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This thesis focuses on data that has complex spatio-temporal structure and on probabilistic graphical models that learn the structure in an interpretable and scalable manner. We target two research areas of interest: Gaussian graphical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yu Wang

We continue studies of the uncertainty quantification problem in emission tomographies such as PET or SPECT when additional multimodal data (e.g., anatomical MRI images) are available. To solve the aforementioned problem we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-12-03 Fedor Goncharov , Éric Barat , Thomas Dautremer

Sufficiently modeling the correlations among variables (aka channels) is crucial for achieving accurate multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF). In this paper, we propose a novel technique called Temporal Query (TQ) to more effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 Shengsheng Lin , Haojun Chen , Haijie Wu , Chunyun Qiu , Weiwei Lin

In exploring Predictive Health Management (PHM) strategies for Proton Exchange Membrane Fuel Cells (PEMFC), the Transformer model, widely used in data-driven approaches, excels in many fields but struggles with time series analysis due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-15 Zezhi Tang , Xiaoyu Chen , Xin Jin , Benyuan Zhang , Wenyu Liang

We present a class of spatiotemporal models for Poisson areal data suitable for the analysis of emerging infectious diseases. These models assume Poisson observations related through a link equation to a latent random field process. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 Marco A. R. Ferreira , Juan C. Vivar

We present a temporally extended variation of the successor representation, which we term t-SR. t-SR captures the expected state transition dynamics of temporally extended actions by constructing successor representations over primitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-27 Matthew J. Sargent , Peter J. Bentley , Caswell Barry , William de Cothi

Temporal event representations are an essential aspect of learning among humans. They allow for succinct encoding of the experiences we have through a variety of sensory inputs. Also, they are believed to be arranged hierarchically,…

Deep learning-based predictive models, leveraging Electronic Health Records (EHR), are receiving increasing attention in healthcare. An effective representation of a patient's EHR should hierarchically encompass both the temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Jiayuan Chen , Changchang Yin , Yuanlong Wang , Ping Zhang

We present a personalized and reliable prediction model for healthcare, which can provide individually tailored medical services such as diagnosis, disease treatment, and prevention. Our proposed framework targets at making personalized and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-26 Ingyo Chung , Saehoon Kim , Juho Lee , Kwang Joon Kim , Sung Ju Hwang , Eunho Yang

Temporal Point Processes (TPP) play an important role in predicting or forecasting events. Although these problems have been studied extensively, predicting multiple simultaneously occurring events can be challenging. For instance, more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Parag Dutta , Kawin Mayilvaghanan , Pratyaksha Sinha , Ambedkar Dukkipati

A Poisson autoregressive (PAR) model accounting for discreteness and autocorrelation of count time series data is typically estimated in the state-space modelling framework through extended Kalman filter. However, because of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paolo Victor T. Redondo , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

Temporal causal representation learning is a powerful tool for uncovering complex patterns in observational studies, which are often represented as low-dimensional time series. However, in many real-world applications, data are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-21 Jianhong Chen , Meng Zhao , Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Xubo Yue

Distinguished from traditional knowledge graphs (KGs), temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) must explore and reason over temporally evolving facts adequately. However, existing TKG approaches still face two main challenges, i.e., the limited…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-02 Zhiyu Fang , Jingyan Qin , Xiaobin Zhu , Chun Yang , Xu-Cheng Yin

Learning vector autoregressive models from multivariate time series is conventionally approached through least squares or maximum likelihood estimation. These methods typically assume a fully connected model which provides no direct insight…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-24 Kimmo Suotsalo , Yingying Xu , Jukka Corander , Johan Pensar

The growing availability and importance of time series data across various domains, including environmental science, epidemiology, and economics, has led to an increasing need for time-series causal discovery methods that can identify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Omar Faruque , Sahara Ali , Xue Zheng , Jianwu Wang

Accurate traffic flow forecasting is a crucial research topic in transportation management. However, it is a challenging problem due to rapidly changing traffic conditions, high nonlinearity of traffic flow, and complex spatial and temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Sanghyun Lee , Chanyoung Park

Partial least squares (PLS) is a dimensionality reduction technique used as an alternative to ordinary least squares (OLS) in situations where the data is colinear or high dimensional. Both PLS and OLS provide mean based estimates, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-18 Alvaro Mendez Civieta , M. Carmen Aguilera-Morillo , Rosa E. Lillo

We present a probabilistic model of events in continuous time in which each event triggers a Poisson process of successor events. The ensemble of observed events is thereby modeled as a superposition of Poisson processes. Efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Aleksandr Simma , Michael I. Jordan

Directed acyclic graphs are widely used to describe the causal effects among random variables, and the inference of those causal effects has become an popular topic in statistics and machine learning, and has wide applications in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Chen Shuyan , Liu Xin , Wang Shaoli

Temporal factors are tied to the growth of facts in realistic applications, such as the progress of diseases and the development of political situation, therefore, research on Temporal Knowledge Graph (TKG) attracks much attention. In TKG,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Kai Chen , Ye Wang , Yitong Li , Aiping Li