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In this work, we consider rule-based investment strategies for managing a defined contribution saving scheme under the Dutch pension fund testing model. We found that dynamic rule-based investment can outperform traditional static…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-02 T. R. B. den Haan , K. W. Chau , M. van der Schans , C. W. Oosterlee

While maximizing expected return is the goal in most reinforcement learning approaches, risk-sensitive objectives such as conditional value at risk (CVaR) are more suitable for many high-stakes applications. However, relatively little is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-06 Ramtin Keramati , Christoph Dann , Alex Tamkin , Emma Brunskill

In this paper, a convex optimization-based method is proposed for numerically solving dynamic programs in continuous state and action spaces. The key idea is to approximate the output of the Bellman operator at a particular state by the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Insoon Yang

Recently, there has been a growing interest in developing inventory control policies which are robust to model misspecification. One approach is to posit that nature selects a worst-case distribution for any stochastic primitives from some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-08-21 Linwei Xin , David A. Goldberg

The stochastic multi-armed bandit has provided a framework for studying decision-making in unknown environments. We propose a variant of the stochastic multi-armed bandit where the rewards are sampled from a stochastic linear dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Jonathan Gornet , Mehdi Hosseinzadeh , Bruno Sinopoli

In this paper we develop a dynamic form of Bayesian optimization for machine learning models with the goal of rapidly finding good hyperparameter settings. Our method uses the partial information gained during the training of a machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-17 Kevin Swersky , Jasper Snoek , Ryan Prescott Adams

For a discrete time Markov chain and in line with Strotz' consistent planning we develop a framework for problems of optimal stopping that are time-inconsistent due to the consideration of a non-linear function of an expected reward. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-23 Sören Christensen , Kristoffer Lindensjö

Building on insights of Jovanovic (1982) and subsequent authors, we develop a comprehensive theory of optimal timing of decisions based around continuation value functions and operators that act on them. Optimality results are provided…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-30 Qingyin Ma , John Stachurski

This is a follow up of our previous paper - Trybu{\l}a and Zawisza \cite{TryZaw}, where we considered a modification of a monotone mean-variance functional in continuous time in stochastic factor model. In this article we address the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-23 Jakub Trybuła , Dariusz Zawisza

We consider a model where an agent has a repeated decision to make and wishes to maximize their total payoff. Payoffs are influenced by an action taken by the agent, but also an unknown state of the world that evolves over time. Before…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Nicole Immorlica , Ian Kash , Brendan Lucier

The standard approach for constructing a Mean-Variance portfolio involves estimating parameters for the model using collected samples. However, since the distribution of future data may not resemble that of the training set, the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-12 Duy Khanh Lam

Markov decision problems are most commonly solved via dynamic programming. Another approach is Bellman residual minimization, which directly minimizes the squared Bellman residual objective function. However, compared to dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Donghwan Lee , Hyukjun Yang

This paper is devoted to study the effects arising from imposing a value-at-risk (VaR) constraint in mean-variance portfolio selection problem for an investor who receives a stochastic cash flow which he/she must then invest in a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Jun Ye , Tiantian Li

The problem of determining the European-style option price in the incomplete market has been examined within the framework of stochastic optimization. An analytic method based on the discrete dynamic programming equation (Bellman equation)…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 Sergei Fedotov , Sergei Mikhailov

We consider challenging dynamic programming models where the associated Bellman equation, and the value and policy iteration algorithms commonly exhibit complex and even pathological behavior. Our analysis is based on the new notion of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-13 Dimitri P. Bertsekas

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

In this paper, a robust optimal reinsurance-investment problem with delay is studied under the $\alpha$-maxmin mean-variance criterion. The surplus process of an insurance company approximates Brownian motion with drift. The financial…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Min Zhang , Yong He

We introduce a general framework for continuous-time betting markets, in which a bookmaker can dynamically control the prices of bets on outcomes of random events. In turn, the prices set by the bookmaker affect the rate or intensity of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-09 Matthew Lorig , Zhou Zhou , Bin Zou

In this paper we study a class of time-inconsistent terminal Markovian control problems in discrete time subject to model uncertainty. We combine the concept of the sub-game perfect strategies with the adaptive robust stochastic to tackle…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco

This paper aims to solve the optimal strategy against a well-known adaptive algorithm, the Hedge algorithm, in a finitely repeated $2\times 2$ zero-sum game. In the literature, related theoretical results are very rare. To this end, we make…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-18 Xinxiang Guo , Yifen Mu
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