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Aggregate shocks affect most households' and firms' decisions. Using three stylized models we show that inference based on cross-sectional data alone generally fails to correctly account for decision making of rational agents facing…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-28 Jinyong Hahn , Guido Kuersteiner , Maurizio Mazzocco

Nominally identical materials exchange net electric charge during contact through a mechanism that is still debated. `Mosaic models', in which surfaces are presumed to consist of a random patchwork of microscopic donor/acceptor sites, offer…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2023-06-16 Galien Grosjean , Scott Waitukaitis

Clustered data arise naturally in many scientific and applied research settings where units are grouped within clusters. They are commonly analyzed using linear mixed models to account for within-cluster correlations. This article focuses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Zhi Yang Tho , Raymond Chambers , A. H. Welsh

Uncoupled regression is the problem to learn a model from unlabeled data and the set of target values while the correspondence between them is unknown. Such a situation arises in predicting anonymized targets that involve sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Liyuan Xu , Junya Honda , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

In this paper, we present a new Marshall-Olkin exponential shock model. The new construction method gives the proposed model further ability to allocate the common joint shock on each of the components, making it suitable for application in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 H. A. Mohtashami-Borzadaran , M. Amini , H. Jabbari , A. Dolati

Aggregate load modeling is of fundamental importance for systematic analysis and design of various demand response strategies. Instead of keeping track of the trajectories of individual loads, the aggregate modeling problem focuses on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-22 Lin Zhao , Wei Zhang

Multi-dimensional data frequently occur in many different fields, including risk management, insurance, biology, environmental sciences, and many more. In analyzing multivariate data, it is imperative that the underlying modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-23 Orla A. Murphy , Juliana Schulz

In the present paper, we study the Cauchy problem for the weakly coupled system of the generalized Tricomi equations with multiple propagation speeds. Our aim of this paper is to prove a small data blow-up result and an upper estimate of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2021-04-08 Masahiro Ikeda , Jiayun Lin , Ziheng Tu

Missing data and noisy observations pose significant challenges for reliably predicting events from irregularly sampled multivariate time series (longitudinal) data. Imputation methods, which are typically used for completing the data prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-17 Hossein Soleimani , James Hensman , Suchi Saria

This paper proposes factor stochastic volatility models with skew error distributions. The generalized hyperbolic skew t-distribution is employed for common-factor processes and idiosyncratic shocks. Using a Bayesian sparsity modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Jouchi Nakajima

Based on the recent paper by Delong et al. (2021), two distributions for the total claims amount (loss cost) are considered: Compound Poisson-gamma (CPG) and Tweedie. Each is used as an underlying distribution in the Bonus-Malus Scale (BMS)…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-07 Jean-Philippe Boucher , Raïssa Coulibaly

To address the common problem of high dimensionality in tensor regressions, we introduce a generalized tensor random projection method that embeds high-dimensional tensor-valued covariates into low-dimensional subspaces with minimal loss of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-03 Roberto Casarin , Radu Craiu , Qing Wang

The gravity-driven spreading of one fluid in contact with another fluid is of key importance to a range of topics. To describe these phenomena, the two-layer shallow-water equations is commonly employed. When one layer is significantly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-12-12 Eirik Holm Fyhn , Karl Yngve Lervåg , Åsmund Ervik , Øivind Wilhelmsen

The problem of the insensitivity of the macroscopic behavior of any thermodynamical system to partitioning generates a bias between the reproducibility of its macroscopic behavior viewed as the simplest form of causality and its long-term…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maria K. Koleva

Coupled tensor decompositions (CTDs) perform data fusion by linking factors from different datasets. Although many CTDs have been already proposed, current works do not address important challenges of data fusion, where: 1) the datasets are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Ricardo Augusto Borsoi , Konstantin Usevich , David Brie , Tülay Adali

While internet-scale data often comes in pairs (e.g., audio/image, image/text), we often want to perform inferences over modalities unseen together in the training data (e.g., audio/text). Empirically, this can often be addressed by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Yongwei Che , Benjamin Eysenbach

We consider a binary unsupervised classification problem where each observation is associated with an unobserved label that we want to retrieve. More precisely, we assume that there are two groups of observation: normal and abnormal. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2011-05-05 Stevenn Volant , Marie-Laure Martin Magniette , Stéphane Robin

This paper describes a compound Poisson-based random effects structure for modeling zero-inflated data. Data with large proportion of zeros are found in many fields of applied statistics, for example in ecology when trying to model and…

Applications · Statistics 2009-07-29 Marie-Pierre Etienne , Eric Parent , Benoit Hugues , Bernier Jacques

Ensemble methods are among the state-of-the-art predictive modeling approaches. Applied to modern big data, these methods often require a large number of sub-learners, where the complexity of each learner typically grows with the size of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-29 Amichai Painsky , Saharon Rosset

Claim reserving primarily relies on macro-level models, with the Chain-Ladder method being the most widely adopted. These methods were heuristically developed without minimal statistical foundations, relying on oversimplified data…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-13 Sebastian Calcetero-Vanegas , Andrei L. Badescu , X. Sheldon Lin
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