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Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

In Bayesian applications, there is a huge interest in rapid and accurate estimation of the posterior distribution, particularly for high dimensional or hierarchical models. In this article, we propose to use optimization to solve for a…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-12 Leo L. Duan

We derive a variational representation for the log-normalizing constant of the posterior distribution in Bayesian linear regression with a uniform spherical prior and an i.i.d. Gaussian design. We work under the "proportional" asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-16 Jiaze Qiu , Subhabrata Sen

We develop a novel data-driven approach to the inverse problem of classical statistical mechanics: given experimental data on the collective motion of a classical many-body system, how does one characterise the free energy landscape of that…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-01 Peter Yatsyshin , Serafim Kalliadasis , Andrew B. Duncan

Approximate Bayesian computation allows for statistical analysis in models with intractable likelihoods. In this paper we consider the asymptotic behaviour of the posterior distribution obtained by this method. We give general results on…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-09 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

High-dimensional Bayesian procedures often exhibit behavior that is effectively low dimensional, even when the ambient parameter space is large or infinite-dimensional. This phenomenon underlies the success of shrinkage priors,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Sayantan Banerjee

The formulation of Bayesian inverse problems involves choosing prior distributions; choices that seem equally reasonable may lead to significantly different conclusions. We develop a computational approach to better understand the impact of…

Computation · Statistics 2026-01-08 John E. Darges , Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud

Training in machine learning generally consists in finding one model, whose parameters minimize a data-dependent loss. Yet, empirical work shows that ensemble learning, an approach in which multiple models are sampled, can improve…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-04-28 Thomas Tulinski , Jorge Fernandez-De-Cossio-Diaz , Simona Cocco , Rémi Monasson

High-dimensional linear models have been widely studied, but the developments in high-dimensional generalized linear models, or GLMs, have been slower. In this paper, we propose an empirical or data-driven prior leading to an empirical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Yiqi Tang , Ryan Martin

We propose a Bayesian framework for uncertainty quantification and comparison in brain connectivity graph analysis. Standard graph-based approaches typically rely on point estimates of correlation matrices, overlooking the uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-29 Alice Chevaux , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King , Sophie Achard

We proposed a novel approach to coherent imaging of dynamic samples. The inter-frame similarity of the sample's local structures is found to be a powerful constraint in phasing a sequence of diffraction patterns. We devised a new image…

Optics · Physics 2024-07-11 Pengju Sheng , Fucai Zhang

The posterior probability distribution for a set of model parameters encodes all that the data have to tell us in the context of a given model; it is the fundamental quantity for Bayesian parameter estimation. In order to infer the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-16 Rupert Allison , Joanna Dunkley

This paper gives a review of concentration inequalities which are widely employed in non-asymptotical analyses of mathematical statistics in a wide range of settings, from distribution-free to distribution-dependent, from sub-Gaussian to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Huiming Zhang , Song Xi Chen

We provide a complete framework for performing infinite-dimensional Bayesian inference and uncertainty quantification for image reconstruction with Poisson data. In particular, we address the following issues to make the Bayesian framework…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Qingping Zhou , Tengchao Yu , Xiaoqun Zhang , Jinglai Li

In some misspecified settings, the posterior distribution in Bayesian statistics may lead to inconsistent estimates. To fix this issue, it has been suggested to replace the likelihood by a pseudo-likelihood, that is the exponential of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-12 Badr-Eddine Chérief-Abdellatif , Pierre Alquier

In this work, we formulate the fixed-length distribution matching as a Bayesian inference problem. Our proposed solution is inspired from the compressed sensing paradigm and the sparse superposition (SS) codes. First, we introduce sparsity…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Mohamad Dia , Vahid Aref , Laurent Schmalen

For a very general class of probability distributions in disordered Ising spin systems, in the thermodynamical limit, we prove the following property for overlaps among real replicas. Consider the overlaps among s replicas. Add one replica…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-10-31 Stefano Ghirlanda , Francesco Guerra

Discrete Markov random fields are undirected graphical models that capture complex conditional dependencies between discrete variables. Conducting exact posterior inference in these models is often computationally challenging because…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Giuseppe Arena , Maarten Marsman

Mixtures of regression are a powerful class of models for regression learning with respect to a highly uncertain and heterogeneous response variable of interest. In addition to being a rich predictive model for the response given some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Dat Do , Linh Do , XuanLong Nguyen

In recent years, Bayesian inference in large-scale inverse problems found in science, engineering and machine learning has gained significant attention. This paper examines the robustness of the Bayesian approach by analyzing the stability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-06 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Tapio Helin , Franca Hoffmann , Bamdad Hosseini
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