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We investigate the use of normalizing flow (NF) models as flexible priors in Bayesian inference via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling for iterative Bayesian calibration. Trained on posteriors from previous analyses, these models can…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2026-04-02 Hendrik Roch , Chun Shen

In this study, we introduce BEoRN (Bubbles during the Epoch of Reionisation Numerical Simulator), a publicly available Python code that generates three-dimensional maps of the 21-cm signal from the cosmic dawn and the epoch of reionisation.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-04-12 Timothée Schaeffer , Sambit K. Giri , Aurel Schneider

The epoch of reionization (EoR) 21-cm signal is expected to be highly non-Gaussian in nature and this non-Gaussianity is also expected to evolve with the progressing state of reionization. Therefore the signal will be correlated between…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Suman Majumdar , Jonathan R. Pritchard , Rajesh Mondal , Catherine A. Watkinson , Somnath Bharadwaj , Garrelt Mellema

Radiative feedback from stars and galaxies has been proposed as a potential solution to many of the tensions with simplistic galaxy formation models based on $\Lambda$CDM, such as the faint end of the UV luminosity function. The total…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2017-10-18 David Sullivan , Ilian T. Iliev , Keri L. Dixon

We present a Bayesian re-analysis of the sky-averaged 21-cm experimental data from SARAS2 using nested sampling implemented with polychord, spectrally smooth foreground modelling implemented with maxsmooth, detailed systematic modelling and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-05-23 H. T. J. Bevins , E. de Lera Acedo , A. Fialkov , W. J. Handley , S. Singh , R. Subrahmanyan , R. Barkana

Machine learning is gaining growing momentum in various recent models for the dynamic analysis of information flows in data communications networks. These preliminary models often rely on off-the-shelf learning models to predict from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Xiangle Cheng , James He , Shihan Xiao , Yingxue Zhang , Zhitang Chen , Pascal Poupart , Fenglin Li

We present FlowSN, a statistical framework using simulation-based inference (SBI) with normalising flows to account for selection effects in observational astronomy. Failure to account for selection effects can lead to biased inference on…

We propose parameterizing the population distribution of the gravitational wave population modeling framework (Hierarchical Bayesian Analysis) with a normalizing flow. We first demonstrate the merit of this method on illustrative…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-02 David Ruhe , Kaze Wong , Miles Cranmer , Patrick Forré

We explore the ability of observations of the global brightness temperature of the 21-cm signal to constrain the reionization history and the properties of the ionizing sources. In order to describe the reionization signal, we employ either…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Andrea Morandi , Rennan Barkana

In many scientific applications, the target probability distribution cannot be evaluated in closed form or sampled from directly. Instead, it can often be decomposed into multiple components, some of which are accessible only through…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Roxana Darvishi , David C. Stenning , Ted von Hippel , Owen G. Ward

This work is focused on the morphological classification of galaxies following the Hubble sequence in which the different classes are arranged in a hierarchy. The proposed method, BCNN, is composed of two main modules. First, a…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-04 Jonathan Serrano-Pérez , Raquel Díaz Hernández , L. Enrique Sucar

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

Direct detection of the Cosmic Dawn and Epoch of Reionization via the redshifted 21-cm line of neutral Hydrogen will have unprecedented implications for studying structure formation in the early Universe. This exciting goal is challenged by…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Florent G. Mertens , Jérôme Bobin , Isabella P. Carucci

Ensembles of geophysical models improve projection accuracy and express uncertainties. We develop a novel data-driven ensembling strategy for combining geophysical models using Bayesian Neural Networks, which infers spatiotemporally varying…

The Epoch of Reionization (EoR) 21-cm signal is expected to become increasingly non-Gaussian as reionization proceeds. We have used semi-numerical simulations to study how this affects the error predictions for the EoR 21-cm power spectrum.…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-03-03 Rajesh Mondal , Somnath Bharadwaj , Suman Majumdar , Apurba Bera , Ayan Acharyya

Solving inverse problems involving measurement noise and modeling errors requires regularization in order to avoid data overfit. Geophysical inverse problems, in which the Earth's highly heterogeneous structure is unknown, present a…

Geophysics · Physics 2022-03-31 Ali Siahkoohi , Rafael Orozco , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

The 21 cm signal arising from fluctuations in the neutral hydrogen field, and its cross-correlation with other tracers of cosmic density, are promising probes of the high-redshift Universe. In this study, we assess the potential of the 21…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-11-26 Barun Maity

The 21cm signal of neutral hydrogen contains a wealth of information about the poorly constrained era of cosmological history, the Epoch of Reionization (EoR). Recently, AI models trained on EoR simulations have gained significant attention…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-05-08 Jasper Solt , Jonathan C. Pober , Stephen H. Bach

Using a Bayesian framework, we quantify what current observations imply about the history of the epoch of reionisation (EoR). We use a popular, three-parameter EoR model, flexible enough to accommodate a wide range of physically-plausible…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-01 Bradley Greig , Andrei Mesinger

Detecting and characterizing individual ionized bubbles during the Epoch of Reionization (EoR) using the redshifted HI 21-cm signal provides a direct probe of the early ionizing sources and the intergalactic medium. We develop and validate…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-01-07 Arnab Mishra , Kanan Kumar Datta , Chandra Shekhar Murmu , Samir Choudhuri , Iffat Nasreen , Snehasish Saha
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