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We develop a stochastic framework for viral population dynamics at the cellular level that explicitly incorporates the replication cycle with random stage durations. The model is formulated as a structured birth-death process coupled with a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-13 Seong Jun Park

Viruses constantly undergo mutations with genomic changes. The propagation of variants of viruses is an interesting problem. We perform numerical simulations of the microscopic epidemic model based on network theory for the spread of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-14 Yutaka Okabe , Akira Shudo

We consider the evolution of populations under the joint action of mutation and differential reproduction, or selection. The population is modelled as a finite-type Markov branching process in continuous time, and the associated…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-02-23 Ellen Baake , Hans-Otto Georgii

Many cell types display random motility on two-dimensional substrates, but crawl persistently in a single direction when confined in a microchannel or on an adhesive micropattern. Does this imply that the motility mechanism of confined…

Biological Physics · Physics 2014-06-13 Brian A. Camley , Wouter-Jan Rappel

We study the early stages of viral infection, and the distribution of times to obtain a persistent infection. The virus population proliferates by entering and reproducing inside a target cell until a sufficient number of new virus…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-11 Carmel Sagi , Michael Assaf

The emergence or adaptation of pathogens may lead to epidemics, highlighting the need for a thorough understanding of pathogen evolution. The tradeoff hypothesis suggests that virulence evolves to reach an optimal transmission intensity…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-12-09 Daniel A. M. Villela

We investigate morphologies of proliferating cellular tissue using a newly developed numerical simulation model for mechanical cell division. The model reproduces structures of simple multi-cellular organisms via simple rules for selective…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2018-11-20 Pranav Madhikar , Jan Åström , Björn Baumeier , Mikko Karttunen

The rate at which individual bacterial cells grow depends on the concentrations of cellular components such as ribosomes and proteins. These concentrations continuously fluctuate over time and are inherited from mother to daughter cells,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-08-21 Yaïr Hein , Farshid Jafarpour

We study a two-type branching process which provides excellent description of experimental data on cell dynamics in skin tissue (Clayton et al., 2007). The model involves only a single type of progenitor cell, and does not require support…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-11-18 Tibor Antal , P. L. Krapivsky

Models of tissue growth are now well established, in particular in relation to their applications to cancer. They describe the dynamics of cells subject to motion resulting from a pressure gradient generated by the death and birth of cells,…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Piotr Gwiazda , Benoît Perthame , Agnieszka Świerczewska-Gwiazda

We consider a partial differential equation model for the growth of heterogeneous cell populations subdivided into multiple distinct discrete phenotypes. In this model, cells preferentially move towards regions where they feel less…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-04-04 José A. Carrillo , Tommaso Lorenzi , Fiona R. Macfarlane

Two density-dependent branching processes are considered to model predator-prey populations. For both models, preys are considered to be the main food supply of predators. Moreover, in each generation the number of individuals of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Cristina Gutiérrez , Carmen Minuesa

RNA viruses comprise vast populations of closely related, but highly genetically diverse, entities known as quasispecies. Understanding the mechanisms by which this extreme diversity is generated and maintained is fundamental when…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-27 Luiza Guimarães , Diogo Castro , Bruno Gorzoni , Luiz Mario Ramos Janini , Fernando Antoneli

This paper presents a stochastic model motivated by the study of a virus-like evolving population with different mutation rates. This is a continuous time birth-death model: the birth processes are mutually-exciting Hawkes processes and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Rahul Roy , Dharmaraja Selvamuthu , Paola Tardelli

The spread of viruses in biological networks, computer networks, and human contact networks can have devastating effects; developing and analyzing mathematical models of these systems can be insightful and lead to societal benefits. Prior…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Philip E. Paré , Angelia Nedić , Carolyn L. Beck

Epidemics in large complete networks is well established. In contrast, we consider epidemics in non-complete networks. We establish the fluid limit macroscopic dynamics of a multi-virus spread over a multipartite network as the number of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-06-27 Augusto Santos , José M. F. Moura , João Xavier

We propose a class of non-Markov population models with continuous or discrete state space via a limiting procedure involving sequences of rescaled and randomly time-changed Galton--Watson processes. The class includes as specific cases the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Luisa Andreis , Federico Polito , Laura Sacerdote

We introduce a model of parasite infection in a cell population, where cells can be infected, either at birth through maternal transmission, from a contact with the parasites reservoir, or because of the parasites released in the cell…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-10 Charline Smadi

We study a model of a branching process subject to selection, modeled by giving each family an individual fitness acting as a branching rate, and mutation, modeled by resampling the fitness of a proportion of offspring in each generation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-21 Su-Chan Park , Joachim Krug , Peter Mörters

We consider a binary branching process structured by a stochastic trait that evolves according to a diffusion process that triggers the branching events, in the spirit of Kimmel's model of cell division with parasite infection. Based on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Marc Hoffmann , Aline Marguet
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