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Inverse Ising inference allows pairwise interactions of complex binary systems to be reconstructed from empirical correlations. Typical estimators used for this inference, such as Pseudo-likelihood maximization (PLM), are biased. Using the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-07-19 Maximilian Benedikt Kloucek , Thomas Machon , Shogo Kajimura , C. Patrick Royall , Naoki Masuda , Francesco Turci

Imbalanced classification often causes standard training procedures to prioritize the majority class and perform poorly on rare but important cases. A classic and widely used remedy is to augment the minority class with synthetic samples,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Zhengchi Ma , Anru R. Zhang

The size of pretrained models is increasing, and so is their performance on a variety of NLP tasks. However, as their memorization capacity grows, they might pick up more social biases. In this work, we examine the connection between model…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Yarden Tal , Inbal Magar , Roy Schwartz

We study the problem of training an unbiased and accurate model given a dataset with multiple biases. This problem is challenging since the multiple biases cause multiple undesirable shortcuts during training, and even worse, mitigating one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Nayeong Kim , Juwon Kang , Sungsoo Ahn , Jungseul Ok , Suha Kwak

Overparameterized neural networks can be highly accurate on average on an i.i.d. test set yet consistently fail on atypical groups of the data (e.g., by learning spurious correlations that hold on average but not in such groups).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-03 Shiori Sagawa , Pang Wei Koh , Tatsunori B. Hashimoto , Percy Liang

This paper analyzes the generalization error of minimum-norm interpolating solutions in linear regression using spiked covariance data models. The paper characterizes how varying spike strengths and target-spike alignments can affect risk,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-03 Jiping Li , Rishi Sonthalia

Aimed at explaining the surprisingly good generalization behavior of overparameterized deep networks, recent works have developed a variety of generalization bounds for deep learning, all based on the fundamental learning-theoretic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Vaishnavh Nagarajan , J. Zico Kolter

Multivariable Mendelian randomization estimates the causal effect of multiple exposures on an outcome, typically using summary statistics of genetic variant associations. However, exposures of interest in Mendelian randomization…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-17 Jiazheng Zhu , Stephen Burgess , Andrew J. Grant

Denoising score matching plays a pivotal role in the performance of diffusion-based generative models. However, the empirical optimal score--the exact solution to the denoising score matching--leads to memorization, where generated samples…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Yu-Han Wu , Pierre Marion , Gérard Biau , Claire Boyer

In practice, machine learning experts are often confronted with imbalanced data. Without accounting for the imbalance, common classifiers perform poorly and standard evaluation metrics mislead the practitioners on the model's performance. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Ramiro Camino , Christian Hammerschmidt , Radu State

Training a deep neural network with a small amount of data is a challenging problem as it is vulnerable to overfitting. However, one of the practical difficulties that we often face is to collect many samples. Transfer learning is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-13 Yunho Jeon , Yongseok Choi , Jaesun Park , Subin Yi , Dongyeon Cho , Jiwon Kim

The problem of model selection is considered for the setting of interpolating estimators, where the number of model parameters exceeds the size of the dataset. Classical information criteria typically consider the large-data limit,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Liam Hodgkinson , Chris van der Heide , Robert Salomone , Fred Roosta , Michael W. Mahoney

Although overparameterized models have achieved remarkable practical success, their theoretical properties, particularly their generalization behavior, remain incompletely understood. The well known double descents phenomenon suggests that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-06 Haoran Zhan , Yingcun Xia

With too few samples or too many model parameters, overfitting can inhibit the ability to generalise predictions to new data. Within medical imaging, this can occur when features are incorrectly assigned importance such as distinct hospital…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-07-31 Becks Simpson , Francis Dutil , Yoshua Bengio , Joseph Paul Cohen

Classic ensembles generalize better than any single component model. In contrast, recent empirical studies find that modern ensembles of (overparameterized) neural networks may not provide any inherent generalization advantage over single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Niclas Dern , John P. Cunningham , Geoff Pleiss

Overfitting describes a machine learning phenomenon where the model fits too closely to the training data, resulting in poor generalization. While this occurrence is thoroughly documented for many forms of supervised learning, it is not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-23 Zachary Rabin , Jim Davis , Benjamin Lewis , Matthew Scherreik

This paper investigates the impact of posterior drift on out-of-sample forecasting accuracy in overparametrized machine learning models. We document the loss in performance when the loadings of the data generating process change between the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-13 Guillaume Coqueret , Martial Laguerre

When training neural networks as classifiers, it is common to observe an increase in average test loss while still maintaining or improving the overall classification accuracy on the same dataset. In spite of the ubiquity of this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-16 Arthur E. W. Venter , Marthinus W. Theunissen , Marelie H. Davel

Suppose data are fitted to some parametric model but that the true model happens to be one with an additional parameter. When a parameter is to be estimated one can use likelihood estimation in the wider model or in the narrow model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-27 Nils Lid Hjort

Calibration is a fundamental property of a good predictive model: it requires that the model predicts correctly in proportion to its confidence. Modern neural networks, however, provide no strong guarantees on their calibration -- and can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-07 A. Michael Carrell , Neil Mallinar , James Lucas , Preetum Nakkiran