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Many countries have experienced at least two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. The second wave is far more dangerous as distinct strains appear more harmful to human health, but it stems from the complacency about the first wave. This paper…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-06-29 Edilson F. Arruda , Tarun Sharma , Rodrigo e A. Alexandre , Sinnu Susan Thomas

An outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel coronavirus is ongoing from December 2019. As of July 22, 2020, it has caused an epidemic outbreak with more than 15 million confirmed infections and above 6 hundred thousand reported…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-21 Sk Shahid Nadim , Indrajit Ghosh , Joydev Chattopadhyay

The COVID-19 pandemic began over two years ago, yet schools, businesses, and other organizations are still struggling to keep the risk of disease outbreak low while returning to (near) normal functionality. Observations from these past…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Sarah C. Fay , Dalton J. Jones , Munther A. Dahleh , A. E. Hosoi

The COVID-19 crisis highlighted the importance of non-medical interventions, such as testing and isolation of infected individuals, in the control of epidemics. Here, we show how to minimize testing needs while maintaining the number of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-04 D. Acemoglu , A. Fallah , A. Giometto , D. Huttenlocher , A. Ozdaglar , F. Parise , S. Pattathil

A data-driven MPC scheme is proposed to safely control constrained stochastic linear systems using distributionally robust optimization. Distributionally robust constraints based on the Wasserstein metric are imposed to bound the state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-19 Zhengang Zhong , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Panagiotis Petsagkourakis

There is a continuing debate on relative benefits of various mitigation and suppression strategies aimed to control the spread of COVID-19. Here we report the results of agent-based modelling using a fine-grained computational simulation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-12 Sheryl L. Chang , Nathan Harding , Cameron Zachreson , Oliver M. Cliff , Mikhail Prokopenko

This paper studies the problem of distributionally robust model predictive control (MPC) using total variation distance ambiguity sets. For a discrete-time linear system with additive disturbances, we provide a conditional value-at-risk…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Anushri Dixit , Mohamadreza Ahmadi , Joel W. Burdick

Policymakers commonly employ non-pharmaceutical interventions to manage the scale and severity of pandemics. Of non-pharmaceutical interventions, social distancing policies -- designed to reduce person-to-person pathogenic spread -- have…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-23 Demetris Avraam , Nick Obradovich , Niccoló Pescetelli , Manuel Cebrian , Alex Rutherford

Robot navigation around humans can be a challenging problem since human movements are hard to predict. Stochastic model predictive control (MPC) can account for such uncertainties and approximately bound the probability of a collision to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Yunfan Gao , Florian Messerer , Niels van Duijkeren , Moritz Diehl

As a common strategy of contagious disease containment, lockdowns will inevitably weaken the economy. The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic underscores the trade-off arising from public health and economic cost. An optimal lockdown policy to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-26 Qianqian Ma , Yang-Yu Liu , Alex Olshevsky

Since the beginning of the epidemic, daily reports of CoViD-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths from around the world have been publicly available. This paper describes methods to characterize broad features of the spread of the disease,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Dean Karlen

Model predictive control (MPC) is an optimal control method that predicts the future states of the system being controlled and estimates the optimal control inputs that drive the predicted states to the required reference. The computations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-05 Eslam Mostafa , Hussein A. Aly , Ahmed Elliethy

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

We present a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) method for linear discrete-time systems subject to possibly unbounded and correlated additive stochastic disturbance sequences. Chance constraints are treated in analogy to robust MPC…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-01-23 Lukas Hewing , Kim P. Wabersich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a successful control methodology, which is applied to increasingly complex systems. However, real-time feasibility of MPC can be challenging for complex systems, certainly when an (extremely) large number…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-25 S. A. N. Nouwens , B. de Jager , M. M. Paulides , W. P. M. H. Heemels

Long-term care facilities have been widely affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Retirement homes are particularly vulnerable due to the higher mortality risk of infected elderly individuals. Once an outbreak occurs, suppressing the spread of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Mansoor Davoodi , Ana Batista , Abhishek Senapati , Weronika Schlechte-Welnicz , Birgit Wagner , Justin M. Calabrese

In this paper, we propose an adaptive data-driven min-max model predictive control (MPC) scheme for discrete-time linear time-varying (LTV) systems. We assume that prior knowledge of the system dynamics and bounds on the variations are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-09 Yifan Xie , Julian Berberich , Frank Allgöwer

Background: Recent work showed that the temporal growth of the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) follows a sub-exponential power-law scaling whenever effective control interventions are in place. Taking this into consideration, we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-24 S. Triambak , D. P. Mahapatra , N. Mallick , R. Sahoo

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges worldwide. Strained healthcare providers make difficult decisions on patient triage, treatment and care management on a daily basis. Policy makers have imposed social distancing…

Given multiple new COVID-19 variants are continuously emerging, non-pharmaceutical interventions are still primary control strategies to curb the further spread of coronavirus. However, implementing strict interventions over extended…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-03-01 Xiao Zhou , Xiaohu Zhang , Paolo Santi , Carlo Ratti