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Risk-driven behavior provides a feedback mechanism through which individuals both shape and are collectively affected by an epidemic. We introduce a general and flexible compartmental model to study the effect of heterogeneity in the…

The Regression Discontinuity (RD) design is a quasi-experimental design which emulates a randomised study by exploiting situations where treatment is assigned according to a continuous variable as is common in many drug treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-28 Sara Geneletti , Federico Ricciardi , Aidan O'Keeffe , Gianluca Baio

For a risk vector $V$, whose components are shared among agents by some random mechanism, we obtain asymptotic lower and upper bounds for the individual agents' exposure risk and the aggregated risk in the market. Risk is measured by…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-12 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg

An important goal of environmental health research is to assess the risk posed by mixtures of environmental exposures. Two popular classes of models for mixtures analyses are response-surface methods and exposure-index methods.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Glen McGee , Ander Wilson , Thomas F. Webster , Brent A. Coull

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…

Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Comparative binary outcome data are of fundamental interest in statistics and are often pooled in meta-analyses. Here we examine the simplest case where for each study there are two patient groups and a binary event of interest, giving rise…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-12 Rose Baker , Dan Jackson

For the outcomes and phenotypes of complex diseases, multiple types of molecular (genetic, genomic, epigenetic, etc.) changes, environmental risk factors, and their interactions have been found to have important contributions. In each of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-19 Yaqing Xu , Mengyun Wu , Shuangge Ma

Linear model prediction with a large number of potential predictors is both statistically and computationally challenging. The traditional approaches are largely based on shrinkage selection/estimation methods, which are applicable even…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-17 Hanmei Sun , Jiangshan Zhang , Jiming Jiang

There is growing interest in developing causal inference methods for multi-valued treatments with a focus on pairwise average treatment effects. Here we focus on a clinically important, yet less-studied estimand: causal drug-drug…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Di Shu , Peisong Han , Sean Hennessy , Todd A Miano

The banking systems that deal with risk management depend on underlying risk measures. Following the Basel II accord, there are two separate methods by which banks may determine their capital requirement. The Value at Risk measure plays an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dominique Guégan , Wayne Tarrant

Using administrative patient-care data such as Electronic Health Records (EHR) and medical/ pharmaceutical claims for population-based scientific research has become increasingly common. With vast sample sizes leading to very small standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-21 Ritoban Kundu , Xu Shi , Jean Morrison , Jessica Barrett , Bhramar Mukherjee

Many diseases and traits involve a complex interplay between genes and environment, generating significant interest in studying gene-environment interaction through observational data. However, for lifestyle and environmental risk factors,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-22 Malka Gorfine , Conghui Qu , Ulrike Peters , Li Hsu

Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) induced from high-order drug-drug interactions (DDIs) due to polypharmacy represent a significant public health problem. In this paper, we formally formulate the to-avoid and safe (with respect to ADRs) drug…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-03-09 Wen-Hao Chiang , Li Shen , Lang Li , Xia Ning

We extend the duality between exponential integrals and relative entropy to a variational formula for exponential integrals involving the Renyi divergence. This formula characterizes the dependence of risk-sensitive functionals and related…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-25 Rami Atar , Kamaljit Chowdhary , Paul Dupuis

Modeling dose-response relationships of drugs is essential to understanding their effect on patient outcomes under realistic circumstances. While intention-to-treat analyses of clinical trials provide the effect of assignment to a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-02-15 Jacob Spertus , Marcela Horvitz-Lennon , Sharon-Lise Normand

Reducing the number of experimental units is one of the three pillars of the 3R principles (Replace, Reduce, Refine) in animal research. At the same time, statistical error rates need to be controlled to enable reliable inferences and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Leonhard Held , Fadoua Balabdaoui , Saverio Fontana , Samuel Pawel

Drug-drug interaction (DDI) is a vital information when physicians and pharmacists intend to co-administer two or more drugs. Thus, several DDI databases are constructed to avoid mistakenly combined use. In recent years, automatically…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-05-19 Zibo Yi , Shasha Li , Jie Yu , Qingbo Wu

Dietary supplements are used by a large portion of the population, but information on their pharmacologic interactions is incomplete. To address this challenge, we present SUPP.AI, an application for browsing evidence of supplement-drug…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Lucy Lu Wang , Oyvind Tafjord , Arman Cohan , Sarthak Jain , Sam Skjonsberg , Carissa Schoenick , Nick Botner , Waleed Ammar

We address a classical problem in statistics: adding two-way interaction terms to a regression model. As the covariate dimension increases quadratically, we develop an estimator that adapts well to this increase, while providing accurate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Mark A. van de Wiel , Matteo Amestoy , Jeroen Hoogland