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We introduce the truncated Gaussian graphical model (TGGM) as a novel framework for designing statistical models for nonlinear learning. A TGGM is a Gaussian graphical model (GGM) with a subset of variables truncated to be nonnegative. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 Qinliang Su , Xuejun Liao , Changyou Chen , Lawrence Carin

A class of multivariate spectral representations for real-valued nonstationary random variables is introduced, which is characterised by a general complex Gaussian distribution. In this way, the temporal signal properties -- harmonicity,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-29 Bruno Scalzo , Ljubisa Stankovic , Danilo P. Mandic

With the rapid advances of data acquisition techniques, spatio-temporal data are becoming increasingly abundant in a diverse array of disciplines. Here we develop spatio-temporal regression methodology for analyzing large amounts of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-01 Ting Fung Ma , Fangfang Wang , Jun Zhu , Anthony R. Ives , Katarzyna E. Lewińska

In the environmental modeling field, the exploratory analysis of responses often exhibits spatial correlation as well as some non-Gaussian attributes such as skewness and/or heavy-tailedness. Consequently, we propose a general spatial model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Behzad Mahmoudian

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are powerful tools for analysing time series data that depend on discrete underlying but unobserved states. As such, they have gained prominence across numerous empirical disciplines, in particular ecology,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-19 Jan-Ole Fischer

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

In recent years, spatio-temporal graph neural networks (GNNs) have attracted considerable interest in the field of time series analysis, due to their ability to capture, at once, dependencies among variables and across time points. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Flavio Corradini , Flavio Gerosa , Marco Gori , Carlo Lucheroni , Marco Piangerelli , Martina Zannotti

A large number of scientific studies and engineering problems involve high-dimensional spatiotemporal data with complicated relationships. In this paper, we focus on a type of space-time interaction named \emph{temporal evolution of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Shiwei Lan

This thesis focuses on data that has complex spatio-temporal structure and on probabilistic graphical models that learn the structure in an interpretable and scalable manner. We target two research areas of interest: Gaussian graphical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Yu Wang

Spatio-temporal processes in environmental applications are often assumed to follow a Gaussian model, possibly after some transformation. However, heterogeneity in space and time might have a pattern that will not be accommodated by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-15 Thaís C. O. da Fonseca , Viviana G. R. Lobo , Alexandra M. Schmidt

Spatiotemporal datasets, which consist of spatially-referenced time series, are ubiquitous in diverse applications, such as air pollution monitoring, disease tracking, and cloud-demand forecasting. As the scale of modern datasets increases,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Feras Saad , Jacob Burnim , Colin Carroll , Brian Patton , Urs Köster , Rif A. Saurous , Matthew Hoffman

The present article concerns the stochastic modeling of the turbulent dissipation field and in particular its temporal evolution. To do so, we will be calling for a random distribution, ubiquitous in several aspects of physics and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-08 Wandrille Ruffenach , Laurent Chevillard

Explosive growth in spatio-temporal data and its wide range of applications have attracted increasing interests of researchers in the statistical and machine learning fields. The spatio-temporal regression problem is of paramount importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Qiyao Wang , Haiyan Wang , Hamed Khorasgani , Chetan Gupta

A nonhomogeneous hidden semi-Markov model is proposed to segment toroidal time series according to a finite number of latent regimes and, simultaneously, estimate the influence of time-varying covariates on the process' survival under each…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-25 Francesco Lagona , Marco Mingione

Inspired by spatiotemporal observations from satellites of the trajectories of objects drifting near the surface of the ocean in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's `Global Drifter Program', this paper develops data-driven…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2018-10-19 François Gay-Balmaz , Darryl D. Holm

Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Markov random fields (MRFs) are invaluable tools across diverse fields, and spatiotemporal MRFs (STMRFs) amplify their effectiveness by integrating spatial and temporal dimensions. However, modeling spatiotemporal data introduces additional…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Ning Ning

Gaussian random fields have been one of the most popular tools for analyzing spatial data. However, many geophysical and environmental processes often display non-Gaussian characteristics. In this paper, we propose a new class of spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2017-10-03 Minjie Fan , Debashis Paul , Thomas C. M. Lee , Tomoko Matsuo

Understanding and predicting environmental phenomena often requires the construction of spatio-temporal statistical models, which are typically Gaussian processes. A common assumption made on Gaussian processes is that of covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-17 Quan Vu , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Stephen J. Chuter

Gaussian fields (GFs) are frequently used in spatial statistics for their versatility. The associated computational cost can be a bottleneck, especially in realistic applications. It has been shown that computational efficiency can be…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Xiaoyu Liu , Serge Guillas , Ming-Jun Lai