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The asymptotic distribution of the Markowitz portfolio is derived, for the general case (assuming fourth moments of returns exist), and for the case of multivariate normal returns. The derivation allows for inference which is robust to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-09 Steven E. Pav

Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Tom Boot , Johannes W. Ligtenberg

In this paper, we revisit the relationship between investors' utility functions and portfolio allocation rules. We derive portfolio allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed $ALD(\mu,\sigma,\kappa)$ returns and compare them with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

Markowitz mean-variance portfolios with sample mean and covariance as input parameters feature numerous issues in practice. They perform poorly out of sample due to estimation error, they experience extreme weights together with high…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-29 Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Yegor Klochkov , Alla Petukhina , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

This paper considers the problem of measuring the credit risk in portfolios of loans, bonds, and other instruments subject to possible default under multi-factor models. Due to the amount of the portfolio, the heterogeneous effect of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-10 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chuan-Ju Wang

Penalized $M-$estimators for logistic regression models have been previously study for fixed dimension in order to obtain sparse statistical models and automatic variable selection. In this paper, we derive asymptotic results for penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Ana M. Bianco , Graciela Boente , Gonzalo Chebi

We introduce a faithful representation of the heavy tail multivariate distribution of asset returns, as parsimonous as the Gaussian framework. Using calculation techniques of functional integration and Feynman diagrams borrowed from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. Sornette , J. V. Andersen , P. Simonetti

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm allows one to sample asymptotically from any probability distribution $\pi$. There has been recently much work devoted to the development of variants of the MH update which can handle scenarios where such…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet , Sinan Yıldırım , Nicolas Chopin

While there is considerable work on change point analysis in univariate time series, more and more data being collected comes from high dimensional multivariate settings. This paper introduces the asymptotic concept of high dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-28 John A. D. Aston , Claudia Kirch

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster

In this paper, we document a novel machine learning based bottom-up approach for static and dynamic portfolio optimization on, potentially, a large number of assets. The methodology applies to general constrained optimization problems and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-24 Qing Yang , Zhenning Hong , Ruyan Tian , Tingting Ye , Liangliang Zhang

This paper investigates the large sample properties of the variance, weights, and risk of high-dimensional portfolios where the inverse of the covariance matrix of excess asset returns is estimated using a technique called nodewise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Laurent Callot , Mehmet Caner , Esra Ulasan , A. Özlem Önder

We propose a novel approach to infer investors' risk preferences from their portfolio choices, and then use the implied risk preferences to measure the efficiency of investment portfolios. We analyze a dataset spanning a period of six…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 Agostino Capponi , Zhaoyu Zhang

In this paper, we perform a comprehensive study of different covariance and precision matrix estimation methods in the context of minimum variance portfolio allocation. The set of models studied by us can be broadly categorized as: Gaussian…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-22 Sumanjay Dutta , Shashi Jain

We consider the problem of estimating the proportion $\theta$ of true null hypotheses in a multiple testing context. The setup is classically modeled through a semiparametric mixture with two components: a uniform distribution on interval…

Applications · Statistics 2013-01-09 Van Hanh Nguyen , Catherine Matias

We introduce a novel covariance estimator for portfolio selection that adapts to the non-stationary or persistent heteroskedastic environments of financial time series by employing exponentially weighted averages and nonlinearly shrinking…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-23 Vincent Tan , Stefan Zohren

The mean-variance model remains the most prevalent investment framework, built on diversification principles. However, it consistently struggles with estimation errors in expected returns and the covariance matrix, its core parameters. To…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-29 Rupendra Yadav , Amita Sharma , Aparna Mehra

We experimentally demonstrate a novel scheme of power loading based on portfolio theory for millimeter-wave small-cell densification. By exploiting the statistical characteristics of interference, this approach improves the average…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2019-02-04 Shuyi Shen , Bernardo A. Huberman , Lin Cheng , Gee-Kung Chang

We investigate the relative information efficiency of financial markets by measuring the entropy of the time series of high frequency data. Our tool to measure efficiency is the Shannon entropy, applied to 2-symbol and 3-symbol…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-15 Lucio Maria Calcagnile , Fulvio Corsi , Stefano Marmi

This paper studies the asymptotic power of tests of sphericity against perturbations in a single unknown direction as both the dimensionality of the data and the number of observations go to infinity. We establish the convergence, under the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-21 Alexei Onatski , Marcelo J. Moreira , Marc Hallin