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We propose a data-driven, coarse-graining formulation in the context of equilibrium statistical mechanics. In contrast to existing techniques which are based on a fine-to-coarse map, we adopt the opposite strategy by prescribing a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Markus Schöberl , Nicholas Zabaras , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

We consider the problem of clustering grouped data with possibly non-exchangeable groups whose dependencies can be characterized by a known directed acyclic graph. To allow the sharing of clusters among the non-exchangeable groups, we…

Graphical models describe associations between variables through the notion of conditional independence. Gaussian graphical models are a widely used class of such models where the relationships are formalized by non-null entries of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-08 Sagnik Bhadury , Riten Mitra , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Approximate Bayesian inference on the basis of summary statistics is well-suited to complex problems for which the likelihood is either mathematically or computationally intractable. However the methods that use rejection suffer from the…

Computation · Statistics 2010-05-04 M. G. B. Blum , O. Francois

We investigate the ability to reconstruct and derive spatial structure from sparsely sampled 3D piezoresponse force microcopy data, captured using the band-excitation (BE) technique, via Gaussian Process (GP) methods. Even for weakly…

Ultra-high-dimensional tensor predictors are increasingly common in neuroimaging and other biomedical studies, yet existing methods rarely integrate continuous, count, and binary responses in a single coherent model. We present a Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-21 Shao-Hsuan Wang , Hsin-Hsiung Huang

We study the problem of automatically discovering Granger causal relations from observational multivariate time-series data.Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have been time-tested for this problem, including Bayesian variants and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 He Zhao , Vassili Kitsios , Terence J. O'Kane , Edwin V. Bonilla

Multi-output Gaussian process regression has become an important tool in uncertainty quantification, for building emulators of computationally expensive simulators, and other areas such as multi-task machine learning. We present a holistic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Daria Semochkina , Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

In this paper we focus on the parameter estimation of dynamic load models with stochastic terms, in particular, load models where protection settings are uncertain, such as in aggregated air conditioning units. We show how the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniel Adrian Maldonado , Vishwas Rao , Mihai Anitescu , Vivak Patel

Discrete automated processes in industrial and cyber-physical systems often exhibit a repetitive structure in which successive repetitions follow a common trajectory while differing in duration, amplitude, and fine-scale dynamics. Such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Elias Reich , Saverio Messineo , Stefan Huber

This article deals with the numerical resolution of backward stochastic differential equations. Firstly, we consider a rather general case where the filtration is generated by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We provide a…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Emmanuel Gobet , Jean-Philippe Lemor

A Bayesian approach is used to estimate the covariance matrix of Gaussian data. Ideas from Gaussian graphical models and model selection are used to construct a prior for the covariance matrix that is a mixture over all decomposable graphs.…

Methodology · Statistics 2007-06-12 Helen Armstrong , Christopher K. Carter , Kevin F. Wong , Robert Kohn

Large sample statistical analysis of threshold autoregressive (TAR) models is usually based on the assumption that the underlying driving noise is uncorrelated. In this paper, we consider a model, driven by Gaussian noise with geometric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 P. Chigansky , Y. Kutoyants

A goal of systems biology is to understand the dynamics of intracellular systems. Stochastic chemical kinetic models are often utilized to accurately capture the stochastic nature of these systems due to low numbers of molecules. Collecting…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-17 Jarad Niemi , Matthew Wheeler

This study proposes a radically alternate approach for extracting quantitative information from schlieren images. The method uses a scaled, derivative enhanced Gaussian process model to obtain true density estimates from two corresponding…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-08-23 Bryn Noel Ubald , Pranay Seshadri , Andrew Duncan

A kernel method is proposed to estimate the condensed density of the generalized eigenvalues of pencils of Hankel matrices whose elements have a joint noncentral Gaussian distribution with nonidentical covariance. These pencils arise when…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-02 Piero Barone

We study system design problems stated as parameterized stochastic programs with a chance-constraint set. We adopt a Bayesian approach that requires the computation of a posterior predictive integral which is usually intractable. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-07 Prateek Jaiswal , Harsha Honnappa , Vinayak A. Rao

Functional graphical models explore dependence relationships of random processes. This is achieved through estimating the precision matrix of the coefficients from the Karhunen-Loeve expansion. This paper deals with the problem of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-14 Ilias Moysidis , Bing Li

We propose a method for solving statistical mechanics problems defined on sparse graphs. It extracts a small Feedback Vertex Set (FVS) from the sparse graph, converting the sparse system to a much smaller system with many-body and dense…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-15 Feng Pan , Pengfei Zhou , Hai-Jun Zhou , Pan Zhang

A Gaussian Cox process is a popular model for point process data, in which the intensity function is a transformation of a Gaussian process. Posterior inference of this intensity function involves an intractable integral (i.e., the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-01 Bingjing Tang , Julia Palacios