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Affordances, a foundational concept in human-computer interaction and design, have traditionally been explained by direct-perception theories, which assume that individuals perceive action possibilities directly from the environment.…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Yi-Chi Liao , Christian Holz

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

This paper relates comparative belief structures and a general view of belief management in the setting of deductively closed logical representations of accepted beliefs. We show that the range of compatibility between the classical…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Didier Dubois , Helene Fargier , Henri Prade

In earlier work, we introduced flexible inference and decision-theoretic metareasoning to address the intractability of normative inference. Here, rather than pursuing the task of computing beliefs and actions with decision models composed…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 Eric J. Horvitz , Adrian Klein

We analyse preference inference, through consistency, for general preference languages based on lexicographic models. We identify a property, which we call strong compositionality, that applies for many natural kinds of preference…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Nic Wilson , Anne-Marie George

A decision-maker must consider cofounding bias when attempting to apply machine learning prediction, and, while feature selection is widely recognized as important process in data-analysis, it could cause cofounding bias. A causal Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-02 Akihiro Yabe

Type-and-effect systems help the programmer to organize data and computational effects in a program. While for traditional type systems expressive variants with sophisticated inference algorithms have been developed and widely used in…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Patrycja Balik , Szymon Jędras , Piotr Polesiuk

Algorithmic decision-making in practice must be fair for legal, ethical, and societal reasons. To achieve this, prior research has contributed various approaches that ensure fairness in machine learning predictions, while comparatively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Dennis Frauen , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

Understanding the impact of the most effective policies or treatments on a response variable of interest is desirable in many empirical works in economics, statistics and other disciplines. Due to the widespread winner's curse phenomenon,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Waverly Wei , Yuqing Zhou , Zeyu Zheng , Jingshen Wang

This paper introduces a class of objects called decision rules that map infinite sequences of alternatives to a decision space. These objects can be used to model situations where a decision maker encounters alternatives in a sequence such…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-09-12 Bhavook Bhardwaj , Siddharth Chatterjee

Coherence, a strictly quantum phenomenon, has found many applications, from quantum information theory and thermodynamics to quantum foundations and biology. When physical constraints are taken into consideration creation of coherence in a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-29 Nikolaos K. Kollas , Kostas Blekos

To perform inference after model selection, we propose controlling the selective type I error; i.e., the error rate of a test given that it was performed. By doing so, we recover long-run frequency properties among selected hypotheses…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-19 William Fithian , Dennis Sun , Jonathan Taylor

In this paper, we propose how to use objective arguments grounded in statistical mechanics concepts in order to obtain a single number, obtained after aggregation, which would allow to rank "agents", "opinions", ..., all defined in a very…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-02 Marcel Ausloos , Giulia Rotundo , Roy Cerqueti

Many of the mathematical frameworks describing natural selection are equivalent to Bayes Theorem, also known as Bayesian updating. By definition, a process of Bayesian Inference is one which involves a Bayesian update, so we may conclude…

General Physics · Physics 2016-06-28 John O. Campbell

In consumer theory, ranking available objects by means of preference relations yields the most common description of individual choices. However, preference-based models assume that individuals: (1) give their preferences only between pairs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Alessio Benavoli , Dario Azzimonti , Dario Piga

Statistics has moved beyond the frequentist-Bayesian controversies of the past. Where does this leave our ability to interpret results? I suggest that a philosophy compatible with statistical practice, labeled here statistical pragmatism,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-06-23 Robert E. Kass

Belief function theory provides a flexible way to combine information provided by different sources. This combination is usually followed by a decision making which can be handled by a range of decision rules. Some rules help to choose the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-01-29 Amira Essaid , Arnaud Martin , Grégory Smits , Boutheina Ben Yaghlane

We introduce a new compositional framework for generalized variational inference, clarifying the different parts of a model, how they interact, and how they compose. We explain that both exact Bayesian inference and the loss functions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-26 Toby St Clere Smithe , Marco Perin

Conformal prediction has emerged as a widely used framework for constructing valid prediction sets in classification and regression tasks. In this work, we extend the split conformal prediction framework to hierarchical classification,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-13 Thomas Mortier , Alireza Javanmardi , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman

We introduce inference methods for score decompositions, which partition scoring functions for predictive assessment into three interpretable components: miscalibration, discrimination, and uncertainty. Our estimation and inference relies…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-05 Timo Dimitriadis , Marius Puke