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Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

The aim of this study is to compare two supervised classification methods on a crucial meteorological problem. The data consist of satellite measurements of cloud systems which are to be classified either in convective or non convective…

Applications · Statistics 2008-12-18 Anne Ruiz , Nathalie Villa

This report first provides a brief overview of a number of supervised learning algorithms for regression tasks. Among those are neural networks, regression trees, and the recently introduced Nexting. Nexting has been presented in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Michael Koller , Johannes Feldmaier , Klaus Diepold

Many promising applications of supervised machine learning face hurdles in the acquisition of labeled data in sufficient quantity and quality, creating an expensive bottleneck. To overcome such limitations, techniques that do not depend on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Benedikt Boecking , Nicholas Roberts , Willie Neiswanger , Stefano Ermon , Frederic Sala , Artur Dubrawski

In this paper, we address an issue of finding explainable clusters of class-uniform data in labelled datasets. The issue falls into the domain of interpretable supervised clustering. Unlike traditional clustering, supervised clustering aims…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Natallia Kokash , Leonid Makhnist

Social media plays a major role during and after major natural disasters (e.g., hurricanes, large-scale fires, etc.), as people ``on the ground'' post useful information on what is actually happening. Given the large amounts of posts, a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-01-01 Chidubem Arachie , Manas Gaur , Sam Anzaroot , William Groves , Ke Zhang , Alejandro Jaimes

Temporal causal representation learning is a powerful tool for uncovering complex patterns in observational studies, which are often represented as low-dimensional time series. However, in many real-world applications, data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jianhong Chen , Meng Zhao , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Xubo Yue

Dynamical downscaling with high-resolution regional climate models may offer the possibility of realistically reproducing precipitation and weather events in climate simulations. As resolutions fall to order kilometers, the use of explicit…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Won Chang , Jiali Wang , Julian Marohnic , Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

Extreme weather events have significant consequences, dominating the impact of climate on society. While high-resolution weather models can forecast many types of extreme events on synoptic timescales, long-term climatological risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 Justin Finkel , Edwin P. Gerber , Dorian S. Abbot , Jonathan Weare

Unsupervised learning of visual similarities is of paramount importance to computer vision, particularly due to lacking training data for fine-grained similarities. Deep learning of similarities is often based on relationships between pairs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Miguel A Bautista , Artsiom Sanakoyeu , Björn Ommer

Flash floods in urban areas occur with increasing frequency. Detecting these floods would greatlyhelp alleviate human and economic losses. However, current flood prediction methods are eithertoo slow or too simplified to capture the flood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-08-28 Kun Qian , Abduallah Mohamed , Christian Claudel

Event detection in time series is a challenging task due to the prevalence of imbalanced datasets, rare events, and time interval-defined events. Traditional supervised deep learning methods primarily employ binary classification, where…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-16 Menouar Azib , Benjamin Renard , Philippe Garnier , Vincent Génot , Nicolas André

Representations of events described in text are important for various tasks. In this work, we present SWCC: a Simultaneous Weakly supervised Contrastive learning and Clustering framework for event representation learning. SWCC learns event…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Jun Gao , Wei Wang , Changlong Yu , Huan Zhao , Wilfred Ng , Ruifeng Xu

Unsupervised clustering is one of the most fundamental challenges in machine learning. A popular hypothesis is that data are generated from a union of low-dimensional nonlinear manifolds; thus an approach to clustering is identifying and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-27 Dejiao Zhang , Yifan Sun , Brian Eriksson , Laura Balzano

Accurate classification of weather conditions in images is essential for enhancing the performance of object detection and classification models under varying weather conditions. This paper presents a comprehensive study on classifying…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Eden Ship , Eitan Spivak , Shubham Agarwal , Raz Birman , Ofer Hadar

We address the problem of unsupervised semantic segmentation of outdoor LiDAR point clouds in diverse traffic scenarios. The key idea is to leverage the spatiotemporal nature of a dynamic point cloud sequence and introduce drastically…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Xiao Li , Pan He , Aotian Wu , Sanjay Ranka , Anand Rangarajan

Solar forecasting accuracy is affected by weather conditions, and weather awareness forecasting models are expected to improve the performance. However, it may not be available and reliable to classify different forecasting tasks by using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-14 Cong Feng , Mingjian Cui , Bri-Mathias Hodge , Siyuan Lu , Hendrik F. Hamann , Jie Zhang

The success of deep learning techniques over the last decades has opened up a new avenue of research for weather forecasting. Here, we take the novel approach of using a neural network to predict full probability density functions at each…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-05 Mariana Clare , Omar Jamil , Cyril Morcrette

This study introduces a general semiparametric clusterwise index distribution model to analyze how latent clusters affect the covariate-response relationships. By employing sufficient dimension reduction to account for the effects of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-30 Jen-Chieh Teng , Chin-Tsang Chiang