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Consider a space object in an orbit about the earth. An uncertain initial state can be represented as a point cloud which can be propagated to later times by the laws of Newtonian motion. If the state of the object is represented in…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-25 John T. Kent , Shambo Bhattacharjee , Weston R. Faber , Islam I. Hussein

We introduce the inverse Kalman filter, which enables exact matrix-vector multiplication between a covariance matrix from a dynamic linear model and any real-valued vector with linear computational cost. We integrate the inverse Kalman…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Xinyi Fang , Mengyang Gu

This brief technical note elaborates three well-known state estimators, which are used extensively in practice. These are the rather old-fashioned extended Kalman filter (EKF) and the recently-designed cubature Kalman filtering (CKF) and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-23 G. Yu. Kulikov , M. V. Kulikova

The Kalman filter computes the optimal variable-gain using prior knowledge of the initial state and random (process and measurement) noise distributions, which are assumed to be Gaussian with known variance. However, when these…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-31 Hugh Lachlan Kennedy

The Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) is a well established technique for position and velocity estimation. However, the performance of the EKF degrades considerably in highly non-linear system applications as it requires local linearisation in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-30 Sanat Biswas , Li Qiao , Andrew Dempster

Solving inverse problems without the use of derivatives or adjoints of the forward model is highly desirable in many applications arising in science and engineering. In this paper, we propose a new version of such a methodology, a framework…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-10-17 Alfredo Garbuno-Inigo , Franca Hoffmann , Wuchen Li , Andrew M. Stuart

Counter-adversarial system design problems have lately motivated the development of inverse Bayesian filters. For example, inverse Kalman filter (I-KF) has been recently formulated to estimate the adversary's Kalman-filter-tracked estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Himali Singh , Arpan Chattopadhyay , Kumar Vijay Mishra

The unscented Kalman inversion (UKI) presented in [1] is a general derivative-free approach to solving the inverse problem. UKI is particularly suitable for inverse problems where the forward model is given as a black box and may not be…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-02-24 Daniel Z. Huang , Jiaoyang Huang

Model-based filtering is often carried out while subject to an imperfect model, as learning partially-observable stochastic systems remains a challenge. Recent work on Bayesian inference found that tempering the likelihood or full posterior…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-03 Menno van Zutphen , Domagoj Herceg , Giannis Delimpaltadakis , Duarte J. Antunes

We propose a new recursive estimator for linear dynamical systems under Gaussian process noise and non-Gaussian measurement noise. Specifically, we develop an approximate maximum a posteriori (MAP) estimator using dynamic programming and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-09 Mohammad Hussein Yoosefian Nooshabadi , Laurent Lessard

Kalman filter is a key tool for time-series forecasting and analysis. We show that the dependence of a prediction of Kalman filter on the past is decaying exponentially, whenever the process noise is non-degenerate. Therefore, Kalman filter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-24 Mark Kozdoba , Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian , Shie Mannor

In this article, we present a structured Kalman filter associated with the transformation matrix for observable Kalman canonical decomposition from conventional Kalman filter (CKF) in order to generate a more accurate time scale. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-08 Yuyue Yan , Takahiro Kawaguchi , Yuichiro Yano , Yuko Hanado , Takayuki Ishizaki

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a data assimilation technique that uses an ensemble of models, updated with data, to track the time evolution of a usually non-linear system. It does so by using an empirical approximation to the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-12 Elizabeth Hou , Earl Lawrence , Alfred O. Hero

The Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was introduced by Evensen in 1994 [10] as a novel method for data assimilation: state estimation for noisily observed time-dependent problems. Since that time it has had enormous impact in many application…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-04-08 Marco A. Iglesias , Kody J. H. Law , Andrew M. Stuart

Camera motion estimation from observed scene features is an important task in image processing to increase the accuracy of many methods, e.g. optical flow and structure-from-motion. Due to the curved geometry of the state space SE(3) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-27 Johannes Berger , Frank Lenzen , Florian Becker , Andreas Neufeld , Christoph Schnörr

This paper is focused on probabilistic estimation for the attitude dynamics of a rigid body on the special orthogonal group. We select the matrix Fisher distribution to represent the uncertainties of attitude estimates and measurements in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-02-11 Taeyoung Lee

Sequential Bayesian filters in non-linear dynamic systems require the recursive estimation of the predictive and posterior distributions. This paper introduces a Bayesian filter called the adaptive kernel Kalman filter (AKKF). With this…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-12 Mengwei Sun , Mike E. Davies , Ian K. Proudler , James R. Hopgood

We present a theory-first framework that interprets inference-time adaptation in large language models (LLMs) as online Bayesian state estimation. Rather than modeling rapid adaptation as implicit optimization or meta-learning, we formulate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Andrew Kiruluta

Many state estimation and control algorithms require knowledge of how probability distributions propagate through dynamical systems. However, despite hybrid dynamical systems becoming increasingly important in many fields, there has been…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-09 Nathan J. Kong , J. Joe Payne , George Council , Aaron M. Johnson

This paper proposes a novel geometric nonlinear filter for attitude and bias estimation on the Special Orthogonal Group $SO(3)$ using matrix measurements. The structure of the proposed filter is similar to that of the continuous-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-12 Farooq Aslam , Muhammad Farooq Haydar , Suhail Akhtar