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Policy-makers require data-driven tools to assess the spread of COVID-19 and inform the public of their risk of infection on an ongoing basis. We propose a rigorous hybrid model-and-data-driven approach to risk scoring based on a…

The novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) is a public health problem once according to the World Health Organization up to June 10th, 2020, more than 7.1 million people were infected, and more than 400 thousand have died worldwide. In the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-22 Ramon Gomes da Silva , Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro , Viviana Cocco Mariani , Leandro dos Santos Coelho

We propose a forecasting method for predicting epidemiological health series on a two-week horizon at the regional and interregional resolution. The approach is based on model order reduction of parametric compartmental models, and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-11 Athmane Bakhta , Thomas Boiveau , Yvon Maday , Olga Mula

As the COVID-19 spread over the globe and new variants of COVID-19 keep occurring, reliable real-time forecasts of COVID-19 hospitalizations are critical for public health decision on medical resources allocations such as ICU beds,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Tao Wang , Simin Ma , Soobin Baek , Shihao Yang

Across the world, scholars are racing to predict the spread of the novel coronavirus, COVID-19. Such predictions are often pursued by numerically simulating epidemics with a large number of plausible combinations of relevant parameters. It…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-03 Jonas L. Juul , Kaare Græsbøll , Lasse Engbo Christiansen , Sune Lehmann

As the COVID-19 ravaging through the globe, accurate forecasts of the disease spread is crucial for situational awareness, resource allocation, and public health decision-making. Alternative to the traditional disease surveillance data…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Simin Ma , Shihao Yang

Background. Forecasting the time of forthcoming pandemic reduces the impact of diseases by taking precautionary steps such as public health messaging and raising the consciousness of doctors. With the continuous and rapid increase in the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-12 Muhammad Naeem , Jian Yu , Muhammad Aamir , Sajjad Ahmad Khan , Olayinka Adeleye , Zardad Khan

A number of models in mathematical epidemiology have been developed to account for control measures such as vaccination or quarantine. However, COVID-19 has brought unprecedented social distancing measures, with a challenge on how to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-07 Magdalena Djordjevic , Andjela Rodic , Igor Salom , Dusan Zigic , Ognjen Milicevic , Bojana Ilic , Marko Djordjevic

We conduct a controlled crowd-sourced experiment of COVID-19 case data visualization to study if and how different plotting methods, time windows, and the nature of the data influence people's interpretation of real-world COVID-19 data and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Oded Stein , Alec Jacobson , Fanny Chevalier

COVID 19 is an acute disease that started spreading throughout the world, beginning in December 2019. It has spread worldwide and has affected more than 7 million people, and 200 thousand people have died due to this infection as of Oct…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-04-26 Shradha Shinde , Jay Joshi , Sowmya Mareedu , Yeon Pyo Kim , Jongwook Woo

The presence of smart objects is increasingly widespread and their ecosystem, also known as Internet of Things, is relevant in many different application scenarios. The huge amount of temporally annotated data produced by these smart…

Databases · Computer Science 2022-09-21 Giacomo Chiarot , Claudio Silvestri

The spread of COVID-19 has coincided with the rise of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), leading to several studies proposing their use to better forecast the evolution of the pandemic. Many such models also include Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Nathan Sesti , Juan Jose Garau-Luis , Edward Crawley , Bruce Cameron

The investment of time and resources for better strategies and methodologies to tackle a potential pandemic is key to deal with potential outbreaks of new variants or other viruses in the future. In this work, we recreated the scene of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Andrés L. Suárez-Cetrulo , Ankit Kumar , Luis Miralles-Pechuán

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

We propose a novel model-based clustering approach for samples of time series. We assume as a unique commonality that two observations belong to the same group if structural changes in their behaviours happen at the same time. We resort to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-15 Riccardo Corradin , Luca Danese , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Andrea Ongaro

The COVID-19 pandemic has created unprecedented challenges worldwide. Strained healthcare providers make difficult decisions on patient triage, treatment and care management on a daily basis. Policy makers have imposed social distancing…

In recent years, there have been unprecedented technological advances in sensor technology, and sensors have become more affordable than ever. Thus, sensor-driven data collection is increasingly becoming an attractive and practical option…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-30 Alireza Abdoli

The Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) has affected 1.8 million people and resulted in more than 110,000 deaths as of April 12, 2020. Several studies have shown that tomographic patterns seen on chest Computed Tomography (CT), such as…

Graph summarization is beneficial in a wide range of applications, such as visualization, interactive and exploratory analysis, approximate query processing, reducing the on-disk storage footprint, and graph processing in modern hardware.…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Xiangyu Ke , Arijit Khan , Francesco Bonchi

In recent years, the trend of deploying digital systems in numerous industries has hiked. The health sector has observed an extensive adoption of digital systems and services that generate significant medical records. Electronic health…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Neel Kanwal , Giuseppe Rizzo