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Gaussian Processes (GPs) can be used as flexible, non-parametric function priors. Inspired by the growing body of work on Normalizing Flows, we enlarge this class of priors through a parametric invertible transformation that can be made…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Juan Maroñas , Oliver Hamelijnck , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

The combination of inducing point methods with stochastic variational inference has enabled approximate Gaussian Process (GP) inference on large datasets. Unfortunately, the resulting predictive distributions often exhibit substantially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-29 Martin Jankowiak , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a Bayesian nonparametric method for regression and interpolation, offering a principled way of quantifying the uncertainties of predicted function values. For the quantified uncertainties to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-22 Masha Naslidnyk , Motonobu Kanagawa , Toni Karvonen , Maren Mahsereci

The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-02 Kurt Cutajar , Edwin V. Bonilla , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

We propose a new method for simplification of Gaussian process (GP) models by projecting the information contained in the full encompassing model and selecting a reduced number of variables based on their predictive relevance. Our results…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-18 Juho Piironen , Aki Vehtari

High-fidelity simulations and physical experiments are essential for engineering analysis and design, yet their high cost often makes two critical tasks--global sensitivity analysis (GSA) and optimization--prohibitively expensive. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Bach Do , Nafeezat A. Ajenifuja , Taiwo A. Adebiyi , Ruda Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are an important tool in machine learning and statistics with applications ranging from social and natural science through engineering. They constitute a powerful kernelized non-parametric method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-20 Manuel Schürch , Dario Azzimonti , Alessio Benavoli , Marco Zaffalon

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used as surrogate models for complicated functions in scientific and engineering applications. In many cases, prior knowledge about the function to be approximated, such as monotonicity, is available and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Chao Zhang , Jasper M. Everink , Jakob Sauer Jørgensen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are canonical as surrogates for computer experiments because they enjoy a degree of analytic tractability. But that breaks when the response surface is constrained, say to be monotonic. Here, we provide a mono-GP…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-28 Steven D. Barnett , Lauren J. Beesley , Annie S. Booth , Robert B. Gramacy , Dave Osthus

We apply the inverse-Gaussianization method proposed in \citealt{arXiv:1607.05007} to fast produce weak lensing convergence maps and investigate the peak statistics, including the peak height counts and peak steepness counts, in these…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-09-13 Zhao Chen , Yu Yu , Xiangkun Liu , Zuhui Fan

Cosmological analyses can be accelerated by approximating slow calculations using a training set, which is either precomputed or generated dynamically. However, this approach is only safe if the approximations are well understood and…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-03 Grigor Aslanyan , Richard Easther , Layne C. Price

The stochastic partial differential equation approach to Gaussian processes (GPs) represents Mat\'ern GP priors in terms of $n$ finite element basis functions and Gaussian coefficients with sparse precision matrix. Such representations…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-11 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Ruiyi Yang

In this paper, we investigate a class of approximate Gaussian processes (GP) obtained by taking a linear combination of compactly supported basis functions with the basis coefficients endowed with a dependent Gaussian prior distribution.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Jaehoan Kim , Anirban Bhattacharya , Debdeep Pati

The Gaussian process (GP) regression can be severely biased when the data are contaminated by outliers. This paper presents a new robust GP regression algorithm that iteratively trims the most extreme data points. While the new algorithm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Zhao-Zhou Li , Lu Li , Zhengyi Shao

This paper proposes a novel scheme for reduced-rank Gaussian process regression. The method is based on an approximate series expansion of the covariance function in terms of an eigenfunction expansion of the Laplace operator in a compact…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

Continuous-time trajectory representations are a powerful tool that can be used to address several issues in many practical simultaneous localization and mapping (SLAM) scenarios, like continuously collected measurements distorted by robot…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-18 Jing Dong , Byron Boots , Frank Dellaert

We here consider the subset simulation method which approaches a failure event using a decreasing sequence of nested intermediate failure events. The method resembles importance sampling, which actively explores a probability space by…

Computation · Statistics 2020-03-16 Kenan Šehić , Mirza Karamehmedović

Estimating causal effects in quasi-experiments with spatio-temporal panel data often requires adjusting for unmeasured confounding that varies across space and time. Gaussian Processes (GPs) offer a flexible, nonparametric modeling approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Sofia L. Vega , Rachel C. Nethery

We investigate the use of the Multiple Optimised Parameter Estimation and Data compression algorithm (MOPED) for data compression and faster evaluation of likelihood functions. Since MOPED only guarantees maintaining the Fisher matrix of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2011-05-17 Philip Graff , Mike Hobson , Anthony Lasenby

We present a computationally-efficient strategy to initialise the hyperparameters of a Gaussian process (GP) avoiding the computation of the likelihood function. Our strategy can be used as a pretraining stage to find initial conditions for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-27 Felipe Tobar , Elsa Cazelles , Taco de Wolff