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Attack trees and attack graphs are both common graphical threat models used by organizations to better understand possible cybersecurity threats. These models have been primarily seen as separate entities, to be used and researched in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Nathan Daniel Schiele , Olga Gadyatskaya

Bayesian causal discovery offers the power to quantify epistemic uncertainties among a broad range of structurally diverse causal theories potentially explaining the data, represented in forms of directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Nu Hoang , Bao Duong , Thin Nguyen

Bayesian networks (BN) are directed acyclic graphical (DAG) models that have been adopted into many fields for their strengths in transparency, interpretability, probabilistic reasoning, and causal modeling. Given a set of data, one hurdle…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Christian D. Blakely

Bayesian inference of Bayesian network structures is often performed by sampling directed acyclic graphs along an appropriately constructed Markov chain. We present two techniques to improve sampling. First, we give an efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-30 Daniele Nikzad , Alexander Zhilkin , Juha Harviainen , Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa , Mikko Koivisto

Acyclic digraphs are the underlying representation of Bayesian networks, a widely used class of probabilistic graphical models. Learning the underlying graph from data is a way of gaining insights about the structural properties of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-06 Jack Kuipers , Giusi Moffa

Bayesian networks are a widely-used class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing symmetric conditional independence between variables of interest using the topology of the underlying graph. For categorical variables, they…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-07 Gherardo Varando , Federico Carli , Manuele Leonelli

A novel unified Bayesian framework for network detection is developed, under which a detection algorithm is derived based on random walks on graphs. The algorithm detects threat networks using partial observations of their activity, and is…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-09-09 Steven T. Smith , Edward K. Kao , Kenneth D. Senne , Garrett Bernstein , Scott Philips

According to different typologies of activity and priority, risks can assume diverse meanings and it can be assessed in different ways. In general risk is measured in terms of a probability combination of an event (frequency) and its…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 C. E. Bonafede , P. Giudici

Graphical models based on Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are widely used to answer causal questions across a variety of scientific and social disciplines. However, observational data alone cannot distinguish in general between DAGs…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-03 Federico Castelletti , Guido Consonni

Although many algorithms have been designed to construct Bayesian network structures using different approaches and principles, they all employ only two methods: those based on independence criteria, and those based on a scoring function…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-07-04 S. Acid , L. M. de Campos

Bayesian networks have been used as a mechanism to represent the joint distribution of multiple random variables in a flexible yet interpretable manner. One major challenge in learning the structure of a Bayesian network is how to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-06 Wanchuang Zhu , Ngoc Lan Chi Nguyen

Learning the network structure of a large graph is computationally demanding, and dynamically monitoring the network over time for any changes in structure threatens to be more challenging still. This paper presents a two-stage method for…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-09 Nicholas A. Heard , David J. Weston , Kiriaki Platanioti , David J. Hand

With the technology development, the need of analyze and extraction of useful information is increasing. Bayesian networks contain knowledge from data and experts that could be used for decision making processes But they are not easily…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-12-16 Mostafa Sepahvand , Ghasem Alikhajeh , Meysam Ghaffari , Abdolreza Mirzaei

Graph-based classification methods are widely used for security and privacy analytics. Roughly speaking, graph-based classification methods include collective classification and graph neural network. Evading a graph-based classification…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-14 Binghui Wang , Neil Zhenqiang Gong

Graph modeling allows numerous security problems to be tackled in a general way, however, little work has been done to understand their ability to withstand adversarial attacks. We design and evaluate two novel graph attacks against a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Yizheng Chen , Yacin Nadji , Athanasios Kountouras , Fabian Monrose , Roberto Perdisci , Manos Antonakakis , Nikolaos Vasiloglou

Network structure optimization is a fundamental task in complex network analysis. However, almost all the research on Bayesian optimization is aimed at optimizing the objective functions with vectorial inputs. In this work, we first present…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-07 Jiaxu Cui , Bo Yang

We develop a structural default model for interconnected financial institutions in a probabilistic framework. For all possible network structures we characterize the joint default distribution of the system using Bayesian network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-02 Carsten Chong , Claudia Klüppelberg

Datasets from several domains, such as life-sciences, semantic web, machine learning, natural language processing, etc. are naturally structured as acyclic graphs. These datasets, particularly those in bio-informatics and computational…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2014-09-02 Sandeep Gupta

Bayesian networks (BNs) are widely used graphical models usable to draw statistical inference about Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). We presented here Graph_sampler a fast free C language software for structural inference on BNs.…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-05 Sagnik Datta , Ghislaine Gayraud , Eric Leclerc , Frederic Y. Bois

The growing complexity of modern Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS) and the frequent communication between their components make them vulnerable to malicious attacks. As a result, secure state estimation is a critical requirement for the control…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-09 Xusheng Luo , Miroslav Pajic , Michael M. Zavlanos