controlling the spread of COVID-19 - even after a licensed vaccine is available - requires the effective use of non-pharmaceutical interventions: physical distancing, limits on group sizes, mask wearing, etc. To date, such interventions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-10-30 Benjamin M. Althouse , Brendan Wallace , Brendan Case , Samuel V. Scarpino , Andrew M. Berdahl , Easton R. White , Laurent Hebert-Dufresne

Testing is a crucial control mechanism for an epidemic outbreak because it enables the health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases, thereby limiting the disease transmission to susceptible people, when no effective treatment…

In March of 2020, many U.S. state governments encouraged or mandated restrictions on social interactions to slow the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that has spread to nearly 180 countries.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Parker Liautaud , Peter Huybers , Mauricio Santillana

COVID-19, the disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus, has been declared a pandemic by the World Health Organization, which has reported over 18 million confirmed cases as of August 5, 2020. In this review, we present an overview of recent…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Joseph Bullock , Alexandra Luccioni , Katherine Hoffmann Pham , Cynthia Sin Nga Lam , Miguel Luengo-Oroz

Early assessments of the spreading rate of COVID-19 were subject to significant uncertainty, as expected with limited data and difficulties in case ascertainment, but more reliable inferences can now be made. Here, we estimate from European…

At the beginning of 2020 the world has seen the initial outbreak of COVID-19, a disease caused by SARS-CoV2 virus in China. The World Health Organization (WHO) declared this disease as a pandemic on March 11 2020. As the disease spread…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-17 Pitoyo Hartono

The ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic threatens the health of humans and causes great economic losses. Predictive modelling and forecasting the epidemic trends are essential for developing countermeasures to mitigate this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ling Xue , Shuanglin Jing , Joel C. Miller , Wei Sun , Huafeng Li , Jose Guillermo Estrada-Franco , James M Hyman , Huaiping Zhu
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