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While recent work on conjugate gradient methods and Lanczos decompositions have achieved scalable Gaussian process inference with highly accurate point predictions, in several implementations these iterative methods appear to struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Wesley J. Maddox , Sanyam Kapoor , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Remote sensing observations are extensively used for analysis of environmental variables. These variables often exhibit spatial correlation, which has to be accounted for in the calibration models used in predictions, either by direct…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-14 Virpi Junttila , Marko Laine

We investigate solution methods for large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) via Bayesian inference. The Bayesian framework provides a statistical setting to infer uncertain parameters from noisy…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-08 Mina Karimi , Mehrdad Massoudi , Kaushik Dayal , Matteo Pozzi

Fires and rainfall are major mechanisms that regulate woody and grassy biomasses in savanna ecosystems. Conditions of long-lasting coexistence of trees and grasses have been mainly studied using continuous-time modelling of tree-grass…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-05-28 V. Yatat , P. Couteron , J. J. Tewa , S. Bowong , Y. Dumont

We describe a regularized regression model for the selection of gene-environment (GxE) interactions. The model focuses on a single environmental exposure and induces a main-effect-before-interaction hierarchical structure. We propose an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Natalia Zemlianskaia , W. James Gauderman , Juan Pablo Lewinger

We propose a scalable framework for inference in an inhomogeneous Poisson process modeled by a continuous sigmoidal Cox process that assumes the corresponding intensity function is given by a Gaussian process (GP) prior transformed with a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-10 Virginia Aglietti , Edwin V. Bonilla , Theodoros Damoulas , Sally Cripps

Gaussian process is a theoretically appealing model for nonparametric analysis, but its computational cumbersomeness hinders its use in large scale and the existing reduced-rank solutions are usually heuristic. In this work, we propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-25 Leo L. Duan , Xia Wang , Rhonda D. Szczesniak

The increasing penetration of renewable energy along with the variations of the loads bring large uncertainties in the power system states that are threatening the security of power system planning and operation. Facing these challenges,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-14 Yijun Xu , Kiran Karra , Lamine Mili , Mert Korkali , Xiao Chen , Zhixiong Hu

We introduce a new methodology 'charcoal' for estimating the location of sparse changes in high-dimensional linear regression coefficients, without assuming that those coefficients are individually sparse. The procedure works by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-23 Fengnan Gao , Tengyao Wang

Random Forests are powerful ensemble learning algorithms widely used in various machine learning tasks. However, they have a tendency to overfit noisy or irrelevant features, which can result in decreased generalization performance.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Bastian Pfeifer

This paper introduces a new modeling framework for the statistical analysis of point patterns on a manifold M_{d}, defined by a connected and compact two-point homogeneous space, including the special case of the sphere. The presented…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-21 M. P. Frías , A. Torres , M. D. Ruiz-Medina

This study introduces a novel theoretical framework for analyzing heteroscedastic Gaussian processes (HGPs) that identify unknown systems in a data-driven manner. Although HGPs effectively address the heteroscedasticity of noise in complex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Yuji Ito

Joint modeling of spatially-oriented dependent variables is commonplace in the environmental sciences, where scientists seek to estimate the relationships among a set of environmental outcomes accounting for dependence among these outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Lu Zhang , Sudipto Banerjee , Andrew O. Finley

Coalescent models of bifurcating genealogies are used to infer evolutionary parameters from molecular data. However, there are many situations where bifurcating genealogies do not accurately reflect the true underlying ancestral history of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Julie Zhang , Noah A. Rosenberg , Julia A. Palacios

Scientific and engineering problems often require the use of artificial intelligence to aid understanding and the search for promising designs. While Gaussian processes (GP) stand out as easy-to-use and interpretable learners, they have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-01 Liwei Wang , Suraj Yerramilli , Akshay Iyer , Daniel Apley , Ping Zhu , Wei Chen

The Cox model is an indispensable tool for time-to-event analysis, particularly in biomedical research. However, medicine is undergoing a profound transformation, generating data at an unprecedented scale, which opens new frontiers to study…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Alexander W. Jung , Moritz Gerstung

The varying-coefficient model is a strong tool for the modelling of interactions in generalized regression. It is easy to apply if both the variables that are modified as well as the effect modifiers are known. However, in general one has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-25 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz , Matthias Schmid

A key challenge in estimating causal effects from observational data is handling confounding and is commonly achieved through weighting methods that balance distribution of covariates between treatment and control groups. Weighting…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Simion De , Jared D. Huling

In this work, we present a neural approach to reconstructing rooted tree graphs describing hierarchical interactions, using a novel representation we term the Lowest Common Ancestor Generations (LCAG) matrix. This compact formulation is…

In spatial data, location-dependent variation leads to connected structures known as features. Variations occur at different spatial scales and possibly originate from distinct underlying processes. Each of these scales is characterized by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-08 Roman Flury , Tuomas Aakala , Leena Ruha , Timo Kuuluvainen , Reinhard Furrer