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The first known case of Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was identified in December 2019. It has spread worldwide, leading to an ongoing pandemic, imposed restrictions and costs to many countries. Predicting the number of new cases and…

Clustering is ubiquitous in data analysis, including analysis of time series. It is inherently subjective: different users may prefer different clusterings for a particular dataset. Semi-supervised clustering addresses this by allowing the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-03 Toon Van Craenendonck , Wannes Meert , Sebastijan Dumancic , Hendrik Blockeel

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Thiago de Paula Oliveira , Rafael de Andrade Moral

In this paper, we study the trending behaviour of COVID-19 data at country level, and draw attention to some existing econometric tools which are potentially helpful to understand the trend better in future studies. In our empirical study,…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-25 Chaohua Dong , Jiti Gao , Oliver Linton , Bin Peng

Classical epidemiological models assume homogeneous populations. There have been important extensions to model heterogeneous populations, when the identity of the sub-populations is known, such as age group or geographical location. Here,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-10 Roberto Vega , Zehra Shah , Pouria Ramazi , Russell Greiner

Due to the high mutation rate of the virus, the COVID-19 pandemic evolved rapidly. Certain variants of the virus, such as Delta and Omicron, emerged with altered viral properties leading to severe transmission and death rates. These…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-29 Rohitash Chandra , Chaarvi Bansal , Mingyue Kang , Tom Blau , Vinti Agarwal , Pranjal Singh , Laurence O. W. Wilson , Seshadri Vasan

A practical algorithm has been developed for closeness analysis of sequential data that combines closeness testing with algorithms based on the Markov chain tester. It was applied to reported sequential data for COVID-19 to analyze the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Tomoko Matsui , Nourddine Azzaoui , Daisuke Murakami

During the first months, the Covid-19 pandemic has required most countries to implement complex sequences of non-pharmaceutical interventions, with the aim of controlling the transmission of the virus in the population. To be able to take…

There are multiple cluster randomised trial designs that vary in when the clusters cross between control and intervention states, when observations are made within clusters, and how many observations are made at that time point. Identifying…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Samuel I. Watson , Alan Girling , Karla Hemming

Time series clustering is the process of grouping time series with respect to their similarity or characteristics. Previous approaches usually combine a specific distance measure for time series and a standard clustering method. However,…

The unprecedented global crisis brought about by the COVID-19 pandemic has sparked numerous efforts to create predictive models for the detection and prognostication of SARS-CoV-2 infections with the goal of helping health systems allocate…

This report provides a visual examination of Covid-19 case and death data. In particular, it shows that country specific differences can too a large extend be explained by two easily interpreted parameters. Namely, the delay between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-17 Nils Bertschinger

In many practical applications of clustering, the objects to be clustered evolve over time, and a clustering result is desired at each time step. In such applications, evolutionary clustering typically outperforms traditional static…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Kevin S. Xu , Mark Kliger , Alfred O. Hero

In this work, we discuss the SIR epidemiological model and different variations of it applied to the propagation of the COVID-19 pandemia; we employ the data of the state of Guanajuato and of Mexico. We present some considerations that can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-16 Nana Cabo Bizet , Jonanthan Hidalgo Núñez , Gil Estefano Rodrígez Rivera

In this article, we model and study the spread of COVID-19 in Germany, Japan, India and highly impacted states in India, i.e., in Delhi, Maharashtra, West Bengal, Kerala and Karnataka. We consider recorded data published in Worldometers and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-03-15 Ian Cooper , Argha Mondal , Chris G. Antonopoulos , Arindam Mishra

Clustering, like covariate selection for classification, is an important step to compress and interpret the data. However, clustering of covariates is often performed independently of the classification step, which can lead to undesirable…

Computation · Statistics 2020-04-08 Daniel Andrade , Kenji Fukumizu , Yuzuru Okajima

The current outbreak of COVID-19 has called renewed attention to the need for sound statistical analysis for monitoring mortality patterns and trends over time. Excess mortality has been suggested as the most appropriate indicator to…

Applications · Statistics 2020-10-13 Patrizio Vanella , Ugofilippo Basellini , Berit Lange

We consider a flexible Bayesian evidence synthesis approach to model the age-specific transmission dynamics of COVID-19 based on daily mortality counts. The temporal evolution of transmission rates in populations containing multiple types…

Since the beginning of the epidemic, daily reports of CoViD-19 cases, hospitalizations, and deaths from around the world have been publicly available. This paper describes methods to characterize broad features of the spread of the disease,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Dean Karlen

We study the large sample behavior of a convex clustering framework, which minimizes the sample within cluster sum of squares under an~$\ell_1$ fusion constraint on the cluster centroids. This recently proposed approach has been gaining in…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-30 Peter Radchenko , Gourab Mukherjee