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The perspective of developing trustworthy AI for critical applications in science and engineering requires machine learning techniques that are capable of estimating their own uncertainty. In the context of regression, instead of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Quentin Duchemin , Guillaume Obozinski

We consider a regression setting where observations are collected in different environments modeled by different data distributions. The field of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization aims to design methods that generalize better to test…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-12 Francesco Freni , Anya Fries , Linus Kühne , Markus Reichstein , Jonas Peters

This work considers the problem of fitting functional models with sparsely and irregularly sampled functional data. It overcomes the limitations of the state-of-the-art methods, which face major challenges in the fitting of more complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-02 Aniruddha Rajendra Rao , Matthew Reimherr

Multiple imputation is a highly recommended technique to deal with missing data, but the application to longitudinal datasets can be done in multiple ways. When a new wave of longitudinal data arrives, we can treat the combined data of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-18 X. M. Kavelaars , S. van Buuren , J. R. van Ginkel

Invariant Causal Prediction (Peters et al., 2016) is a technique for out-of-distribution generalization which assumes that some aspects of the data distribution vary across the training set but that the underlying causal mechanisms remain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Elan Rosenfeld , Pradeep Ravikumar , Andrej Risteski

Prediction Rule Ensembles (PREs) are robust and interpretable statistical learning techniques with potential for predictive analytics, yet their efficacy in the presence of missing data is untested. This study uses multiple imputation to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Vincent Schroeder , Jakob Schwerter , Marjolein Fokkema , Philipp Doebler

Despite the impressive performance of random forests (RF), its theoretical properties have not been thoroughly understood. In this paper, we propose a novel RF framework, dubbed multinomial random forest (MRF), to analyze the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Yiming Li , Jiawang Bai , Jiawei Li , Xue Yang , Yong Jiang , Chun Li , Shutao Xia

We introduce WildWood (WW), a new ensemble algorithm for supervised learning of Random Forest (RF) type. While standard RF algorithms use bootstrap out-of-bag samples to compute out-of-bag scores, WW uses these samples to produce improved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Stéphane Gaïffas , Ibrahim Merad , Yiyang Yu

Balancing the distributions of the confounders across the exposure levels in an observational study through matching or weighting is an accepted method to control for confounding due to these variables when estimating the association…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-24 Farhad Pishgar , Noah Greifer , Clémence Leyrat , Elizabeth Stuart

Regression trees are a popular machine learning algorithm that fit piecewise constant models by recursively partitioning the predictor space. This paper focuses on statistical inference for a data-dependent model obtained from a fitted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Soham Bakshi , Yiling Huang , Snigdha Panigrahi , Walter Dempsey

In recent years, dynamically growing data and incrementally growing number of classes pose new challenges to large-scale data classification research. Most traditional methods struggle to balance the precision and computational burden when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-01 Tingting Xie , Yuxing Peng , Changjian Wang

Random forests perform bootstrap-aggregation by sampling the training samples with replacement. This enables the evaluation of out-of-bag error which serves as a internal cross-validation mechanism. Our motivation lies in using the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-20 Kiran Bangalore Ravi , Jean Serra

A random forest prediction can be computed by the scalar product of the labels of the training examples and a set of weights that are determined by the leafs of the forest into which the test object falls; each prediction can hence be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Henrik Boström

Quantitative measurements produced by mass spectrometry proteomics experiments offer a direct way to explore the role of proteins in molecular mechanisms. However, analysis of such data is challenging due to the large proportion of missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Haeun Moon , Jin-Hong Du , Jing Lei , Kathryn Roeder

Given the prevalence of missing data in modern statistical research, a broad range of methods is available for any given imputation task. How does one choose the `best' imputation method in a given application? The standard approach is to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-01 Jeffrey Näf , Meta-Lina Spohn , Loris Michel , Nicolai Meinshausen

Random Forests [Breiman:2001] (RF) are a fully non-parametric statistical method requiring no distributional assumptions on covariate relation to the response. RF are a robust, nonlinear technique that optimizes predictive accuracy by…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-30 John Ehrlinger

Variational inference is a popular method for estimating model parameters and conditional distributions in hierarchical and mixed models, which arise frequently in many settings in the health, social, and biological sciences. Variational…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-10 Ted Westling , Tyler H. McCormick

Classification is essential to the applications in the field of data mining, artificial intelligence, and fault detection. There exists a strong need in developing accurate, suitable, and efficient classification methods and algorithms with…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Yingtao Ren , Xiaomin Zhu , Kaiyuan Bai , Runtong Zhang

In this paper, we introduce a nonparametric end-to-end method for probabilistic forecasting of distributed renewable generation outputs while including missing data imputation. Firstly, we employ a nonparametric probabilistic forecast model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-02 Minghui Chen , Zichao Meng , Yanping Liu , Longbo Luo , Ye Guo , Kang Wang

Multiple imputation (MI) has become popular for analyses with missing data in medical research. The standard implementation of MI is based on the assumption of data being missing at random (MAR). However, for missing data generated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-03 Tra My Pham , James R Carpenter , Tim P Morris , Angela M Wood , Irene Petersen
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