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We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

In this paper, we study a notion of local stationarity for discrete time Markov chains which is useful for applications in statistics. In the spirit of some locally stationary processes introduced in the literature, we consider triangular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-06 Lionel Truquet

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a non-stationary Hawkes process with time-dependent reproduction rate and baseline intensity. Our approach relies on the standard maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), coinciding with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

In a wide range of applications, the stochastic properties of the observed time series change over time. The changes often occur gradually rather than abruptly: the properties are (approximately) constant for some time and then slowly start…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-04-03 Michael Vogt , Holger Dette

We develop an estimator for the high-dimensional covariance matrix of a locally stationary process with a smoothly varying trend and use this statistic to derive consistent predictors in non-stationary time series. In contrast to the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-08 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu

Stationary determinantal point processes are proved to be Brillinger mixing. This property is an important step towards asymptotic statistics for these processes. As an important example, a central limit theorem for a wide class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-24 Christophe Ange Napoléon Biscio , Frédéric Lavancier

The paper addresses the problem to estimate the power spectral density of an ARMA zero mean Gaussian process. We propose a kernel based maximum entropy spectral estimator. The latter searches the optimal spectrum over a class of high order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Mattia Zorzi

Let $X=\{X_n: n\in\mathbb{N}\}$ be a long memory linear process with innovations in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law $(0<\alpha<2)$. Assume that the linear process $X$ has a bounded probability density function $f(x)$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-10-10 Hui Liu , Fangjun Xu

In this paper we propose a recursive online algorithm for estimating the parameters of a time-varying ARCH process. The estimation is done by updating the estimator at time point $t-1$ with observations about the time point $t$ to yield an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Rainer Dahlhaus , Suhasini Subba Rao

This study introduces an innovative local statistical moment approach for estimating Kramers-Moyal coefficients, effectively bridging the gap between nonparametric and parametric methodologies. These coefficients play a crucial role in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Christian Wiedemann , Matthias Wächter , Jan A. Freund , Joachim Peinke

In this paper we investigate the problem of testing the assumption of stationarity in locally stationary processes. The test is based on an estimate of a Kolmogorov-Smirnov type distance between the true time varying spectral density and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Philip Preuß , Mathias Vetter , Holger Dette

In longitudinal study, it is common that response and covariate are not measured at the same time, which complicates the analysis to a large extent. In this paper, we take into account the estimation of generalized varying coefficient model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-10 Rou Zhong , Chunming Zhang , Jingxiao Zhang

In this paper, we study nonparametric models allowing for locally stationary regressors and a regression function that changes smoothly over time. These models are a natural extension of time series models with time-varying coefficients. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Michael Vogt

We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihood. Our proposed method involves recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-13 Takafumi Kajihara , Motonobu Kanagawa , Keisuke Yamazaki , Kenji Fukumizu

In this article, we consider the problem of testing whether two latent position random graphs are correlated. We propose a test statistic based on the kernel method and introduce the estimation procedure based on the spectral decomposition…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Xiaoyi Wen , Junhui Wang , Liping Zhu

The article introduces spatial long-range dependent models based on the fractional difference operators associated with the Gegenbauer polynomials. The results on consistency and asymptotic normality of a class of minimum contrast…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-01-21 R. M. Espejo , N. N. Leonenko , A. Olenko , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

We study stationarity and moments properties of some count time series models from contraction and stability properties of iterated random maps. Both univariate and multivariate processes are considered, including the recent multivariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-26 Zinsou Max Debaly , Lionel Truquet

We propose an adaptive bandwidth selector via cross validation for local M-estimators in locally stationary processes. We prove asymptotic optimality of the procedure under mild conditions on the underlying parameter curves. The results are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Stefan Richter , Rainer Dahlhaus

In this paper we present a robust estimator for the parameters of a continuous-time ARMA(p,q) (CARMA(p,q)) process sampled equidistantly which is not necessarily Gaussian. Therefore, an indirect estimation procedure is used. It is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Sebastian Kimmig

Kernel smoothers are considered near the boundary of the interval. Kernels which minimize the expected mean square error are derived. These kernels are equivalent to using a linear weighting function in the local polynomial regression. It…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Alexander Sidorenko , Kurt S. Riedel