English
Related papers

Related papers: DEFM: Delay E mbedding based Forecast Machine for …

200 papers

In multivariable time series (MTS) forecasting, existing state-of-the-art deep learning approaches tend to focus on autoregressive formulations and often overlook the potential of using exogenous variables in enhancing the prediction of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Yuxuan Shu , Vasileios Lampos

To generate coherent responses, language models infer unobserved meaning from their input text sequence. One potential explanation for this capability arises from theories of delay embeddings in dynamical systems, which prove that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Mitchell Ostrow , Adam Eisen , Ila Fiete

Recommending items to users has long been a fundamental task, and studies have tried to improve it ever since. Most well-known models commonly employ representation learning to map users and items into a unified embedding space for matching…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Radin Cheraghi , Amir Mohammad Mahfoozi , Sepehr Zolfaghari , Mohammadshayan Shabani , Maryam Ramezani , Hamid R. Rabiee

Although Transformer-based methods have significantly improved state-of-the-art results for long-term series forecasting, they are not only computationally expensive but more importantly, are unable to capture the global view of time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Tian Zhou , Ziqing Ma , Qingsong Wen , Xue Wang , Liang Sun , Rong Jin

In recent years, traffic flow prediction has become a highlight in the field of intelligent transportation systems. However, due to the temporal variations and dynamic spatial correlations of traffic data, traffic prediction remains highly…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Tianfan Jiang , Mei Wu , Wenchao Weng , Dewen Seng , Yiqian Lin

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Shengdong Du , Tianrui Li , Yan Yang , Shi-Jinn Horng

This study introduces Universal Delay Embedding (UDE), a pretrained foundation model designed to revolutionize time-series forecasting through principled integration of delay embedding representation and Koopman operator prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Zijian Wang , Peng Tao , Jifan Shi , Rui Bao , Rui Liu , Luonan Chen

Time series forecasting is a critical and challenging task in practical application. Recent advancements in pre-trained foundation models for time series forecasting have gained significant interest. However, current methods often overlook…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-02 Shubao Zhao , Ming Jin , Zhaoxiang Hou , Chengyi Yang , Zengxiang Li , Qingsong Wen , Yi Wang

Recent advancements in deep learning have led to the development of various models for long-term multivariate time-series forecasting (LMTF), many of which have shown promising results. Generally, the focus has been on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 Shiyi Qi , Zenglin Xu , Yiduo Li , Liangjian Wen , Qingsong Wen , Qifan Wang , Yuan Qi

We propose the time-delayed transformer (TD-TF), a simplified transformer architecture for data-driven modeling of unsteady spatio-temporal dynamics. TD-TF bridges linear operator-based methods and deep sequence models by showing that a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Albert Alcalde , Markus Widhalm , Emre Yılmaz

Spatial time series forecasting problems arise in a broad range of applications, such as environmental and transportation problems. These problems are challenging because of the existence of specific spatial, short-term and long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

With the recent advancements in wireless technologies, forecasting electromagnetic field (EMF) exposure has become critical to enable proactive network spectrum and power allocation, as well as network deployment planning. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Xavier Mootoo , Hina Tabassum , Luca Chiaraviglio

Application for semantic segmentation models in areas such as autonomous vehicles and human computer interaction require real-time predictive capabilities. The challenges of addressing real-time application is amplified by the need to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Ethan Goan , Clinton Fookes

In this paper, we apply a recently developed nonparametric modeling approach, the "diffusion forecast", to predict the time-evolution of Fourier modes of turbulent dynamical systems. While the diffusion forecasting method assumes the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-03-23 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

A nonparametric method to predict non-Markovian time series of partially observed dynamics is developed. The prediction problem we consider is a supervised learning task of finding a regression function that takes a delay embedded…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-14 Faheem Gilani , Dimitrios Giannakis , John Harlim

1. Understanding the mechanisms underlying biological systems, and ultimately, predicting their behaviours in a changing environment requires overcoming the gap between mathematical models and experimental or observational data.…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2017-04-19 Philipp H Boersch-Supan , Sadie J Ryan , Leah R Johnson

A new time-delay estimation (TDE) technique based on dynamic programming is developed, to measures the time-varying time-delay between two signals. Dynamic programming based TDE technique provides a frequency response 5 to 10 times higher…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2010-01-11 Deepak K. Gupta , George R. McKee , Raymond R. Fonck

Time series forecasting plays a vital role across scientific, industrial, and environmental domains, especially when dealing with high-dimensional and nonlinear systems. While Transformer-based models have recently achieved state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Ali Forootani , Mohammad Khosravi , Masoud Barati

Large Language Diffusion Models (LLDMs) benefit from a flexible decoding mechanism that enables parallelized inference and controllable generations over autoregressive models. Yet such flexibility introduces a critical challenge: inference…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Yichuan Mo , Quan Chen , Mingjie Li , Zeming Wei , Yisen Wang

Foundation models (FMs) for the Earth system learn statistical relationships between physical variables across massive datasets to enable versatile downstream applications through finetuning, separating them from task-specific weather…