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This paper deals with a general class of observation-driven time series models with a special focus on time series of counts. We provide conditions under which there exist strict-sense stationary and ergodic versions of such processes. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-10-23 Randal Douc , Paul Doukhan , Eric Moulines

Macroscopic models for spatially extended systems under random influences are often described by stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). Some techniques for understanding solutions of such equations, such as estimating…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-03-27 Jinqiao Duan

We study the problem of estimating, in the sense of optimal transport metrics, a measure which is assumed supported on a manifold embedded in a Hilbert space. By establishing a precise connection between optimal transport metrics, optimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-09-06 Guillermo D. Canas , Lorenzo Rosasco

In this article, we study the approximation of a probability measure $\mu$ on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ by its empirical measure $\hat{\mu}_{N}$ interpreted as a random quantization. As error criterion we consider an averaged $p$-th moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-29 Steffen Dereich , Michael Scheutzow , Reik Schottstedt

A regression model is proposed for the analysis of an ordinal response variable depending on a set of multiple covariates containing ordinal and potentially other variables. The proportional odds model (McCullagh (1980)) is used for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-25 Javier Espinosa , Christian Hennig

Recent papers have introduced a novel approach to explain why a Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) model for outcome-oriented predictions provides wrong predictions. Moreover, they have shown how to exploit the explanations, obtained using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-28 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

Quantization for a Borel probability measure refers to the idea of estimating a given probability by a discrete probability with support containing a finite number of elements. If in the quantization some of the elements in the support are…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-24 Pigar Biteng , Mathieu Caguiat , Tsianna Dominguez , Mrinal Kanti Roychowdhury

We address the problem of estimating the expectation value <O> of an arbitrary operator O via a universal measuring apparatus that is independent of O, and for which the expectation values for different operators are obtained by changing…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 G. M. D'Ariano , P. Perinotti , M. F. Sacchi

We analyze the long-time behavior of numerical schemes for a class of monotone stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by multiplicative noise. By deriving several time-independent a priori estimates for the numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-27 Zhihui Liu

Algorithmic theories of randomness can be related to theories of probabilistic sequence prediction through the notion of a predictor, defined as a function which supplies lower bounds on initial-segment probabilities of infinite sequences.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Lenhart K. Schubert

The main goal of the paper is to develop an estimate for the conditional probability function of random stationary ergodic symbolic sequences with elements belonging to a finite alphabet. We elaborate a decomposition procedure for the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-08-09 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

This paper is a comment on the paper "Quantum Mechanics and Algorithmic Randomness" was written by Ulvi Yurtsever \cite{Yurtsever} and the briefly explanation of the algorithmic randomness of quantum measurements results. There are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2017-04-07 Mohammad Shahbazi

In this paper, we study Bernoulli random sequences, i.e., sequences that are Martin-L\"of random with respect to a Bernoulli measure $\mu_p$ for some $p\in[0,1]$, where we allow for the possibility that $p$ is noncomputable. We focus in…

Logic · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Christopher P. Porter

We construct ergodic probability measures with infinite metric entropy for typical continuous maps and homeomorphisms on compact manifolds. We also construct sequences of such measures that converge to a zero-entropy measure.

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Eleonora Catsigeras , Serge Troubetzkoy

Probabilistic programming languages allow programmers to write down conditional probability distributions that represent statistical and machine learning models as programs that use observe statements. These programs are run by accumulating…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-01-25 Jules Jacobs

Empirical best prediction (EBP) is a well-known method for producing reliable proportion estimates when the primary data source provides only small or no sample from finite populations. There are potential challenges in implementing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Aditi Sen , Partha Lahiri

We study here weighted polynomial multiple ergodic averages. A sequence of weights is called universally good if any polynomial multiple ergodic average with this sequence of weights converges in $L^{2}$. We find a necessary condition and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2008-11-24 Qing Chu

Consider the following framework of universal decoding suggested in [MerhavUniversal]. Given a family of decoding metrics and random coding distribution (prior), a single, universal, decoder is optimal if for any possible channel the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-29 Nir Elkayam , Meir Feder

In this work, we focus on some conditional extreme risk measures estimation for elliptical random vectors. In a previous paper, we proposed a methodology to approximate extreme quantiles, based on two extremal parameters. We thus propose…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-26 Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

By introducing Hilbert space and operators, we show how probabilities, approximations and entropy encoding from signal and image processing allow precise formulas and quantitative estimates. Our main results yield orthogonal bases which…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Palle E. T. Jorgensen , Myung-Sin Song
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