English
Related papers

Related papers: Macroeconomic Forecasting with Fractional Factor M…

200 papers

Large-dimensional factor model has drawn much attention in the big-data era, in order to reduce the dimensionality and extract underlying features using a few latent common factors. Conventional methods for estimating the factor model…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Yong He , Xinbing Kong , Long Yu , Xinsheng Zhang

We propose a supervised principal component regression method for relating functional responses with high dimensional predictors. Unlike the conventional principal component analysis, the proposed method builds on a newly defined expected…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-17 Xinyi Zhang , Qiang Sun , Dehan Kong

Functional data analysis is a fast evolving branch of modern statistics and the functional linear model has become popular in recent years. However, most estimation methods for this model rely on generalized least squares procedures and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-24 Ioannis Kalogridis , Stefan Van Aelst

We present a method for estimating sparse high-dimensional inverse covariance and partial correlation matrices, which exploits the connection between the inverse covariance matrix and linear regression. The method is a two-stage estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-13 Samuel Erickson , Tobias Rydén

Nonlinear regression is a useful statistical tool, relating observed data and a nonlinear function of unknown parameters. When the parameter-dependent nonlinear function is computationally intensive, a straightforward regression analysis by…

Applications · Statistics 2009-01-26 Dorin Drignei , Chris E. Forest , Doug Nychka

This paper proposes a novel diffusion-index model for forecasting when predictors are high-dimensional matrix-valued time series. We apply an $\alpha$-PCA method to extract low-dimensional matrix factors and build a bilinear regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-08-07 Zhiren Ma , Qian Zhao , Riquan Zhang , Zhaoxing Gao

A new partial functional linear regression model for panel data with time varying parameters is introduced. The parameter vector of the multivariate model component is allowed to be completely time varying while the function-valued…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-18 Dominik Liebl , Fabian Walders

We propose generalized conditional functional principal components analysis (GC-FPCA) for the joint modeling of the fixed and random effects of non-Gaussian functional outcomes. The method scales up to very large functional data sets by…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-18 Yu Lu , Xinkai Zhou , Erjia Cui , Dustin Rogers , Ciprian M. Crainiceanu , Julia Wrobel , Andrew Leroux

This paper investigates the distributed Kalman filter (DKF) for linear systems, with specific attention on measurement fusion, which is a typical way of information sharing and is vital for enhancing stability and improving estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-14 Tuo Yang , Jiachen Qian , Zhisheng Duan , Zhiyong Sun

We propose to represent a return model and risk model in a unified manner with deep learning, which is a representative model that can express a nonlinear relationship. Although deep learning performs quite well, it has significant…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-17 Kei Nakagawa , Takumi Uchida , Tomohisa Aoshima

Data assimilation provides algorithms for widespread applications in various fields. It is of practical use to deal with a large amount of information in the complex system that is hard to estimate. Weather forecasting is one of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-23 Yihua Yang

The Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF), as a fundamental data assimilation approach, has been widely used in many fields of the sciences and engineering. When the state variable is of high dimensional accompanied with high resolution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-18 Shouxia Wang , Hao-Xuan Sun , Song Xi Chen

We tackle the challenges of modeling high-dimensional data sets, particularly those with latent low-dimensional structures hidden within complex, non-linear, and noisy relationships. Our approach enables a seamless integration of concepts…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-17 Zichuan Guo , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Financial scenario simulation is essential for risk management and portfolio optimization, yet it remains challenging especially in high-dimensional and small data settings common in finance. We propose a diffusion factor model that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Minshuo Chen , Renyuan Xu , Yumin Xu , Ruixun Zhang

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

In this study, we utilize the Kalman-Filter analysis to assess market efficiency in major stock markets. The Kalman-Filter operates in two stages, assuming that the data contains a consistent trendline representing the true market value…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-26 Beier Liu , Haiyun Zhu

State-space models can be used to incorporate subject knowledge on the underlying dynamics of a time series by the introduction of a latent Markov state-process. A user can specify the dynamics of this process together with how the state…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-14 Paul Fearnhead , Hans Künsch

Bayesian computation for filtering and forecasting analysis is developed for a broad class of dynamic models. The ability to scale-up such analyses in non-Gaussian, nonlinear multivariate time series models is advanced through the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Andrew Cron , Mike West

High-dimensional functional data are becoming increasingly common in fields such as environmental monitoring and neuroimaging. This paper studies high-dimensional functional linear regression models that relate a scalar response to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Xingche Guo , Yehua Li , Pang Du

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…