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Two density-dependent branching processes are considered to model predator-prey populations. For both models, preys are considered to be the main food supply of predators. Moreover, in each generation the number of individuals of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Cristina Gutiérrez , Carmen Minuesa

We study inhomogeneous host-pathogen dynamics to model the global amphibian population extinction in a lake basin system. The lake basin system is modeled as quenched disorder. In this model we show that once the pathogen arrives at the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-02-03 Trilochan Bagarti

Population extinction is a rare event which requires overcoming an effective barrier. We show that the extinction rate can be fragile: a small change in the system parameters leads to an exponentially strong change of the rate, with the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-04-13 M. Khasin , M. I. Dykman

The modelling of evolutionary game dynamics in finite populations requires microscopic processes that determine how strategies spread. The exact details of these processes are often chosen without much further consideration. Different types…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-06-17 Bin Wu , Benedikt Bauer , Tobias Galla , Arne Traulsen

Under the assumption that the initial population size of a Galton-Watson branching process increases to infinity, the paper studies asymptotic behavior of the population size before extinction. More specifically, we establish asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-08 Vyacheslav M. Abramov

We consider a population structured by a spacevariable and a phenotypical trait, submitted to dispersion,mutations, growth and nonlocal competition. We introduce theclimate shift due to {\it Global Warming} and discuss the dynamicsof the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Matthieu Alfaro , Henri Berestycki , Gaël Raoul

We consider the dynamics of a population spatially structured in colonies that are vulnerable to catastrophic events occurring at random times, which randomly reduce their population size and compel survivors to disperse to neighboring…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-23 Valdivino V. Junior , Fábio P. Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa

We study a model of growing population that competes for resources. At each time step, all existing particles reproduce and the offspring randomly move to neighboring sites. Then at any site with more than one offspring, the particles are…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-26 Idan Perl , Arnab Sen , Ariel Yadin

Species populations often modify their environment as they grow. When environmental feedback operates more slowly than population growth, the system can undergo boom-bust dynamics, where the population overshoots its carrying capacity and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-27 Pablo Moreno-Spiegelberg , Javier Aguilar

We present a new model for extinction in which species evolve in bursts or `avalanches', during which they become on average more susceptible to environmental stresses such as harsh climates and so are more easily rendered extinct. Results…

adap-org · Physics 2008-02-03 M. E. J. Newman , B. W. Roberts

We introduce a population-age-time (PAT) model which describes the temporal evolution of the population distribution in age. The surprising result is that the qualitative nature of the population distribution dynamics is robust with respect…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-30 Z. C. Feng , Y. Charles Li

We consider a population spreading across a finite number of sites. Individuals can move from one site to the other according to a network (oriented links between the sites) that vary periodically over time. On each site, the population…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Michel Benaïm , Claude Lobry , Tewfik Sari , Edouard Strickler

This article is concerned with a version of the contact process with sexual reproduction on a graph with two levels of interactions modeling metapopulations. The population is spatially distributed into patches and offspring are produced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-08 Eric Foxall , Nicolas Lanchier

Mathematical models of population extinction have a variety of applications in such areas as ecology, paleontology and conservation biology. Here we propose and investigate two types of sub-exponential models of population extinction.The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-05 Georgy P. Karev , Irina G. Kareva

Stochastic chemical reaction or population dynamics in finite systems often terminates in an absorbing state. Yet in large spatially extended systems, the time to reach species extinction (or fixation) becomes exceedingly long. Tuning…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-11-17 Kenneth A. V. Distefano , Sara Shabani , Uwe C. Täuber

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

This paper is devoted to the study of persistence and extinction of a species modeled by nonlocal dispersal evolution equations in moving habitats with moving speed $c$. It is shown that the species becomes extinct if the moving speed $c$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Patrick De Leenheer , Wenxian Shen , Aijun Zhang

We consider a model of a population of fixed size $N$ undergoing selection. Each individual acquires beneficial mutations at rate $\mu_N$, and each beneficial mutation increases the individual's fitness by $s_N$. Each individual dies at…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-03 Jason Schweinsberg

A simple evolutionary model for biological ageing is modified such that it requires a minimum population for survival, like in human society. This social effect leads to a transition between extinction and survival of the species.

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Dietrich Stauffer , Jan P. Radomski

Standard evolutionary theories of aging and mortality, implicitly based on assumptions of spatial averaging, hold that natural selection cannot favor shorter lifespan without direct compensating benefit to individual reproductive success.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-15 Justin Werfel , Donald E. Ingber , Yaneer Bar-Yam