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In 2006 (J. Differential Equ.), Lou proved that, once the intrinsic growth rate $r$ in the logistic model is proportional to the spatially heterogeneous carrying capacity $K$ ($r=K^1$), the total population under the regular diffusion…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-06 André Rickes , Elena Braverman

The stage of evolution is the population of reproducing individuals. The structure of the population is know to affect the dynamics and outcome of evolutionary processes, but analytical results for generic random structures have been…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-10 Ben Adlam , Martin A. Nowak

We consider a stochastic model for an evolving population. We show that in the presence of genotype extinctions the population dies out for a low mutation probability but may survive for a high mutation probability. This turns upside down…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-10-24 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Many types of bacteria can survive under stress by switching stochastically between two different phenotypes: the "normals" who multiply fast, but are vulnerable to stress, and the "persisters" who hardly multiply, but are resilient to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Ingo Lohmar , Baruch Meerson

Traditionally evolution is seen as a process where from a pool of possible variations of a population (e.g. biological species or industrial goods) a few variations get selected which survive and proliferate, whereas the others vanish.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-09-25 Rudolf Hanel , Stefan Thurner

In numerous papers, the behaviour of stochastic population models is investigated through the sign of a real quantity which is the growth rate of the population near the extinction set. In many cases, it is proven that when this growth rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-06 Dang H. Nguyen , Edouard Strickler

An integro-differential equation on a tree graph is used to model the evolution and spatial distribution of a population of organisms in a river network. Individual organisms become mobile at a constant rate, and disperse according to an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-04-01 Jorge M Ramirez

We analyse a stochastic SIS epidemic amongst a finite population partitioned into households. Since the population is finite, the epidemic will eventually go extinct, i.e., have no more infectives in the population. We study the effects of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-08-05 Tom Britton , Peter Neal

We derive the first conditionally consistent estimators for a class of parametric Markov population models with logistic growth, which are suitable for modelling endangered populations in restricted habitats with a carrying capacity. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Carmen Minuesa

We consider a random walk with death in $[-N,N]$ moving in a time dependent environment. The environment is a system of particles which describes a current flux from $N$ to $-N$. Its evolution is influenced by the presence of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Anna De Masi , Errico Presutti , Dimitrios Tsagkarogiannis , Maria Eulalia Vares

Motivated by the wide range of known self-replicating systems, some far from genetics, we study a system composed by individuals having an internal dynamics with many possible states that are partially stable, with varying mutation rates.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-10-07 Tommaso Brotto , Guy Bunin , Jorge Kurchan

Branching processes $(Z_n)_{n \ge 0}$ in a varying environment generalize the Galton-Watson process, in that they allow time-dependence of the offspring distribution. Our main results concern general criteria for a.s. extinction,…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-11 Götz Kersting

Environment plays a fundamental role in the competition for resources, and hence in the evolution of populations. Here, we study a well-mixed, finite population consisting of two strains competing for the limited resources provided by an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-10-16 Karl Wienand , Erwin Frey , Mauro Mobilia

I study a population model in which the reproduction rate lambda is inherited with mutation, favoring fast reproducers in the short term, but conflicting with a process that eliminates agglomerations of individuals. The model is a variant…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-02 Ronald Dickman

We finely describe the speed of "coming down from infinity" for birth and death processes which eventually become extinct. Under general assumptions on the birth and death rates, we firstly determine the behavior of the successive hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-01 Vincent Bansaye , Sylvie Méléard , Mathieu Richard

Many species live in colonies that thrive for a while and then collapse. Upon collapse very few individuals survive. The survivors start new colonies at other sites that thrive until they collapse, and so on. We introduce spatial and…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-05 Fábio Prates Machado , Alejandro Roldán-Correa , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

We consider a birth-death process with the birth rates $i\lambda$ and death rates $i\mu +i(i-1)\theta$, where $i$ is the current state of the process. A positive competition rate $\theta$ is assumed to be small. In the supercritical case…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Serik Sagitov , Altynay Shaimerdenova

Classical ecological theory predicts that environmental stochasticity increases extinction risk by reducing the average per-capita growth rate of populations. To understand the interactive effects of environmental stochasticity, spatial…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-16 Steven N. Evans , Peter L. Ralph , Sebastian J. Schreiber , Arnab Sen

Since its early beginnings, mankind has put to test many different society forms, and this fact raises a complex of interesting questions. The objective of this paper is to present a general population model which takes essential features…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-26 F. Thomas Bruss , Mitia Duerinckx

Over the past century, nonlinear difference and differential equations have been used to understand conditions for species coexistence. However, these models fail to account for random fluctuations due to demographic and environmental…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-12 Sebastian J. Schreiber
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