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We present a numerical method to learn an accurate predictive model for an unknown stochastic dynamical system from its trajectory data. The method seeks to approximate the unknown flow map of the underlying system. It employs the idea of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Zhongshu Xu , Yuan Chen , Qifan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

Data-driven discovery of partial differential equations (PDEs) from observed data in machine learning has been developed by embedding the discovery problem. Recently, the discovery of traditional ODEs dynamics using linear multistep methods…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Xingjian Xu , Minghua Chen

Simulating turbulent fluid flows is a computationally prohibitive task, as it requires the resolution of fine-scale structures and the capture of complex nonlinear interactions across multiple scales. This is particularly the case in direct…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ismaël Zighed , Nicolas Thome , Patrick Gallinari , Taraneh Sayadi

We consider a slow passage through a point of loss of stability. If the passage is sufficiently slow, the dynamics are controlled by additive random disturbances, even if they are extremely small. We derive expressions for the `exit value'…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 G. D. Lythe

In this paper, we consider possibly misspecified stochastic differential equation models driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Regardless of whether the driving noise is Gaussian or not, Gaussian quasi-likelihood estimator can estimate unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Yuma Uehara

We present a numerical method for learning the dynamics of slow components of unknown multiscale stochastic dynamical systems. While the governing equations of the systems are unknown, bursts of observation data of the slow variables are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-28 Yuan Chen , Dongbin Xiu

This paper enhances the classical Solow model of economic growth by integrating L\'evy noise, a type of non-Gaussian stochastic perturbation, to capture the inherent uncertainties in economic systems. The extended model examines the impact…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-03 Almaz Abebe , Shenglan Yuanb , Daniel Tesfay , James Brannan

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

In this paper, we propose a data-driven framework for model discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) from a single trajectory, without requiring the ergodicity or stationary assumption on the underlying continuous process. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-12 Munawar Ali , Purba Das , Qi Feng , Liyao Gao , Guang Lin

Causal discovery is a data-driven paradigm for analyzing complex systems, while physics-based models, such as ordinary differential equations (ODEs), provide mechanistic structure for real-world dynamical processes. Integrating these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Jianhong Chen , Naichen Shi , Xubo Yue

We study high-dimensional drift estimation for L\'evy-driven Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes based on discrete observations. Assuming sparsity of the drift matrix, we analyze Lasso and Slope estimators constructed from approximate likelihoods…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-09 Niklas Dexheimer , Natalia Jeszka

This paper investigates the fundamental information-theoretic limits for the control and sensing of noiseless linear dynamical systems subject to a broad class of nonlinear observations. We analyze the interactions between the control and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Ming Li , Fan Liu , Yifeng Xiong , Jie Xu , Tao Liu

We consider nonlinear stochastic systems that arise in path planning and control of mobile robots. As is typical of almost all nonlinear stochastic systems, the optimally solving problem is intractable. We provide a design approach which…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-25 Mohammadhussein Rafieisakhaei , Suman Chakravorty , P. R. Kumar

We propose a modeling framework for stochastic systems, termed Gaussian behaviors, that describes finite-length trajectories of a system as a Gaussian process. The proposed model naturally quantifies the uncertainty in the trajectories, yet…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-02 András Sasfi , Ivan Markovsky , Alberto Padoan , Florian Dörfler

Despite the advancements in learning governing differential equations from observations of dynamical systems, data-driven methods are often unaware of fundamental physical laws, such as frame invariance. As a result, these algorithms may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Jianke Yang , Wang Rao , Nima Dehmamy , Robin Walters , Rose Yu

We study the existence and uniqueness of solutions to stochastic differential equations with Volterra processes driven by L\'evy noise. For this purpose, we study in detail smoothness properties of these processes. Special attention is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Giulia Di Nunno , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

Recovering dynamical equations from observed noisy data is the central challenge of system identification. We develop a statistical mechanics approach to analyze sparse equation discovery algorithms, which typically balance data fit and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-16 Andrei A. Klishin , Joseph Bakarji , J. Nathan Kutz , Krithika Manohar

The dynamics of systems of many degrees of freedom evolving on multiple scales are often modeled in terms of stochastic differential equations. Usually the structural form of these equations is unknown and the only manifestation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Dimitra Maoutsa

A theoretical approach for characterising the influence of asymmetry of noise distribution on the escape rate of a multi-stable system is presented. This was carried out via the estimation of an action, which is defined as an exponential…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2014-02-26 I. A. Khovanov , N. A. Khovanova

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer
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