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Temporal point processes offer a powerful framework for sampling from discrete distributions, yet they remain underutilized in existing literature. We show how to construct, for any target multivariate count distribution with…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Cameron A. Stewart , Maneesh Sahani

In this paper we develop a general framework for constructing and analysing coupled Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers, allowing for both (possibly degenerate) diffusion and piecewise deterministic Markov processes. For many performance…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-29 N. Nuesken , G. A. Pavliotis

We present a general method to detect and extract from a finite time sample statistically meaningful correlations between input and output variables of large dimensionality. Our central result is derived from the theory of free random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Laurent Laloux , M. Augusta Miceli , Marc Potters

The modeling of natural phenomena via a Markov process --- a process for which the future is independent of the past, given the present--- is ubiquitous in many fields of science. Within this context, it is of foremost importance to develop…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-24 Matheus Capela , Lucas C. Céleri , Kavan Modi , Rafael Chaves

Testing for change points in sequences of covariance matrices is an important and equally challenging problem in statistical methodology with applications in various fields. Motivated by the observation that even in cases where the ratio…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nina Dörnemann , Holger Dette

This paper studies the asymptotic spectral properties of the sample covariance matrix for high dimensional compositional data, including the limiting spectral distribution, the limit of extreme eigenvalues, and the central limit theorem for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Qianqian Jiang , Jiaxin Qiu , Zeng Li

We study the asymptotic behaviour of sequences of multivariate random variables representing the number of occurrences of a given set of symbols in a word of length $n$ generated at random according to a rational stochastic model. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Massimiliano Goldwurm , Claudio Macci , Marco Vignati , Elena Villa

We investigate the low-dimensional structure of deterministic transformations between random variables, i.e., transport maps between probability measures. In the context of statistics and machine learning, these transformations can be used…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Alessio Spantini , Daniele Bigoni , Youssef Marzouk

We examine the use of synchronization as a mechanism for extracting parameter and state information from experimental systems. We focus on important aspects of this problem that have received little attention previously, and we explore them…

We describe a general approach to the theory of self consistent transfer operators. These operators have been introduced as tools for the study of the statistical properties of a large number of all to all interacting dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Stefano Galatolo

Experimentally observed networks of interacting dynamical systems are inferred from recorded multivariate time series by evaluating a statistical measure of dependence, usually the cross-correlation coefficient, or mutual information. These…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-07-03 Milan Palus

This article considers the problem of analyzing associations between power spectra of multiple time series and cross-sectional outcomes when data are observed from multiple subjects. The motivating application comes from sleep medicine,…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-19 Robert T. Krafty , Ori Rosen , David S. Stoffer , Daniel J. Buysse , Martica H. Hall

We propose a two-stage approach Spec PC-CP to identify change points in multivariate time series. In the first stage, we obtain a low-dimensional summary of the high-dimensional time series by Spectral Principal Component Analysis…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-13 Shuhao Jiao , Tong Shen , Zhaoxia Yu , Hernando Ombao

The estimation of the covariance function of a stochastic process, or signal, is of integral importance for a multitude of signal processing applications. In this work, we derive closed-form expressions for the variance of covariance…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-05 Filip Elvander , Johan Karlsson

Information theoretic measures (entropies, entropy rates, mutual information) are nowadays commonly used in statistical signal processing for real-world data analysis. The present work proposes the use of Auto Mutual Information (Mutual…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-24 C Granero-Belinchón , S. Roux , P. Abry , N. Garnier

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

Factorizing low-rank matrices is a problem with many applications in machine learning and statistics, ranging from sparse PCA to community detection and sub-matrix localization. For probabilistic models in the Bayes optimal setting, general…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-12-07 Jean Barbier , Mohamad Dia , Nicolas Macris , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

This paper is concerned with elucidating a relationship between two common coupling methods for the continuous time Markov chain models utilized in the cell biology literature. The couplings considered here are primarily used in a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-05 David F. Anderson , Masanori Koyama

This paper considers inference for conditional moment inequality models using a multiscale statistic. We derive the asymptotic distribution of this test statistic and use the result to propose feasible critical values that have a simple…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-10 Timothy B. Armstrong , Hock Peng Chan

We consider a discrete-time system of n coupled random vectors, a.k.a. interacting particles. The dynamics involve a vanishing step size, some random centered perturbations, and a mean vector field which induces the coupling between the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Pascal Bianchi , Walid Hachem , Victor Priser