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We propose a new approach to estimate government worker skills, a setting where output is hard to observe and wages may be uninformative about skills. The approach uses wages in comparable jobs in the private sector and machine learning…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-20 Kevin Michael Frick , Jonas Gathen

In this work, we consider rule-based investment strategies for managing a defined contribution saving scheme under the Dutch pension fund testing model. We found that dynamic rule-based investment can outperform traditional static…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-02 T. R. B. den Haan , K. W. Chau , M. van der Schans , C. W. Oosterlee

We aim to predict whether an employee of a company will leave or not, using the k-Nearest Neighbors algorithm. We use evaluation of employee performance, average monthly hours at work and number of years spent in the company, among others,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-28 Rahul Yedida , Rahul Reddy , Rakshit Vahi , Rahul Jana , Abhilash GV , Deepti Kulkarni

The appropriate estimation of incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves is traditionally one of the most important task of actuaries working in casualty and property insurance. As certain claims are reported many years after their…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Laszlo Martinek , Miklos Arato , Miklos Malyusz

In the context of life insurance with profit participation, the future discretionary benefits ($FDB$), which are a central item for Solvency~II reporting, are generally calculated by computationally expensive Monte Carlo algorithms. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-11 Florian Gach , Simon Hochgerner

A growing body of evidence has shown that incorporating behavioral economics principles into the design of financial incentive programs helps improve their cost-effectiveness, promote individuals' short-term engagement, and increase…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Palakorn Achananuparp , Ee-Peng Lim , Vibhanshu Abhishek , Tianjiao Yun

Using high-quality nation-wide social security data combined with machine learning tools, we develop predictive models of income support receipt intensities for any payment enrolee in the Australian social security system between 2014 and…

General Economics · Economics 2021-05-14 Dario Sansone , Anna Zhu

This work deals with an optimal asset allocation problem for a defined contribution (DC) pension plan during its accumulation phase. The contribution rate is proportional to the individual's salary, the dynamics of which follows a Heston…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-04 Xiaoyi Zhang , Linlin Tian

Experiments suggest that people fail to take into account interdependencies between their choices -- they do not broadly bracket. Researchers often instead assume that people narrowly bracket, but existing designs do not test it. We design…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-12 Andrew Ellis , David J. Freeman

In this paper, we analyzed the dataset IBM Employee Attrition to find the main reasons why employees choose to resign. Firstly, we utilized the correlation matrix to see some features that were not significantly correlated with other…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Shenghuan Yang , Md Tariqul Islam

This paper examines how loss aversion affects wages offered by employers and accepted by job seekers. I introduce a behavioral search model with monopsonistic firms making wage offers to job seekers who experience steeper disutility from…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Ross Chu

Open Source Software (OSS) projects rely on a continuous stream of new contributors for their livelihood. Recent studies reported that new contributors experience many barriers in their first contribution, with the social barrier being…

We consider moral hazard problems where a principal has access to rich monitoring data about an agent's action. Rather than focusing on optimal contracts (which are known to in general be complicated), we characterize the optimal rate at…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-04 Mira Frick , Ryota Iijima , Yuhta Ishii

For the past two decades, the discussion regarding the effect of ICT on health systems is becoming apparent. However, past studies have mainly focused on ICT impact on specific social-economic phenomena. Little empirical research on ICT and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Felix Olu Bankole , Lucas Mimbi

Debt aversion can have severe adverse effects on financial decision-making. We propose a model of debt aversion, and design an experiment involving real debt and saving contracts, to elicit and jointly estimate debt aversion with…

General Economics · Economics 2022-07-27 Thomas Meissner , David Albrecht

In this paper, we consider a risk process with deterministic growth and multiplicative jumps to model the capital of a low-income household. Reflecting the high-risk nature of the low-income environment, capital losses are assumed to be…

We consider the problem of optimal annuitization with labour income, where an agent aims to maximize utility from consumption and labour income under age-dependent force of mortality. Using a dynamic programming approach, we derive…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-14 Criscent Birungi , Cody Hyndman

We uncover a large and significant low-minus-high rank effect for commodities across two centuries. There is nothing anomalous about this anomaly, nor is it clear how it can be arbitraged away. Using nonparametric econometric methods, we…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-27 Ricardo T. Fernholz , Christoffer Koch

Return-risk models are the two pillars of modern portfolio theory, which are widely used to make decisions in choosing the loan portfolio of a bank. Banks and other financial institutions are subjected to limited liability protection.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Deb Narayan Barik , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

Different models of capital exchange among economic agents have been proposed recently trying to explain the emergence of Pareto's wealth power law distribution. One important factor to be considered is the existence of risk aversion. In…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. R. Iglesias , S. Goncalves , G. Abramson , J. L. Vega
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