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Deep neural networks tend to make overconfident predictions and often require additional detectors for misclassifications, particularly for safety-critical applications. Existing detection methods usually only focus on adversarial attacks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-07 Julia Lust , Alexandru P. Condurache

Discovery of high-performance materials and molecules requires identifying extremes with property values that fall outside the known distribution. Therefore, the ability to extrapolate to out-of-distribution (OOD) property values is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Nofit Segal , Aviv Netanyahu , Kevin P. Greenman , Pulkit Agrawal , Rafael Gomez-Bombarelli

Generalising well in supervised learning tasks relies on correctly extrapolating the training data to a large region of the input space. One way to achieve this is to constrain the predictions to be invariant to transformations on the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Mark van der Wilk , Matthias Bauer , ST John , James Hensman

We present a new approach-the ALVar estimator-to estimation of asymptotic variance in sequential Monte Carlo methods, or, particle filters. The method, which adjusts adaptively the lag of the estimator proposed in [Olsson, J. and Douc, R.…

Computation · Statistics 2022-07-21 Alessandro Mastrototaro , Jimmy Olsson

Machine learning techniques have been successfully used to classify variable stars on widely-studied astronomical surveys. These datasets have been available to astronomers long enough, thus allowing them to perform deep analysis over…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-01-31 Patricio Benavente , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

Interpreting deep learning time series models is crucial in understanding the model's behavior and learning patterns from raw data for real-time decision-making. However, the complexity inherent in transformer-based time series models poses…

We consider the use of deep learning for covariance estimation. We propose to globally learn a neural network that will then be applied locally at inference time. Leveraging recent advancements in self-supervised foundational models, we…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-03-14 Tzvi Diskin , Ami Wiesel

The performance of machine learning models can be impacted by changes in data over time. A promising approach to address this challenge is invariant learning, with a particular focus on a method known as invariant risk minimization (IRM).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Wenlu Tang , Zicheng Liu

Invariant prediction [Peters et al., 2016] analyzes feature/outcome data from multiple environments to identify invariant features - those with a stable predictive relationship to the outcome. Such features support generalization to new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-10 Luhuan Wu , Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , John P. Cunningham , David M. Blei

We propose a method that enables practitioners to conveniently incorporate custom non-decomposable performance metrics into differentiable learning pipelines, notably those based upon neural network architectures. Our approach is based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-04 Rizal Fathony , J. Zico Kolter

We often seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on a particular outcome in both randomized and observational settings. One such estimation method is the covariate-adjusted residuals estimator, which was designed for individually…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-28 Stephen A. Lauer , Nicholas G. Reich , Laura B. Balzer

In this article, we propose a new algorithm for supervised learning methods, by which one can both capture the non-linearity in data and also find the best subset model. To produce an enhanced subset of the original variables, an ideal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Peyman Tavallali , Marianne Razavi , Sean Brady

The pharmaceutical Research and development (R&D) process is lengthy and costly, taking nearly a decade to bring a new drug to the market. However, advancements in biotechnology, computational methods, and machine learning algorithms have…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-24 Damilola Oshunyinka

Accurate forecasts of COVID-19 is central to resource management and building strategies to deal with the epidemic. We propose a heterogeneous infection rate model with human mobility for epidemic modeling, a preliminary version of which we…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-06 Ajitesh Srivastava , Viktor K. Prasanna

Pattern detection and string matching are fundamental problems in computer science and the accelerated expansion of bioinformatics and computational biology have made them a core topic for both disciplines. The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has made…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-14 Konstantinos Xylogiannopoulos

The abundance of modern health data provides many opportunities for the use of machine learning techniques to build better statistical models to improve clinical decision making. Predicting time-to-event distributions, also known as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Zidi Xiu , Chenyang Tao , Benjamin A. Goldstein , Ricardo Henao

Antimicrobial resistance is an important public health concern that has implications in the practice of medicine worldwide. Accurately predicting resistance phenotypes from genome sequences shows great promise in promoting better use of…

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, necessitating effective modelling approaches to understand and control its transmission dynamics. In this study, we propose a novel approach that integrates…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Moein Khalighi , Leo Lahti , Faïçal Ndaïrou , Peter Rashkov , Delfim F. M. Torres

Parameter sharing, as an important technique in multi-agent systems, can effectively solve the scalability issue in large-scale agent problems. However, the effectiveness of parameter sharing largely depends on the environment setting. When…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Dapeng Li , Na Lou , Bin Zhang , Zhiwei Xu , Guoliang Fan

Learning models whose predictions are invariant under multiple environments is a promising approach for out-of-distribution generalization. Such models are trained to extract features $X_{\text{inv}}$ where the conditional distribution $Y…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Gina Wong , Joshua Gleason , Rama Chellappa , Yoav Wald , Anqi Liu
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