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Testing is a crucial control mechanism in the beginning phase of an epidemic when the vaccines are not yet available. It enables the public health authority to detect and isolate the infected cases from the population, thereby limiting the…

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has progressed with varying degrees of intensity in individual countries, suggesting it is important to analyse factors that vary between them. We study measures of `population-weighted density', which capture…

Contact-tracing is an essential tool in order to mitigate the impact of pandemic such as the COVID-19. In order to achieve efficient and scalable contact-tracing in real time, digital devices can play an important role. While a lot of…

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

Networks of person-person contacts form the substrate along which infectious diseases spread. Most network-based studies of the spread focus on the impact of variations in degree (the number of contacts an individual has). However, other…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2008-12-15 Joel C. Miller

After the introduction of drastic containment measures aimed at stopping the epidemic contagion from SARS-CoV2, many governments have adopted a strategy based on a periodic relaxation of such measures in the face of a severe economic crisis…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-10 Giacomo Albi , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

Background: Guidelines and recommendations from public health authorities related to face masks have been essential in containing the COVID-19 pandemic. We assessed the prevalence and correlates of mask usage during the pandemic. Methods:…

By the end of 2021, COVID-19 had spread to over 230 countries, with over 5.4 million deaths. To contain its spread, many countries implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions, notably contact tracing and self-quarantine policies. However,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-14 Jungwoo Kim , Taesik Lee

During the COVID-19 pandemic of 2019/2020, authorities have used temporary ad-hoc policy measures, such as lockdowns and mass quarantines, to slow its transmission. However, the consequences of widespread use of these unprecedented measures…

Testing individuals for pathogens can affect the spread of epidemics. Understanding how individual-level processes of sampling and reporting test results can affect community- or population-level spread is a dynamical modeling question. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-20 Ali Gharouni , F. M. Abdelmalek , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff , Benjamin M. Bolker

This study empirically investigates the complex interplay between the severity of the coronavirus pandemic, mobility changes in retail and recreation, transit stations, workplaces, and residential areas, and lockdown measures in 88…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-06 Md. Mokhlesur Rahman , Jean-Claude Thill , Kamal Chandra Paul

This paper is based on the observation that, during Covid-19 epidemic, the choice of which individuals should be tested has an important impact on the effectiveness of selective confinement measures. This decision problem is closely related…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Matthias Pezzutto , Nicolas Bono Rossello , Luca Schenato , Emanuele Garone

We aim at clarifying the controversy about the effects of school openings or closures on the course of the Covid-19 pandemic. The mathematical analysis of compartmental models with subpopulations shows that the in-school contact rates…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-14 Alberto Gandolfi , Andrea Aspri , Elena Beretta , Khola Jamshad , Muyan Jiang

Global strategies to contain a pandemic, such as social distancing and protective measures, are designed to reduce the overall transmission rate between individuals. Despite such measures, essential institutions, including hospitals,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-07 Roberto Morán-Tovar , Henning Gruell , Florian Klein , Michael Lässig

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

During the COVID-19 pandemic, governments faced the challenge of managing population behavior to prevent their healthcare systems from collapsing. Sweden adopted a strategy centered on voluntary sanitary recommendations while Belgium…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Tijs W. Alleman , Jan M. Baetens

In this study, we propose a clustering-based approach on time-series data to capture COVID-19 spread patterns in the early period of the pandemic. We analyze the spread dynamics based on the early and post stages of COVID-19 for different…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-05 Mehedi Hassan , Md Enamul Haque , Mehmet Engin Tozal

The present study examines the factor structure of a Portuguese version of the Perceived Vulnerability to Disease Scale (PVD), designed to assess individual differences in chronic concerns about transmission of infectious diseases. Method:…

This paper presents preliminary summary results from a longitudinal study of participants in seven U.S. states during the COVID-19 pandemic. In addition to standard socio-economic characteristics, we collect data on various economic…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-29 Plamen Nikolov , Andreas Pape , Ozlem Tonguc , Charlotte Williams

This work is inspired by the outbreak of COVID-19, and some of the challenges we have observed with gathering data about the disease. To this end, we aim to help collect data about citizens and the disease without risking the privacy of…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-05-01 Katrine Tjell , Jaron Skovsted Gundersen , Rafael Wisniewski