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A dynamical price formation model for financial assets is presented. It aims to capture the essence of speculative trading where mispricings of assets are used to make profits. It is shown that together with the incorporation of the concept…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Stefan Thurner

This paper presents a new prediction model for time series data by integrating a time-varying Geometric Brownian Motion model with a pricing mechanism used in financial engineering. Typical time series models such as Auto-Regressive…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Abdullah AlShelahi , Jingxing Wang , Mingdi You , Eunshin Byon , Romesh Saigal

We introduce a new tool for predicting the evolution of an option for the cases where at some specific time, there is a high-degree of uncertainty for identifying its price. We work over the special case where we can predict the evolution…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Ivan Arraut , Alan Au , Alan Ching-biu Tse , Carlos Segovia

"Fundamental theorem of asset pricing" roughly states that absence of arbitrage opportunity in a market is equivalent to the existence of a risk-neutral probability. We give a simple counterexample to this oversimplified statement. Prices…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-07 Louis Paulot

In the context of a general semimartingale model of a complete market, we aim at answering the following question: How much is an investor willing to pay for learning some inside information that allows to achieve arbitrage? If such a value…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-28 Huy N. Chau , Andrea Cosso , Claudio Fontana

We introduce a pricing kernel with time-varying volatility risk aversion to explain observed time variations in the shape of the pricing kernel. When combined with the Heston-Nandi GARCH model, this framework yields a tractable option…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-11 Peter Reinhard Hansen , Chen Tong

In this paper new analytical and numerical approaches to valuating path-dependent options of European type have been developed. The model of stochastic volatility as a basic model has been chosen. For European options we could improve the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-24 Yu. A. Kuperin , P. A. Poloskov

The author seeks to develop a model to alter the bid-offer spread, currently quoted by market makers, that varies with the market and trading conditions. The dynamic nature of financial markets and trading, as with the rest of social…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-03 Ravi Kashyap

The aim of this paper is to present a simple stochastic model that accounts for the effects of a long-memory in volatility on option pricing. The starting point is the stochastic Black-Scholes equation involving volatility with long-range…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Sergei Fedotov , Abby Tan

While the investors' responses to price changes and their price forecasts are well accepted major factors contributing to large price fluctuations in financial markets, our study shows that investors' heterogeneous and dynamic risk aversion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Baosheng Yuan , Kan Chen

Two-sided matching markets have long existed to pair agents in the absence of regulated exchanges. A common example is school choice, where a matching mechanism uses student and school preferences to assign students to schools. In such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Stefania Ionescu , Yuhao Du , Kenneth Joseph , Anikó Hannák

Perpetual American options are financial instruments that can be readily exercised and do not mature. In this paper we study in detail the problem of pricing this kind of derivatives, for the most popular flavour, within a framework in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-09 Miquel Montero

The rational choice theory is based on this idea that people rationally pursue goals for increasing their personal interests. In most conditions, the behavior of an actor is not independent of the person and others' behavior. Here, we…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-02-27 Madjid Eshaghi Gordji , Gholamreza Askari

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

Recorded option pricing datasets are not always freely available. Additionally, these datasets often contain numerous prices which are either higher or lower than can reasonably be expected. Various reasons for these unexpected observations…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Jaco Visagie

In a seminal paper in 1973, Black and Scholes argued how expected distributions of stock prices can be used to price options. Their model assumed a directed random motion for the returns and consequently a lognormal distribution of asset…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2009-11-07 Joseph L. McCauley , Gemunu H. Gunaratne

We study the upper hedging price for contingent claims in market models with strong types of arbitrage: increasing profit, strong arbitrage, and arbitrage of the first kind. The existence of arbitrage may make the price smaller than if it…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-31 Yukihiro Tsuzuki

The present paper proposes a new framework for describing the stock price dynamics. In the traditional geometric Brownian motion model and its variants, volatility plays a vital role. The modern studies of asset pricing expand around…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-10-12 Ben Duan , Yutian Li , Dawei Lu , Yang Lu , Ran Zhang

Subordination is an often used stochastic process in modeling asset prices. Subordinated Levy price processes and local volatility price processes are now the main tools in modern dynamic asset pricing theory. In this paper, we introduce…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-31 Abootaleb Shirvani , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Robot policies need to adapt to human preferences and/or new environments. Human experts may have the domain knowledge required to help robots achieve this adaptation. However, existing works often require costly offline re-training on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-28 Vivek Myers , Erdem Bıyık , Dorsa Sadigh
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