Related papers: Statistical error estimates in dynamical mean-fiel…
We construct an importance sampling method for computing statistics related to rare events for weakly interacting diffusions. Standard Monte Carlo methods behave exponentially poorly with the number of particles in the system for such…
We explain in detail how to estimate mean values and assess statistical errors for arbitrary functions of elementary observables in Monte Carlo simulations. The method is to estimate and sum the relevant autocorrelation functions, which is…
We propose a new scheme to implement the self-consistent optimization of the trial wave-function in constrained path auxiliary field Quantum Monte Carlo (CP-AFQMC) in the framewok of natural orbitals. In this scheme, a new trial…
Discrepancies play an important role in the study of uniformity properties of point sets. Their probability distributions are a help in the analysis of the efficiency of the Quasi Monte Carlo method of numerical integration, which uses…
The Infinitesimal Jackknife is a general method for estimating variances of parametric models, and more recently also for some ensemble methods. In this paper we extend the Infinitesimal Jackknife to estimate the covariance between any two…
We explore a self-learning Markov chain Monte Carlo method based on the Adversarial Non-linear Independent Components Estimation Monte Carlo, which utilizes generative models and artificial neural networks. We apply this method to the…
Linear regression with measurement error in the covariates is a heavily studied topic, however, the statistics/econometrics literature is almost silent to estimating a multi-equation model with measurement error. This paper considers a…
We demonstrate the quantum mean estimation algorithm on Euclidean lattice field theories. This shows a quadratic advantage over Monte Carlo methods which persists even in presence of a sign problem, and is insensitive to critical slowing…
We present a new numerical Monte Carlo approach to determine the scaling behavior of lattice field theories far from equilibrium. The presented methods are generally applicable to systems where classical-statistical fluctuations dominate…
We apply the event-chain Monte Carlo algorithm to the three-dimensional ferromagnetic Heisenberg model. The algorithm is rejection-free and also realizes an irreversible Markov chain that satisfies global balance. The autocorrelation…
The main difficulty that arises in the analysis of most machine learning algorithms is to handle, analytically and numerically, a large number of interacting random variables. In this Ph.D manuscript, we revisit an approach based on the…
Understanding how stochastic gene expression is regulated in biological systems using snapshots of single-cell transcripts requires state-of-the-art methods of computational analysis and statistical inference. A Bayesian approach to…
We present a construction of a mean-field theory for thermodynamic and spectral properties of correlated electrons reliable in the strong-coupling limit. We introduce an effective interaction determined self-consistently from the reduced…
We present an algorithm for the analytic continuation of imaginary-time quantum Monte Carlo data which is strictly based on principles of Bayesian statistical inference. Within this framework we are able to obtain an explicit expression for…
Post-stratification is often used to estimate treatment effects with higher efficiency. However, the majority of existing post-stratification frameworks depend on prior knowledge of the distributions of covariates and assume that the units…
We introduce a novel approach called the Bayesian Jackknife empirical likelihood method for analyzing survey data obtained from various unequal probability sampling designs. This method is particularly applicable to parameters described by…
Simulations of strongly interacting lattice field theories are typically performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms. Therefore estimators of statistical errors must incorporate the effect of autocorrelations by integrating the…
We analyze the accuracy and sample complexity of variational Monte Carlo approaches to simulate the dynamics of many-body quantum systems classically. By systematically studying the relevant stochastic estimators, we are able to: (i) prove…
We present an analysis of multilevel Monte Carlo techniques for the forward problem of uncertainty quantification for the radiative transport equation, when the coefficients ({\em cross-sections}) are heterogenous random fields. To do this,…
The uncertainty and robustness of Computable General Equilibrium models can be assessed by conducting a Systematic Sensitivity Analysis. Different methods have been used in the literature for SSA of CGE models such as Gaussian Quadrature…