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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a major role in verification and validation of computational engineering models and simulations, and establishes trust in the predictive capability of computational models. In the materials science and…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-06-14 Anh Tran , Tim Wildey , Hojun Lim

We describe a computational framework linking Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) methods for continuum problems depending on random parameters with Equation-Free (EF) methods for performing continuum deterministic numerics by acting directly…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yu Zou , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

A radial basis function (RBF) based sequential surrogate reliability method (SSRM) is proposed, in which a special optimization problem is solved to update the surrogate model of the limit state function (LSF) iteratively. The objective of…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-27 Xu Li , Chunlin Gong , Liangxian Gu , Wenkun Gao , Zhao Jing , Hua Su

Superhydrophobic surfaces (SHS) have demonstrated significant potential in reducing turbulent drag by introducing slip conditions through micro-structured geometries. While previous studies have examined individual SHS configurations such…

Predictive estimation, which comprises model calibration, model prediction, and validation, is a common objective when performing inverse uncertainty quantification (UQ) in diverse scientific applications. These techniques typically require…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-17 Ningxin Yang , Truong Le , Lidija Zdravković , David M. Potts

The high dimensionality of kinetic equations with stochastic parameters poses major computational challenges for uncertainty quantification (UQ). Traditional Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods, while widely used, suffer from slow convergence…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Wei Chen , Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an active area of research, and an essential technique used in all fields of science and engineering. The most common methods for UQ are Monte Carlo and surrogate-modelling. The former method is…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-01 Arnau Albà , Romana Boiger , Dimitri Rochman , Andreas Adelmann

In complex physical process characterization, such as the measurement of the regression rate for solid hybrid rocket fuels, where both the observation data and the model used have uncertainties originating from multiple sources, combining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Georgios Georgalis , Kolos Retfalvi , Paul E. DesJardin , Abani Patra

This paper proposes a nonlinear stochastic complementary filter design for inertial navigation that takes advantage of a fusion of Ultra-wideband (UWB) and Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) technology ensuring semi-global uniform ultimate…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-28 Hashim A. Hashim , Abdelrahman E. E. Eltoukhy , Kyriakos G. Vamvoudakis

The upper mid-band (UMB) spectrum is a key enabler for 6G systems, yet reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS)-assisted UMB communications face severe channel estimation challenges due to near-field propagation and transitional scattering,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Jeongjae Lee , Chanwon Kim , Songnam Hong

Development of an accurate, flexible, and numerically efficient uncertainty quantification (UQ) method is one of fundamental challenges in machine learning. Previously, a UQ method called DISCO Nets has been proposed (Bouchacourt et al.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Takuya Kanazawa , Chetan Gupta

In computational materials science, coarse-graining approaches often lack a priori uncertainty quantification (UQ) tools that estimate the accuracy of a reduced-order model before it is calibrated or deployed. This is especially the case in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-12-11 Paul N. Patrone , Andrew M. Dienstfrey , Geoffrey B. McFadden

The growing uncertainty from renewable power and electricity demand brings significant challenges to unit commitment (UC). While various advanced forecasting and optimization methods have been developed to predict better and address this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-30 Rui Xie , Yue Chen , Pierre Pinson

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) are promising surrogates for quantum mechanics evaluations in ab-initio molecular dynamics simulations due to their ability to reproduce the energy and force landscape within chemical accuracy…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-08-31 Emil Annevelink , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan

It is critical and challenging to design robust predictors for stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs) with uncertainty quantification (UQ) in the prediction. Specifically, robustness guarantees the worst-case performance when the predictor's…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Tao Xu , Jianping He

The construction of efficient methods for uncertainty quantification in kinetic equations represents a challenge due to the high dimensionality of the models: often the computational costs involved become prohibitive. On the other hand,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-03 Giacomo Dimarco , Liu Liu , Lorenzo Pareschi , Xueyu Zhu

Quantifying uncertainties for machine learning models is a critical step to reduce human verification effort by detecting predictions with low confidence. This paper proposes a method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) of table structure…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Kehinde Ajayi , Leizhen Zhang , Yi He , Jian Wu

Reynolds-Averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) models are widely used for turbulent flow simulations due to their computational efficiency, but their accuracy strongly depends on the selected turbulence closure and may vary across the flow domain.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-18 Piero Zappi , Anna Ivagnes , Niccolò Tonicello , Gianluigi Rozza

In this work, a stochastic, physics-based model for Lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is presented in order to study the effects of parametric model uncertainties on the cell capacity, voltage, and concentrations. To this end, the proposed…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-09-17 Mohammad Hadigol , Kurt Maute , Alireza Doostan

Using a cyclotron based model problem, we demonstrate for the first time the applicability and usefulness of a uncertainty quantification (UQ) approach in order to construct surrogate models for quantities such as emittance, energy spread…

Accelerator Physics · Physics 2018-12-13 Andreas Adelmann