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Multiple-choice exams are frequently used as an efficient and objective method to assess learning but they are more vulnerable to answer-copying than tests based on open questions. Several statistical tests (known as indices in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-29 Mauricio Romero , Alvaro Riascos , Diego Jara

In this paper we look at popular fairness methods that use causal counterfactuals. These methods capture the intuitive notion that a prediction is fair if it coincides with the prediction that would have been made if someone's race, gender…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-12 Jake Fawkes , Robin Evans , Dino Sejdinovic

We introduce a simple diagnostic test for assessing the overall or partial goodness of fit of a linear causal model with errors being independent of the covariates. In particular, we consider situations where hidden confounding is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-06 Christoph Schultheiss , Peter Bühlmann , Ming Yuan

Attrition in survey and field experiments presents a challenge for social science research. Common approaches to deal with this problem -- such as complete case analysis, multiple imputation, and weighting methods -- rely on strong…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Xiangyu Song

This paper proposes a novel testing procedure for selecting a sparse set of covariates that explains a large dimensional panel. Our selection method provides correct false detection control while having higher power than existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-09 Markus Pelger , Jiacheng Zou

Bayesian model comparison relies upon the model evidence, yet for many models of interest the model evidence is unavailable in closed form and must be approximated. Many of the estimators for evidence that have been proposed in the Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-02 Chris J. Oates , Theodore Papamarkou , Mark Girolami

We study how to perform tests on samples of pairs of observations and predictions in order to assess whether or not the predictions are prudent. Prudence requires that that the mean of the difference of the observation-prediction pairs can…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-03 Dirk Tasche

Comparative binary outcome data are of fundamental interest in statistics and are often pooled in meta-analyses. Here we examine the simplest case where for each study there are two patient groups and a binary event of interest, giving rise…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-12 Rose Baker , Dan Jackson

In this paper, we consider the problem of simultaneously testing many two-sided hypotheses when rejections of null hypotheses are accompanied by claims of the direction of the alternative. The fundamental goal is to construct methods that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-21 Anjana Grandhi , Wenge Guo , Joseph P. Romano

Given observations from a positive random variable contaminated by multiplicative measurement error, we consider a nonparametric goodness-of-fit testing task for its unknown density in a non-asymptotic framework. We propose a testing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-02 Jan Johannes , Bianca Neubert

Negative control is a strategy for learning the causal relationship between treatment and outcome in the presence of unmeasured confounding. The treatment effect can nonetheless be identified if two auxiliary variables are available: a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-24 Rahul Singh

Negative binomial regression is essential for analyzing over-dispersed count data in in comparative studies, but parameter estimation becomes computationally challenging in large screens requiring millions of comparisons. We investigate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-07 Valentine Svensson

The impact of mitigation or control measures on an epidemics can be estimated by fitting the parameters of a compartmental model to empirical data, and running the model forward with modified parameters that account for a specific measure.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-10 Jacopo Grilli , Matteo Marsili , Guido Sanguinetti

We present the problem of "Reject Inference" for credit acceptance. Because of the current legal framework (Basel II), credit institutions need to industrialize their processes for credit acceptance, including Reject Inference. We present…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-08-16 Emmanuel Viennet , Françoise Fogelman Soulié , Benoit Rognier

A critical step in the fight against COVID-19, which continues to have a catastrophic impact on peoples lives, is the effective screening of patients presented in the clinics with severe COVID-19 symptoms. Chest radiography is one of the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-09 Tomasz Szczepański , Arkadiusz Sitek , Tomasz Trzciński , Szymon Płotka

Surveillance of diseases in a pandemic is an important part of public health policy. Diagnostic testing at the individual level is often infeasible due to resource constraints. To circumvent these constraints, group testing can be applied.…

Computation · Statistics 2026-04-01 Michael Balzer , Kainat Khowaja , Christiane Fuchs

Recovering and distinguishing between the strict-preference, indifference and/or indecisiveness parts of a decision maker's preferences is a challenging task but also important for testing theory and conducting welfare analysis. This paper…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-15 Georgios Gerasimou

Estimating an individual's potential response to interventions from observational data is of high practical relevance for many domains, such as healthcare, public policy or economics. In this setting, it is often the case that combinations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Sonali Parbhoo , Stefan Bauer , Patrick Schwab

We discuss observational studies that test many causal hypotheses, either hypotheses about many outcomes or many treatments. To be credible an observational study that tests many causal hypotheses must demonstrate that its conclusions are…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-08 Qingyuan Zhao , Dylan S. Small , Paul R. Rosenbaum

Two new goodness of fit tests for the Pareto type-I distribution for complete and right censored data are proposed using fixed point characterization based on Steins type identity. The asymptotic distributions of the test statistics under…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-30 Avhad Ganesh Vishnu , Ananya Lahiri , Sudheesh K. Kattumannil
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