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Adapting the step size locally in the no-U-turn sampler (NUTS) is challenging because the step-size and path-length tuning parameters are interdependent. The determination of an optimal path length requires a predefined step size, while the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-29 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Bob Carpenter , Tore Selland Kleppe , Milo Marsden

There is substantial empirical evidence about the success of dynamic implementations of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC), such as the No U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), in many challenging inference problems but theoretical results about their behavior…

Computation · Statistics 2024-10-21 Alain Durmus , Samuel Gruffaz , Miika Kailas , Eero Saksman , Matti Vihola

The No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) is the computational workhorse of modern Bayesian software libraries, yet its qualitative and quantitative convergence guarantees were established only recently. A significant gap remains in the theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-15 Samuel Gruffaz , Kyurae Kim , Fares Guehtar , Hadrien Duval-decaix , Pacôme Trautmann

Locally adapting parameters within Markov chain Monte Carlo methods while preserving reversibility is notoriously difficult. The success of the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS) largely stems from its clever local adaptation of the integration time…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-24 Nawaf Bou-Rabee , Bob Carpenter , Tore Selland Kleppe , Sifan Liu

We investigate a new sampling scheme aimed at improving the performance of particle filters whenever (a) there is a significant mismatch between the assumed model dynamics and the actual system, or (b) the posterior probability tends to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-20 Ömer Deniz Akyıldız , Joaquín Míguez

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods have existed for a long time and the field is well-explored. The purpose of MCMC methods is to approximate a distribution through repeated sampling; most MCMC algorithms exhibit asymptotically optimal…

Computation · Statistics 2023-07-13 Fareed Sheriff

Neural networks are becoming increasingly prevalent in software, and it is therefore important to be able to verify their behavior. Because verifying the correctness of neural networks is extremely challenging, it is common to focus on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Ravi Mangal , Aditya V. Nori , Alessandro Orso

We study the convergence rate of randomly truncated stochastic algorithms, which consist in the truncation of the standard Robbins-Monro procedure on an increasing sequence of compact sets. Such a truncation is often required in practice to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Jérôme Lelong

We study the convergence rate of randomly truncated stochastic algorithms, which consist in the truncation of the standard Robbins-Monro procedure on an increasing sequence of compact sets. Such a truncation is often required in practice to…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-03-23 Jérôme Lelong

We introduce a new second order stochastic algorithm to estimate the entropically regularized optimal transport cost between two probability measures. The source measure can be arbitrary chosen, either absolutely continuous or discrete,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-03-03 Bernard Bercu , Jérémie Bigot , Sébastien Gadat , Emilia Siviero

In a recently published paper [1], it is shown that deep neural networks (DNNs) with random Gaussian weights preserve the metric structure of the data, with the property that the distance shrinks more when the angle between the two data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-04-02 Talha Cihad Gulcu , Alper Gungor

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm that avoids the random walk behavior and sensitivity to correlated parameters that plague many MCMC methods by taking a series of steps informed by first-order…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-19 Matthew D. Hoffman , Andrew Gelman

The push-sum algorithm allows distributed computing of the average on a directed graph, and is particularly relevant when one is restricted to one-way and/or asynchronous communications. We investigate its behavior in the presence of…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-06-01 Balázs Gerencsér , Julien M. Hendrickx

An algorithm for sampling exactly from the normal distribution is given. The algorithm reads some number of uniformly distributed random digits in a given base and generates an initial portion of the representation of a normal deviate in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2016-02-01 Charles F. F. Karney

Nested sampling (NS) is a popular algorithm for Bayesian computation. We investigate statistical errors in NS both analytically and numerically. We show two analytic results. First, we show that the leading terms in Skilling's expression…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-03-29 Andrew Fowlie , Qiao Li , Huifang Lv , Yecheng Sun , Jia Zhang , Le Zheng

Motivated by challenges on studying a new correlation measurement being popularized in evaluating online ranking algorithms' performance, this manuscript explores the validity of uncertainty assessment for weighted U-statistics. Without any…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Fang Han , Tianchen Qian

In a closed economic system, money is conserved. Thus, by analogy with energy, the equilibrium probability distribution of money must follow the exponential Gibbs law characterized by an effective temperature equal to the average amount of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-02-25 Adrian Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

The Hastings algorithm is a key tool in computational science. While mathematically justified by detailed balance, it can be conceptually difficult to grasp. Here, we present two complementary and intuitive ways to derive and understand the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-07 David D. L. Minh , Do Le , Minh

In this paper we present a novel implementation of Bayesian CMB component separation. We sample from the full posterior distribution using the No-U-Turn Sampler (NUTS), a gradient-based sampling algorithm. Alongside this, we introduce new…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-11-19 R. D. P. Grumitt , Luke R. P. Jew , C. Dickinson

This paper presents a theoretical analysis of sample selection bias correction. The sample bias correction technique commonly used in machine learning consists of reweighting the cost of an error on each training point of a biased sample to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-12-18 Corinna Cortes , Mehryar Mohri , Michael Riley , Afshin Rostamizadeh
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