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Related papers: Power laws distributions in objective priors

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The power-expected-posterior (PEP) prior provides an objective, automatic, consistent and parsimonious model selection procedure. At the same time it resolves the conceptual and computational problems due to the use of imaginary data.…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-02 Dimitris Fouskakis , Ioannis Ntzoufras , Konstantinos Perrakis

This paper presents a study of the large-sample behavior of the posterior distribution of a structural parameter which is partially identified by moment inequalities. The posterior density is derived based on the limited information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Yuan Liao , Wenxin Jiang

Starting from microcanonical basis with the principle of equal a priori probability, it is found that, besides ordinary Boltzmann-Gibbs theory with the exponential distribution, a theory describing systems with power-law distributions can…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Sumiyoshi Abe , and A. K. Rajagopal

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

We study the behavior of the posterior distribution in high-dimensional Bayesian Gaussian linear regression models having $p\gg n$, with $p$ the number of predictors and $n$ the sample size. Our focus is on obtaining quantitative finite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-06 Nate Strawn , Artin Armagan , Rayan Saab , Lawrence Carin , David Dunson

Velocity distribution functions link the micro- and macro-level theories of fluid flow through porous media. Here we study them for the fluid absolute velocity and its longitudinal and lateral components relative to the macroscopic flow…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-01-20 Maciej Matyka , Jarosław Gołembiewski , Zbigniew Koza

Bayesian inferences in high energy physics often use uniform prior distributions for parameters about which little or no information is available before data are collected. The resulting posterior distributions are therefore sensitive to…

Applications · Statistics 2011-06-03 Luc Demortier , Supriya Jain , Harrison B. Prosper

The prevailing maximum likelihood estimators for inferring power law models from rank-frequency data are biased. The source of this bias is an inappropriate likelihood function. The correct likelihood function is derived and shown to be…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-27 Charlie Pilgrim , Thomas T Hills

We study prior distributions for Poisson parameter estimation under $L^1$ loss. Specifically, we construct a new family of prior distributions whose optimal Bayesian estimators (the conditional medians) can be any prescribed increasing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Leighton P. Barnes , Alex Dytso , H. Vincent Poor

High-dimensional Bayesian procedures often exhibit behavior that is effectively low dimensional, even when the ambient parameter space is large or infinite-dimensional. This phenomenon underlies the success of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Sayantan Banerjee

Graphical model learning and inference are often performed using Bayesian techniques. In particular, learning is usually performed in two separate steps. First, the graph structure is learned from the data; then the parameters of the model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-09 Marco Scutari

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

Reference analysis produces objective Bayesian inference, in the sense that inferential statements depend only on the assumed model and the available data, and the prior distribution used to make an inference is least informative in a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-02 James O. Berger , José M. Bernardo , Dongchu Sun

In order to better fit real-world datasets, studying asymmetric distribution is of great interest. In this work, we derive several mathematical properties of a general class of asymmetric distributions with positive support which shows up…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-11 Felipe S. Quintino , Pushpa N. Rathie , Luan C. S. M. Ozelim , Tiago A. da Fonseca , Roberto Vila

In this paper, we introduce a new probability distribution, the Lasso distribution. We derive several fundamental properties of the distribution, including closed-form expressions for its moments and moment-generating function.…

Optimization is widely used in statistics, and often efficiently delivers point estimates on useful spaces involving structural constraints or combinatorial structure. To quantify uncertainty, Gibbs posterior exponentiates the negative loss…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-23 Cheng Zeng , Eleni Dilma , Jason Xu , Leo L Duan

In this paper, we present an innovative method for constructing proper priors for the skewness (shape) parameter in the skew-symmetric family of distributions. The proposed method is based on assigning a prior distribution on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-28 Holger Dette , Christophe Ley , Francisco Javier Rubio

An initial screening experiment may lead to ambiguous conclusions regarding the factors which are active in explaining the variation of an outcome variable: thus adding follow-up runs becomes necessary. We propose a fully Bayes objective…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-13 Guido Consonni , Laura Deldossi

We consider stochastic processes where randomly chosen particles with positive quantities x, y (> 0) interact and exchange the quantities asymmetrically by the rule x' = c{(1-a) x + b y}, y' = d{a x + (1-b) y} (x \ge y), where (0 \le) a, b…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Akihiro Fujihara , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

We consider Bayesian inverse problems wherein the unknown state is assumed to be a function with discontinuous structure a priori. A class of prior distributions based on the output of neural networks with heavy-tailed weights is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-21 Chen Li , Matthew Dunlop , Georg Stadler