Related papers: Hedging and machine learning driven crude oil data…
With the rapid advancement of neural networks, methods for option pricing have evolved significantly. This study employs the Black-Scholes-Merton (B-S-M) model, incorporating an additional variable to improve the accuracy of predictions…
The work focuses on the modelling and imputation of oil and gas reservoirs parameters, specifically, the problem of predicting the oil recovery factor (RF) using Bayesian networks (BNs). Recovery forecasting is critical for the oil and gas…
Deep hedging represents a cutting-edge approach to risk management for financial derivatives by leveraging the power of deep learning. However, existing methods often face challenges related to computational inefficiency, sensitivity to…
In incomplete financial markets, pricing and hedging European options lack a unique no-arbitrage solution due to unhedgeable risks. This paper introduces a constrained deep learning approach to determine option prices and hedging strategies…
Modern high-frequency trading (HFT) environments are characterized by sudden price spikes that present both risk and opportunity, but conventional financial models often fail to capture the required fine temporal structure. Spiking Neural…
In the context of global trade, cross-border commodity pricing largely determines the competitiveness and market share of businesses. However, existing methodologies often prove inadequate, as they lack the agility and precision required to…
The paper contributes to the rare literature modeling term structure of crude oil markets. We explain term structure of crude oil prices using dynamic Nelson-Siegel model, and propose to forecast them with the generalized regression…
Accurate crude oil price prediction is crucial for financial decision-making. We propose a novel reservoir computing model for forecasting crude oil prices. It outperforms popular deep learning methods in most scenarios, as demonstrated…
Derivatives, as a critical class of financial instruments, isolate and trade the price attributes of risk assets such as stocks, commodities, and indices, aiding risk management and enhancing market efficiency. However, traditional hedging…
Extracting implied information, like volatility and/or dividend, from observed option prices is a challenging task when dealing with American options, because of the computational costs needed to solve the corresponding mathematical problem…
The Libor market model is a mainstay term structure model of interest rates for derivatives pricing, especially for Bermudan swaptions, and other exotic Libor callable derivatives. For numerical implementation the pricing of derivatives…
A data-driven approach called CaNN (Calibration Neural Network) is proposed to calibrate financial asset price models using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Determining optimal values of the model parameters is formulated as training…
This work studies the deep learning-based numerical algorithms for optimal hedging problems in markets with general convex transaction costs on the trading rates, focusing on their scalability of trading time horizon. Based on the…
Deep hedging is a framework for hedging derivatives in the presence of market frictions. In this study, we focus on the problem of hedging a given target option by using multiple options. To extend the deep hedging framework to this…
This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…
In this study, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach is utilized to perform a parametric study on the process of extraction of lubricants from heavy petroleum cuts. To train the model, we used field data collected from an industrial…
Faced with the growing research towards crude oil price fluctuations influential factors following the accelerated development of Internet technology, accessible data such as Google search volume index are increasingly quantified and…
The objective of this study is to develop a good risk model for classifying business delinquency by simultaneously exploring several machine learning based methods including regularization, hyper-parameter optimization, and model ensembling…
We propose a novel approach to data-driven modeling of a transient production of oil wells. We apply the transformer-based neural networks trained on the multivariate time series composed of various parameters of oil wells measured during…
Techniques from deep learning play a more and more important role for the important task of calibration of financial models. The pioneering paper by Hernandez [Risk, 2017] was a catalyst for resurfacing interest in research in this area. In…